British EBF Future Stayers Novice Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (GBB Race)

Southwell (AW)

3:45

Date 2023-08-28

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £13,500

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (2)	Superposition ch J:Jason Hart T:Ed Dunlop	J:Jason Hart T:Ed Dunlop	133	—	5	-	85	-	17d	—	—	-24	11.4	13/8 38%
Would have been closer than 5th on debut granted a clear run; firmly in calculations
9 (6)	Tribal Rhythm ch J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	133	—	43	-	82	-	27d	—	—	-14	10.3	11/4 27%
Slight step backwards on second start but this £150,000 yearling retains potential
3 (1)	Mai Dubai b J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	133	—	73	-	82	55	19d	—	—	-5	6.3	7/1 13%
Third at Kempton last time and this £200,000 yearling could continue to progress
2 (8)	Juantorena b J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	133	—	438	80	83	-	32d	—	—	-3	14.8	9/2 18%
Close third at Haydock on second start then soft ground may not have suited at Windsor
NR (11)	Spaceport gr J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	133	—	24	-	84	-	1d	—	—	-4	6.3	10 10%
Second on debut at Ffos Las but failed to build on that when fourth at Goodwood yesterday
NR (4)	Rich Harry ch J:Kevin Stott T:Alice Haynes	J:Kevin Stott T:Alice Haynes	133	—	34	-	76	44	16d	—	—	-4	4.5	14 7%
Has shown ability on both starts; can win races but improvement needed to land this one
NR (7)	Formidable Force b J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	133	—	6	-	71	-	17d	—	—	-5	1.9	14 7%
Half-brother to two winners but he was a soundly beaten 6th at 18-1 on debut at Newmarket
11 (3)	Roman Secret b J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	128	—	23	-	80	-	21d	—	—	+2	8.1	18 6%
Has a useful pedigree and has shown promise on both starts; might not be far away
8 (10)	The Crafty Mole b J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	20 5%
Dam 1m2f AW winner (RPR 82); gelded; may be one for further down the line
10 (5)	Almudena b J:Shane Kelly T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Shane Kelly T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	128	—	6	-	79	57	12d	—	—	-3	1	25 4%
Likely to come into her own when tackling further but market check advised on second start
4 (9)	Northern Cracksman b J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	133	—	8	-	47	-	19d	—	—	-1	0.3	150 1%
100-1 and always behind on recent debut at Pontefract (6f, good); transformation needed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Superposition	5/4	13/8	6/4	13/8	6/4
Tribal Rhythm	11/4	11/4	9/4	11/4	5/2
Mai Dubai	7	6	13/2	13/2	7/1
Juantorena	9/2	4	4	9/2	4/1
Spaceport	10	9	9	9	17/2
Rich Harry	14	12	12	12	12
Formidable Force	10	14	12	12	12
Roman Secret	18	14/1	14	14	14/1
The Crafty Mole	20	16	14	16	16
Almudena	25	22	20	22	22
Northern Cracksman	150	80/1	80	80	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Juantorena

14.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.2

9/2

2nd

Superposition

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

13/8

3rd

Tribal Rhythm

10.3

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Roman Secret

8.1

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.6

Mai Dubai

6.3

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Spaceport

6.3

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.8

Rich Harry

4.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4

Formidable Force

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

The Crafty Mole

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Almudena

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Northern Cracksman

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Juantorena Top Rated	80	83	—
Superposition	—	85	—
Tribal Rhythm	—	82	—
Mai Dubai	—	82	55
Spaceport	—	84	—
Rich Harry	—	76	44
Formidable Force	—	71	—
Roman Secret	—	80	—
The Crafty Mole	—	—	—
Almudena	—	79	57
Northern Cracksman	—	47	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Spaceport	1d ago	Quick return
Almudena	12d ago	Quick return
Rich Harry	16d ago	Fit
Superposition	17d ago	Fit
Formidable Force	17d ago	Fit
Mai Dubai	19d ago	Fit
Northern Cracksman	19d ago	Fit
Roman Secret	21d ago	Fit
Tribal Rhythm	27d ago	Fit
Juantorena	32d ago	Fit
The Crafty Mole	—	—