Always Bet Responsibly At BetVictor Handicap – Newbury

Newbury

16:50

Always Bet Responsibly At BetVictor Handicap

Date 2023-08-29

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £6,621

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (5)	Unlimited Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	127	—	653	70	89	73	40d	—	—	-11	16.4	0.53/1	17/8 32%
Makes handicap debut having been gelded; in top hands and he's one to be interested in
4 (8)	Khinjani Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ed Walker	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ed Walker	135	—	3-3421	78	89	78	17d	—	—	-5	14.8	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Won at Haydock latest; this looks a better race but she has a progressive profile
5 (6)	Bloomwithgrace Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Tom Dascombe	J:Richard Kingscote T:Tom Dascombe	134	—	35-422	77	88	77	69d	—	—	-2	10.4	1.00/1	5 20%
Second at Ripon last time behind one who followed up; could again be thereabouts
2 (9)	Forest Demon Bay J:William Buick T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:William Buick T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	136	tp	553251	79	87	73	11d	—	—	+14	23.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Improved form to win at Newmarket 11 days ago and he's respected up 4lb
3 (11)	Yamalia Star Bay J:James Doyle T:Jack W Davison	J:James Doyle T:Jack W Davison	135	p	7234	78	91	57	7d	—	—	+5	14	2.50/1	11 9%
Promise in Irish maidens and pedigree provides optimism she'll be capable of better
9 (7)	Gold Aura Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	129	—	347-23	72	85	60	19d	—	—	0	7.6	2.50/1	11 9%
Placed over 1m on both runs in 2023; pedigree suggests she'll improve for this longer trip
7 (10)	Gentle Whinny Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Denis Coakley	J:Hollie Doyle T:Denis Coakley	132	—	541-04	75	83	45	77d	—	—	+3	7.5	4.75/1	20 5%
2yo novice win last October but well beaten on both starts this year
10 (4)	Ithacas Arrow Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Oisin Murphy T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	129	—	-10786	72	88	77	12d	—	—	+4	8.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Won AW novice in May but has failed to threaten in turf handicaps on next four starts
8 (2)	Raintown Grey J:Luke Morris T:J S Moore	J:Luke Morris T:J S Moore	132	—	1-7056	75	89	75	62d	—	—	+11	14.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Three AW wins towards end of last year but down the field on grass the last twice
6 (3)	Photon Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Roger Teal	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Roger Teal	134	—	633	77	86	37	45d	—	—	+10	12.6	8.00/1	33 3%
Not bred for this sort of trip but not ruled out under Billy Loughnane on handicap debut
1 (12)	Nopoli Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Kevin Stott T:Ismail Mohammed	136	tp	175978	79	90	65	19d	—	—	+5	8.1	8.00/1	33 3%
Won on dirt at Jebel Ali in January on second start but struggled to get competitive since
12 (1)	Star Of Mayo Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	125	—	4-1656	68	78	48	19d	—	—	+3	5.1	12.25/1	50 2%
Patchy profile this year but recent comeback run wasn't devoid of promise; not discounted

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Unlimited	2	2	17/8	2	15/8
Khinjani	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	3
Bloomwithgrace	5	5	5	5	5
Forest Demon	9	8	17/2	17/2	17/2
Yamalia Star	11	9	10	10	10
Gold Aura	11	10	11	11	11
Gentle Whinny	20	18	18	18	18
Ithacas Arrow	16	14	16	16	16
Raintown	22	20	20	22	22
Photon	28	25	33	33	33
Nopoli	25	22	25	25	33
Star Of Mayo	50	40	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Forest Demon

23.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 13.4 Odds: 2.7

17/2

2nd

Unlimited

16.4

OR: 5 Form: 3 Odds: 8.4

17/8

3rd

Khinjani

14.8

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Raintown

14.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1

Yamalia Star

OR: 7 Form: 4.6 Odds: 2.4

Photon

12.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 0.8

Bloomwithgrace

10.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

Ithacas Arrow

8.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.4

Nopoli

8.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Gold Aura

7.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Gentle Whinny

7.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Star Of Mayo

5.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Forest Demon	79	87	73
Nopoli	79	90	65
Khinjani	78	89	78
Yamalia Star	78	91	57
Bloomwithgrace	77	88	77
Photon	77	86	37
Gentle Whinny	75	83	45
Raintown	75	89	75
Gold Aura	72	85	60
Ithacas Arrow	72	88	77
Unlimited	70	89	73
Star Of Mayo	68	78	48

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Yamalia Star	7d ago	Quick return
Forest Demon	11d ago	Quick return
Ithacas Arrow	12d ago	Quick return
Khinjani	17d ago	Fit
Gold Aura	19d ago	Fit
Nopoli	19d ago	Fit
Star Of Mayo	19d ago	Fit
Unlimited	40d ago	Fit
Photon	45d ago	Fit
Raintown	62d ago	Fresh
Bloomwithgrace	69d ago	Fresh
Gentle Whinny	77d ago	Fresh