BetVictor Betting After The Off Handicap – Musselburgh

Musselburgh

18:30

BetVictor Betting After The Off Handicap

Date 2023-08-29

Distance 5f1y

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (7)	Aconcagua Mountain Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	136	b	584533	56	69	57	12d	—	—	-12	14.6	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Good third (from high draw) at Beverley 12 days ago; big shout off an unchanged mark
8 (6)	James Watt Bay J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	128	p	575936	48	64	61	2d	—	—	-9	6.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
17 runs since his last win and he's been placed just once from his ten outings this term
9 (4)	The Grey Lass Roan J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	126	—	406530	46	64	50	2d	—	—	-8	6.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
In good nick until beating only one at Beverley two days ago; the sort to bounce back
6 (2)	Mrs Bagerran Bay J:William Pyle(5) T:Tracy Waggott	J:William Pyle(5) T:Tracy Waggott	129	—	721234	49	67	56	17d	—	—	0	11.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won over C&D in June and she has kept her form well since; she's firmly in the picture
2 (8)	Sixcor Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Linda Perratt	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Linda Perratt	136	p	352035	56	68	57	17d	—	—	-3	8.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Not discredited when fifth at Ayr latest; one to consider eased 1lb here
4 (1)	Canaria Prince Black J:Cam Hardie T:Tim Easterby	J:Cam Hardie T:Tim Easterby	129	b	633854	49	67	50	9d	—	—	-5	4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Took this race 12 months ago; not disgraced when fourth at Southwell latest; considered
5 (9)	Cheyenne Nation Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	129	p	793480	51	67	41	42d	—	—	-3	2.8	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Yet to get his head in front and he's been well below par on his last two starts
NR (3)	Koropick Bay J:Shane Gray T:Colin Teague	J:Shane Gray T:Colin Teague	126	tb	948768	46	62	51	18d	—	—	-8	3.3	9.75/1	40 3%
Veteran sprinter who arrives in decent nick; he is without a victory since 2017 though
3 (5)	Beneficiary Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Liam Bailey	J:Ben Curtis T:Liam Bailey	135	—	266649	55	61	23	25d	—	—	-1	2.1	9.75/1	40 3%
Yet to hit top form for his current yard, beating only one over C&D latest; needs more
10 (11)	Genevieve Bay J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	126	v	867547	46	63	39	25d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Only a poor maiden on balance; more is required from 1lb out of the handicap
7 (10)	Time To Spark Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	128	—	669	50	63	17	12d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Yet to threaten in three novices, ninth at Ayr 12 days ago; more needed now handicapping.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Aconcagua Mountain	9/4	9/4	2/1	9/4	9/4
James Watt	4	4	9/2	4	4
The Grey Lass	13/2	6/1	13/2	6	11/2
Mrs Bagerran	13/2	6	13/2	13/2	13/2
Sixcor	7	7	6	7	15/2
Canaria Prince	8	9	15/2	17/2	8/1
Cheyenne Nation	16	14	16/1	16	16
Koropick	33	40	40	40	40
Beneficiary	22	33/1	40	33	28/1
Genevieve	28	40	40/1	40/1	33
Time To Spark	28	33	28	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Aconcagua Mountain

14.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Mrs Bagerran

11.9

OR: 0 Form: 8.6 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Sixcor

8.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 3.1

15/2

James Watt

6.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

The Grey Lass

6.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4

13/2

Canaria Prince

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Koropick

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Cheyenne Nation

2.8

OR: 0.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Beneficiary

2.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Genevieve

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Time To Spark

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Aconcagua Mountain	56	69	57
Sixcor	56	68	57
Beneficiary	55	61	23
Cheyenne Nation	51	67	41
Time To Spark	50	63	17
Mrs Bagerran	49	67	56
Canaria Prince	49	67	50
James Watt	48	64	61
The Grey Lass	46	64	50
Koropick	46	62	51
Genevieve	46	63	39

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
James Watt	2d ago	Quick return
The Grey Lass	2d ago	Quick return
Canaria Prince	9d ago	Quick return
Aconcagua Mountain	12d ago	Quick return
Time To Spark	12d ago	Quick return
Mrs Bagerran	17d ago	Fit
Sixcor	17d ago	Fit
Koropick	18d ago	Fit
Beneficiary	25d ago	Fit
Genevieve	25d ago	Fit
Cheyenne Nation	42d ago	Fit