Peadar Kearney's Pub Handicap – Bellewstown

Bellewstown

17:35

Peadar Kearney's Pub Handicap

Date 2023-08-29

Distance 7f187y

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize €7,080

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (12)	Gosford Bay J:Ben Coen T:Edward Lynam	J:Ben Coen T:Edward Lynam	132	—	926712	69	82	72	16d	—	—	+8	21.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Likely bettered form of narrow Gowran when beating all bar one at Curragh (including Yuzu)
7 (6)	One Boss Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	134	p	-55523	71	85	64	12d	—	—	+2	15.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Another consistent maiden who can lead; clear each-way claims
5 (1)	Quantum Light Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	139	—	-28323	76	81	71	23d	—	—	+6	19.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Maiden was second to Rio Largo at Galway, then ahead of La Tulipe Noire at Gowran
2 (9)	Sweetest Rose Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	142	b	2-2318	79	88	74	34d	—	—	+3	13.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Market support would suggest she's well up to winning off 79 now handicapping
NR (8)	La Tulipe Noire Bay J:TBC T:Ciaran Murphy	J: T:Ciaran Murphy	142	b	1-8245	79	80	63	23d	—	—	+9	16.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Admirably consistent sort; perhaps handicapper losing no sleep but should go well again
9 (11)	Yuzu Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Ronan Whelan T:Mrs John Harrington	129	—	-82554	66	86	75	16d	—	—	-4	9.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Maiden with questions to answer in terms of stamina but clearly good enough to win a race
10 (5)	Fleetfootsoldier Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	J:Nathan Crosse T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	122	—	-12164	59	83	62	14d	—	—	0	15.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Seemed a bit idle on this track when winning here in July; held but ran well since
4 (2)	Rio Largo Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Luke Comer	J:Declan McDonogh T:Luke Comer	140	—	419315	77	81	62	25d	—	—	+11	19.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Developed into consistent sort and has some course experience; yard in form
6 (3)	Mere Accountant Bay J:Wesley Joyce(7) T:J P Murtagh	J:Wesley Joyce(7) T:J P Murtagh	137	—	349484	74	86	68	12d	—	—	-1	8.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
A little in and out, since winning on AW at two, notably weak in wagering last twice
11 (4)	Silver Salver Grey J:Jamie Powell(5) T:W Mccreery	J:Jamie Powell(5) T:W Mccreery	121	v	08869	58	84	70	20d	—	—	-1	3.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Far from obvious on form over farther; at least worth crack at 1m, fine rider booked
3 (7)	Pub Talk Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Leanne Breen	J:Chris Hayes T:Leanne Breen	141	—	-26315	78	86	43	166d	—	—	+15	17.1	12.25/1	50 2%
3-14; some stamina concerns on debut for yard with 5pc strike-rate last five seasons
12 (10)	Monnow Valley Bay J:Rory Cleary T:Damian Joseph English	J:Rory Cleary T:Damian Joseph English	119	v	-37300	56	83	64	45d	—	—	+3	3.9	24.75/1	100 1%
lb out of weights up in grade, lots of pace on paper, really hard to fancy up in class

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Gosford	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
One Boss	11/2	9/2	5/1	5/1	5
Quantum Light	9/2	5	11/2	11/2	9/2
Sweetest Rose	6	7	13/2	13/2	13/2
La Tulipe Noire	12	11	11	11	11
Yuzu	6	11/2	6	6	6
Fleetfootsoldier	11/2	5	11/2	11/2	11/2
Rio Largo	12	12	12	12	12
Mere Accountant	7	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Silver Salver	20	22	20	20	18
Pub Talk	50	40	40	40	33
Monnow Valley	100	100	100	100	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gosford

21.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 13 Odds: 4

9/2

2nd

Quantum Light

19.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 9 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Rio Largo

19.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 10.5 Odds: 2.2

Pub Talk

17.1

OR: 7 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0.6

La Tulipe Noire

16.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.9

One Boss

15.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4

11/2

Fleetfootsoldier

15.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Sweetest Rose

13.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Yuzu

9.1

OR: 4 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Mere Accountant

8.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Monnow Valley

3.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.3

100

Silver Salver

3.1

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sweetest Rose	79	88	74
La Tulipe Noire	79	80	63
Pub Talk	78	86	43
Rio Largo	77	81	62
Quantum Light	76	81	71
Mere Accountant	74	86	68
One Boss	71	85	64
Gosford	69	82	72
Yuzu	66	86	75
Fleetfootsoldier	59	83	62
Silver Salver	58	84	70
Monnow Valley	56	83	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
One Boss	12d ago	Quick return
Mere Accountant	12d ago	Quick return
Fleetfootsoldier	14d ago	Fit
Gosford	16d ago	Fit
Yuzu	16d ago	Fit
Silver Salver	20d ago	Fit
Quantum Light	23d ago	Fit
La Tulipe Noire	23d ago	Fit
Rio Largo	25d ago	Fit
Sweetest Rose	34d ago	Fit
Monnow Valley	45d ago	Fit
Pub Talk	166d ago	Long break