Witherbys Nursery Handicap – Musselburgh

Musselburgh

14:30

Witherbys Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-08-30

Distance 5f1y

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,664

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (8)	Swiftly Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Richard Fahey	J:Joe Fanning T:Richard Fahey	121	p	67775	46	64	47	13d	—	—	-16	6.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Fifth of 13 at Beverley (5f, good to firm) last time was easily her closest finish
3 (7)	Sergeant Mayer Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	134	—	5568	59	61	46	13d	—	—	-11	7.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Just 5-1 for nursery at Beverley but slowly into stride, pulled hard and never dangerous
6 (4)	Zaphea Chestnut J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	130	—	030323	55	67	48	13d	—	—	-3	15.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Followed one good run with another in last two nurseries (Bath and Beverley); back up 3lb
5 (3)	Blue Moon Baby Bay J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	132	—	435	57	64	17	49d	—	—	-5	7.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
50-1 at Catterick latest (5f, good) and shaped okay; one to consider on handicap debut
1 (6)	Lady Showcasing Bay J:Archie Young(7) T:Charlie Johnston	J:Archie Young(7) T:Charlie Johnston	137	—	62586	62	66	64	15d	—	—	-1	6.7	2.00/1	9 11%
2nd in May (5f, AW) on second start; has not lived up to that; claimer for handicap debut
2 (1)	Farah M Bay J:Ben Curtis T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Ben Curtis T:David & Nicola Barron	137	—	7478	62	66	44	15d	—	—	-2	4.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Easily the pick of his four runs came on second start; blinkered in nursery latest
4 (2)	Musical Diva Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	133	p	056	58	62	32	16d	—	—	-1	3.2	3.75/1	16 6%
Could be more interesting in first-time cheekpieces on handicap debut; needs market check
8 (5)	Lady Bouquet Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Philip Kirby	J:Andrew Mullen T:Philip Kirby	123	—	6597	48	65	37	35d	—	—	-4	1.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
No impact; had wind surgery after latest start and now makes her handicap debut
7 (9)	Rock Lodge Bay J:Shane Gray T:Phillip Makin	J:Shane Gray T:Phillip Makin	128	b	4000	53	63	41	10d	—	—	-1	1.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Fourth of five on debut but no worthwhile form in his three starts since, latest a nursery

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Swiftly	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Sergeant Mayer	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2	7/2
Zaphea	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Blue Moon Baby	11/2	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
Lady Showcasing	9	9	9	9	9
Farah M	12	14	14	14	14
Musical Diva	16	16	16	16	16
Lady Bouquet	18	20/1	18/1	16	16
Rock Lodge	50	50/1	50/1	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Zaphea

15.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 5.4

7/2

2nd

Sergeant Mayer

7.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

3rd

Blue Moon Baby

7.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Swiftly

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Lady Showcasing

6.7

OR: 3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.2

Farah M

4.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Musical Diva

3.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Lady Bouquet

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Rock Lodge

1.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lady Showcasing	62	66	64
Farah M	62	66	44
Sergeant Mayer	59	61	46
Musical Diva	58	62	32
Blue Moon Baby	57	64	17
Zaphea	55	67	48
Rock Lodge	53	63	41
Lady Bouquet	48	65	37
Swiftly	46	64	47

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rock Lodge	10d ago	Quick return
Swiftly	13d ago	Quick return
Sergeant Mayer	13d ago	Quick return
Zaphea	13d ago	Quick return
Lady Showcasing	15d ago	Fit
Farah M	15d ago	Fit
Musical Diva	16d ago	Fit
Lady Bouquet	35d ago	Fit
Blue Moon Baby	49d ago	Fresh