Stream Racing At bresbet.com/EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Bands C/D) (Qual) (GBB) (Div II)

Lingfield (AW)

18:05

Date 2023-08-30

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,564

Winning Time 1m 25.38s (slow by 3.38s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Tokyo Dreamer (GB) Marco Ghiani · Stuart Williams	8/11F	Won
2nd	Fernden Wells (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	15/2	1.5
3rd	Floridian (GB) George Wood · Dr Jon Scargill	33/1	0.05
4th	Just Rita (GB) Neil Callan · Marco Botti	6/1	0.2
5th	Checkmeout (GB) Cameron Noble · Roger Varian	6/1	1.5
6th	Brinton (GB) Trevor Whelan · Jonathan Portman	28/1	3.25
7th	Lovers Footsteps (IRE) Josephine Gordon · Ed Dunlop	10/1	4.25
8th	Mamies Dream (GB) Finley Marsh · Ryan Potter	200/1	.5
9th	Orange Rosetta (GB) Aidan Keeley · Luke Dace	66/1	1.75
10th	Dibble Dabble (GB) Ross Coakley · James Ferguson	16/1	.75

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (8)	Tokyo Dreamer Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	128	p	833332	71	81	68	12d	—	—	-11	27.9	0.31/1	5/4 44%
In the frame on last five of her seven starts; has another major role to play here
6 (10)	Checkmeout Bay J:Cameron Noble T:Roger Varian	J:Cameron Noble T:Roger Varian	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Out of a half-sister to Yorkshire Oaks winner Quiff; with a top stable; interesting
2 (3)	Just Rita Bay J:Neil Callan T:Marco Botti	J:Neil Callan T:Marco Botti	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Out of an Italian Listed 2yo winner; market may point the way
1 (4)	Fernden Wells Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	—	—	-	51	20	16d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Well-bred filly; always behind on debut but was prominent in the betting; should do better
7 (1)	Dibble Dabble Grey J:Ross Coakley T:James Ferguson	J:Ross Coakley T:James Ferguson	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
First foal from unraced half-sister to a 1m2f Group 1 winner; stable has winning newcomers
3 (5)	Lovers Footsteps Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Ed Dunlop	J:Josephine Gordon T:Ed Dunlop	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Half-sister to a useful 7f-1m2f winner; stable has modest strike-rate with newcomers
5 (6)	Brinton Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Jonathan Portman	J:Trevor Whelan T:Jonathan Portman	126	—	78	-	68	-	17d	—	—	-3	1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Showed only minor promise in two 6f turf novice races this summer; improvement needed
8 (7)	Floridian Bay J:George Wood T:Dr Jon Scargill	J:George Wood T:Dr Jon Scargill	126	—	—	-	76	-	18d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Always behind when 200-1 for 7f Newmarket maiden 18 days ago
10 (2)	Orange Rosetta Chestnut J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Luke Dace	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Luke Dace	126	—	—	-	31	-	49d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.25/1	66 2%
Out of a 6f 2yo winner; last of ten on debut here (6f, turf) seven weeks ago
9 (9)	Mamies Dream Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Ryan Potter	J:Finley Marsh T:Ryan Potter	126	—	—	-	43	-	17d	—	—	-1	0.3	24.75/1	100 1%
Detached throughout when 125-1 for 6f Windsor novice 17 days ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Tokyo Dreamer	11/10	5/4	6/5	5/4	6/5
Checkmeout	4/1	4	9/2	4	4
Just Rita	9/2	9/2	5	9/2	9/2
Fernden Wells	8/1	15/2	15/2	8/1	8/1
Dibble Dabble	14	14	14/1	14	14
Lovers Footsteps	14/1	14	12	14	14
Brinton	28/1	25	25	25/1	25
Floridian	28	25	25	28	28
Orange Rosetta	66	40	40	40	33/1
Mamies Dream	100	100	100	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tokyo Dreamer

27.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 10.1 Odds: 12.5

5/4

2nd

Checkmeout

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Just Rita

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Fernden Wells

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Dibble Dabble

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Lovers Footsteps

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Brinton

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Floridian

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Orange Rosetta

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Mamies Dream

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tokyo Dreamer	71	81	68
Checkmeout	—	—	—
Just Rita	—	—	—
Fernden Wells	—	51	20
Dibble Dabble	—	—	—
Lovers Footsteps	—	—	—
Brinton	—	68	—
Floridian	—	76	—
Orange Rosetta	—	31	—
Mamies Dream	—	43	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tokyo Dreamer	12d ago	Quick return
Fernden Wells	16d ago	Fit
Brinton	17d ago	Fit
Mamies Dream	17d ago	Fit
Floridian	18d ago	Fit
Orange Rosetta	49d ago	Fresh
Checkmeout	—	—
Just Rita	—	—
Dibble Dabble	—	—
Lovers Footsteps	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 7f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.