racingtv.com Handicap – Carlisle

Carlisle

16:48

racingtv.com Handicap

Date 2023-08-31

Distance 6f195y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,402

Winning Time 1m 27.64s (slow by 2.84s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	B Associates (IRE) Mark Winn · Jim Goldie	14/1	Won
2nd	Vixey (GB) Jason Hart · Chris Fairhurst	7/4F	.75
3rd	Patontheback (IRE) Callum Hutchinson · Gemma Tutty	6/1	1.5
4th	Surprise Picture (IRE) Sam James · Grant Tuer	13/2	0.3
5th	Carlton And Co (GB) Shane Gray · Michael & David Easterby	15/2	1
6th	Northbound (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	15/2	0.3
7th	Atomise (GB) Callum Rodriguez · Michael Dods	11/1	.5
8th	Powdering (IRE) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	9/1	1.75
9th	Reginald Charles (GB) Harry Russell · Bryan Smart	25/1	1.25

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (10)	Golden Apollo Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Tim Easterby	J:NON-RUNNER T:Tim Easterby	137	tp	046970	67	81	-	12d	—	—	-33	24.3	—	—
Mark continues to fall but this 9yo is regressive & has been well beaten on last four runs
NR (4)	Yorkstone Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael & David Easterby	J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael & David Easterby	127	—	535261	62	-	-	26d	—	1W/2P 2 runs	-20	35.5	—	—
Won at Doncaster last time and pedigree provides hope this 3yo will continue to improve
5 (5)	Vixey Bay J:Jason Hart T:Chris Fairhurst	J:Jason Hart T:Chris Fairhurst	134	—	33-221	69	76	72	19d	—	—	-15	13.6	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Two h'cap seconds before Redcar maiden win; lightly raced & could still have more to offer
2 (1)	Patontheback Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Gemma Tutty	139	—	634012	69	75	68	20d	—	—	+9	20.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Comfortable AW win two starts ago; 0-13 on turf but went close at Musselburgh last time
4 (7)	Carlton And Co Bay J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	135	—	-50617	65	82	58	17d	—	—	+2	14.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
AW win two starts ago and widest draw excuses subsequent run; also effective on turf
1 (12)	Surprise Picture Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	140	—	101793	70	78	70	11d	—	—	+4	13.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
June 7f winner; returned to form with good recent 3rd at Pontefract (6f); one to consider
11 (11)	Northbound Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Julie Camacho	127	—	-19427	57	74	58	16d	—	—	+1	9.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Runner-up over C&D in June and may improve for his recent outing at Newcastle
6 (8)	Powdering Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	133	—	4-1373	68	76	49	17d	—	—	-1	6.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Kept on for close third last time (7f AW) and should be suited by this stiff course
7 (3)	B Associates Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Jim Goldie	133	—	121997	68	78	61	8d	—	—	+4	10.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Four wins this season but his progress has stalled on his last three starts
9 (6)	Atomise Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Michael Dods	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Michael Dods	131	p	-57350	61	80	70	26d	—	—	-1	6.2	2.50/1	11 9%
Good third at Pontefract three starts ago but this season's form has been patchy
NR (2)	Sassoon Chestnut J:TBC T:Ben Haslam	J: T:Ben Haslam	125	p	1/00-6	55	63	36	30d	—	—	-3	10	6.00/1	25 4%
Wins have come on soft/heavy ground and he's unlikely to have those conditions today
8 (9)	Reginald Charles Bay J:Harry Russell T:Bryan Smart	J:Harry Russell T:Bryan Smart	131	v	777379	66	78	58	8d	—	—	+3	6.5	6.75/1	28 4%
Good third at York three starts ago but not up to scratch on his other runs this season

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Golden Apollo	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Yorkstone	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Vixey	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Patontheback	13/2	13/2	11/2	6/1	13/2
Carlton And Co	6	5	5	11/2	6
Surprise Picture	8	15/2	7	15/2	15/2
Northbound	8	17/2	8	17/2	17/2
Powdering	9	9	17/2	9	17/2
B Associates	11	11	10	11	11
Atomise	11	10	10	11	11
Sassoon	25	25	20	25	25
Reginald Charles	28	25	22	25	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Yorkstone

35.5

OR: 3 Form: 13.1 Odds: 19.4

—

2nd

Golden Apollo

24.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

3rd

Patontheback

20.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 12.6 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Carlton And Co

14.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Surprise Picture

13.9

OR: 5 Form: 6 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Vixey

13.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

7/4

B Associates

10.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 4 Odds: 1.9

Sassoon

OR: 1.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.7

Northbound

9.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Powdering

6.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Reginald Charles

6.5

OR: 4 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1

Atomise

6.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Surprise Picture	70	78	70
Vixey	69	76	72
Patontheback	69	75	68
Powdering	68	76	49
B Associates	68	78	61
Golden Apollo	67	81	—
Reginald Charles	66	78	58
Carlton And Co	65	82	58
Yorkstone	62	—	—
Atomise	61	80	70
Northbound	57	74	58
Sassoon	55	63	36

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
B Associates	8d ago	Quick return
Reginald Charles	8d ago	Quick return
Surprise Picture	11d ago	Quick return
Golden Apollo	12d ago	Quick return
Northbound	16d ago	Fit
Carlton And Co	17d ago	Fit
Powdering	17d ago	Fit
Vixey	19d ago	Fit
Patontheback	20d ago	Fit
Yorkstone	26d ago	Fit
Atomise	26d ago	Fit
Sassoon	30d ago	Fit