Greene King IPA Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

15:25

Greene King IPA Handicap

Date 2023-08-31

Distance 6f

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £10,308

Winning Time 1m 10.46s (fast by 0.04s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Justcallmepete (GB) Dougie Costello · James Evans	11/2	Won
2nd	Hello Me (IRE) James Doyle · Joseph Parr	13/2	2
3rd	Northern Spirit (GB) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	12/1	0.2
4th	Knebworth (GB) Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	7/2F	0.3
5th	Ramiro (IRE) Shane Kelly · Brian Ellison	66/1	1.5
6th	Secret Moment (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Saeed bin Suroor	9/2	.5
7th	Bear Profit (IRE) Marco Ghiani · Stuart Williams	9/2	0.1
8th	Lucky Man (IRE) Neil Callan · Richard Spencer	10/1	4
9th	Lulworth Cove (IRE) William Buick · Richard Hannon	11/1	1.75
10th	Kessaar Power (IRE) J F Egan · Kevin Philippart De Foy	14/1	1
11th	Think Climate (GB) Dylan Hogan · Michael Bell	40/1	.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (5)	Knebworth Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	133	—	666119	86	99	-	24d	—	—	+9	25.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
3-5 on the AW and won twice on turf last month; well held last time and just 1lb lower
6 (2)	Secret Moment Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Saeed Bin Suroor	J:Oisin Murphy T:Saeed Bin Suroor	132	tp	455-18	82	97	56	53d	—	—	0	11.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Two wins on Tapeta, including on his reappearance; a player if back to his best
3 (1)	Justcallmepete Bay J:Dougie Costello T:James Evans	J:Dougie Costello T:James Evans	136	—	443420	86	98	65	26d	—	—	+5	16.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Completed an AW four-timer last winter and soft ground an excuse last time; respected
11 (6)	Bear Profit Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	124	p	-88400	74	97	82	14d	—	—	-2	9.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Record here reads 1134 and is 6lb below his last winning mark; interesting
7 (4)	Hello Me Bay J:James Doyle T:Joseph Parr	J:James Doyle T:Joseph Parr	129	v	672101	79	100	87	37d	—	—	+16	26.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
6-15 on the AW, including a C&D success; 2-3 in the visor and another big run is expected
1 (7)	Lucky Man Bay J:Neil Callan T:Richard Spencer	J:Neil Callan T:Richard Spencer	140	p	8-0300	90	96	-	26d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+4	12.4	2.00/1	9 11%
Hasn't hit top gear this season and hard to recommend despite the drop in class
8 (10)	Lulworth Cove Bay J:William Buick T:Richard Hannon	J:William Buick T:Richard Hannon	128	—	-21606	81	99	66	14d	—	—	+6	14.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
2-2 on the AW; can't be dismissed if revived by the return to an artificial surface
9 (9)	Northern Spirit Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	125	p	134122	78	97	70	16d	—	—	+15	23.5	2.00/1	9 11%
Makes his Polytrack debut, but his consistency means that he cannot be dismissed
10 (3)	Kessaar Power Bay J:J F Egan T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:J F Egan T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	124	v	116277	77	95	63	16d	—	—	+7	13	2.75/1	12 8%
Won first two starts for this yard in the spring; return to Polytrack may help; visor on
NR (12)	Zaman Jemil Bay J:Ryan Moore T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Ryan Moore T:Harry & Roger Charlton	138	—	37-316	91	98	-	19d	—	—	0	14.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
1-1 on the AW and won well at Thirsk last month but didn't back it up last time
4 (11)	Think Climate Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Bell	J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Bell	135	p	1-99U0	88	94	70	47d	—	—	+14	17.6	5.25/1	22 5%
2-3 on the AW, but shown little since returning in April; enough to prove
12 (8)	Ramiro Chestnut J:Shane Kelly T:Brian Ellison	J:Shane Kelly T:Brian Ellison	122	—	522138	72	98	-	21d	—	—	+13	15.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Well held at Chepstow three weeks ago and two efforts on the AW have been poor

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Knebworth	9/2	4	4	4	4
Secret Moment	13/2	6	6	6	6
Justcallmepete	13/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Bear Profit	11/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Hello Me	7	13/2	13/2	7	13/2
Lucky Man	9	9	9	9	9
Lulworth Cove	9	8	17/2	17/2	17/2
Northern Spirit	8	9	9	9	9
Kessaar Power	12	12	12	12	12
Zaman Jemil	6	13/2	6	6	6
Think Climate	20	22	18	22	22
Ramiro	28/1	28	28	28	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hello Me

26.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 16.5 Odds: 2.9

13/2

2nd

Knebworth

25.7

OR: 9 Form: 12 Odds: 4.7

9/2

3rd

Northern Spirit

23.5

OR: 7 Form: 14.1 Odds: 2.4

Think Climate

17.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

Justcallmepete

16.7

OR: 9 Form: 4.4 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Ramiro

15.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 9.6 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Zaman Jemil

14.3

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Lulworth Cove

14.1

OR: 7.8 Form: 4 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Kessaar Power

OR: 6.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.7

Lucky Man

12.4

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Secret Moment

11.3

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Bear Profit

9.3

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Zaman Jemil	91	98	—
Lucky Man	90	96	—
Think Climate	88	94	70
Knebworth	86	99	—
Justcallmepete	86	98	65
Secret Moment	82	97	56
Lulworth Cove	81	99	66
Hello Me	79	100	87
Northern Spirit	78	97	70
Kessaar Power	77	95	63
Bear Profit	74	97	82
Ramiro	72	98	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bear Profit	14d ago	Fit
Lulworth Cove	14d ago	Fit
Northern Spirit	16d ago	Fit
Kessaar Power	16d ago	Fit
Zaman Jemil	19d ago	Fit
Ramiro	21d ago	Fit
Knebworth	24d ago	Fit
Justcallmepete	26d ago	Fit
Lucky Man	26d ago	Fit
Hello Me	37d ago	Fit
Think Climate	47d ago	Fresh
Secret Moment	53d ago	Fresh