Simonstown Handicap – Navan

Navan

14:50

Simonstown Handicap

Date 2023-09-02

Distance 5f

Class

Going Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €6,490

Runners (23)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (19)	Cavallo Pazzo Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	140	t	421-82	68	77	62	22d	—	—	-11	11.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Tipperary second will appreciate this stiffer track but probably wants it softer
16 (17)	Jazzy Dancer Bay J:Luke McAteer T:W J Martin	J:Luke McAteer T:W J Martin	124	tv	063434	52	81	72	6d	—	—	-3	6	2.25/1	10 10%
Running well in defeat of late but more needed
6 (1)	Universally Grey J:Chris Hayes T:E J Oneill	J:Chris Hayes T:E J Oneill	134	b	000532	62	81	72	6d	—	—	0	14.1	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Breakthrough win not far away but drop back in trip may not be ideal
8 (2)	Distillate Chestnut J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Adrian Mcguinness	132	t	826421	61	83	71	6d	—	—	+13	19	2.75/1	12 8%
Just held Universally at Naas last weekend; could confirm that form over this shorter trip
2 (14)	Siesta Beach Bay J:Colin Keane T:M D Ocallaghan	J:Colin Keane T:M D Ocallaghan	138	b	09-743	66	75	59	14d	—	—	0	5.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Curragh third down to a competitive mark and stiff finish should suit
5 (23)	Run Forrest Run Bay J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Michael Patrick Fenton	J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Michael Patrick Fenton	134	p	-37186	62	81	67	7d	—	—	+4	10.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Promising comeback run last weekend; drop back to 5f may not be ideal but respected
7 (6)	Rathbranchurch Chestnut J:Gary Carroll T:Michael Mulvany	J:Gary Carroll T:Michael Mulvany	133	—	037053	62	83	61	2d	—	—	+2	8.3	3.25/1	14 7%
Ran up to form when third in maiden here on Thursday; remains opposable back in handicap
10 (21)	Californiagoldrush Chestnut J:Conor Stone-Walsh(7) T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(7) T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	126	—	665306	55	80	66	36d	—	—	-1	4.4	4.25/1	18 6%
First attempt at 5f here and needs to improve to be in the mix
11 (18)	Cholita Bay J:Ben Coen T:Sarah Lynam	J:Ben Coen T:Sarah Lynam	125	tp	5-8053	54	76	59	15d	—	—	-2	2.2	4.25/1	18 6%
Cork run encouraging; cheekpieces added on here so don't rule out
NR (4)	Bright Image Bay J:TBC T:C P Donoghue	J: T:C P Donoghue	128	—	7-80	56	65	46	139d	—	—	-9	5.6	6.75/1	28 4%
Hasn't shown his hand in three qualifying maidens, best watched on handicap debut
12 (5)	Ever Rock Bay J:Wesley Joyce(7) T:J J Lambe	J:Wesley Joyce(7) T:J J Lambe	125	—	000062	53	79	63	14d	—	—	+2	7.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Last year's winner off 66 down to a nice mark judged on recent Curragh second
14 (20)	Sosallycanwait Grey Roan J:Declan McDonogh T:Leanne Breen	J:Declan McDonogh T:Leanne Breen	125	b	326366	53	79	66	14d	—	—	-2	5.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Plenty to find with some of these on latest Curragh run; blinkers tried
13 (13)	Hot Whispers Bay J:J M Sheridan T:Adrian Brendan Joyce	J:J M Sheridan T:Adrian Brendan Joyce	125	tp	035301	53	78	63	14d	—	—	+8	14.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won with authority over Ever Rock and Siesta Beach at the Curragh; changed yards since
18 (16)	Senado Square Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	120	—	104509	49	78	75	6d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Naas winner in March has generally struggled since; others preferred
4 (9)	Not Too Real Bad Bay J:Shane Foley T:Thomas Mullins	J:Shane Foley T:Thomas Mullins	137	ht	184440	66	81	70	7d	—	—	+1	5.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Below form when upped to 6f latest, will appreciate return to best trip
15 (12)	Art Of Unity Chestnut J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Muredach Kelly	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Muredach Kelly	124	tp	-00355	52	81	69	14d	—	—	-1	3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Recent runs okay but needs to step up to feature; first-time headgear combination
3 (15)	Starnight Chestnut J:Shane B Kelly T:J P Murtagh	J:Shane B Kelly T:J P Murtagh	138	—	57-601	67	75	56	123d	—	—	+2	5	8.00/1	33 3%
Nottingham winner on soft back from a break and may may find this ground on the quick side
21 (3)	Silver Nemo Grey J:Killian Leonard T:Lee Smyth	J:Killian Leonard T:Lee Smyth	119	tb	3-4084	47	72	56	14d	—	—	-1	3.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Staying-on Curragh fourth to Hot Whispers augurs well although more needed
NR (22)	Eruption Bay J:TBC T:Matthew J Smith	J: T:Matthew J Smith	121	b	000220	49	80	70	26d	—	—	+3	7.3	9.75/1	40 3%
6f too far on soft latest, conditions more in her favour here
22 (10)	Step Back In Time Chestnut J:Rory Cleary T:Christopher David Timmons	J:Rory Cleary T:Christopher David Timmons	119	p	-08467	47	73	58	3d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Midfield at Cork on Wednesday; drop back to 5f here could suit but 7lb out of handicap
19 (11)	Giocoso Bay J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Andrew Slattery	119	v	069088	47	80	65	6d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Good early pace at Naas last weekend suggests this trip could suit; visor tried
23 (8)	Allie Bear Bay J:Sean D Bowen(7) T:C W J Farrell	J:Sean D Bowen(7) T:C W J Farrell	119	p	007097	48	65	47	15d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.25/1	66 2%
Yet to trouble judge in handicaps despite declining mark; 4lb wrong here and hard to fancy
20 (7)	My Joker Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C Mcconnell	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C Mcconnell	119	—	09090-	47	75	74	281d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.25/1	150 1%
Nothing for Ado McGuinness and first start for new yard; 7lb wrong

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Cavallo Pazzo	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Jazzy Dancer	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	10
Universally	5	5/1	9/2	5/1	5
Distillate	12	12	12	12	12
Siesta Beach	14	14	12	14	14
Run Forrest Run	14	12	12	12	12/1
Rathbranchurch	14	12	12	12	12/1
Californiagoldrush	18	16	12	16	16/1
Cholita	16	18	16	18	18
Bright Image	28	20	20	22	22
Ever Rock	16	14/1	14/1	16	16/1
Sosallycanwait	11	11/1	10	11	11
Hot Whispers	12	11/1	11/1	12	12/1
Senado Square	20	16	14	16	16/1
Not Too Real Bad	20	20/1	18/1	22/1	20/1
Art Of Unity	22	22/1	22	22	22
Starnight	33	28	25	28	28
Silver Nemo	25	22	20	22	22/1
Eruption	40	40	33	40	40
Step Back In Time	28	25/1	22	25	25/1
Giocoso	50	40	33	40	40
Allie Bear	66	33/1	33	40	40/1
My Joker	150	80	66	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Distillate

OR: 2.8 Form: 14.5 Odds: 1.7

2nd

Hot Whispers

14.6

OR: 0.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.7

12/1

3rd

Universally

14.1

OR: 3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4

5/1

Cavallo Pazzo

11.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Run Forrest Run

10.2

OR: 3 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.6

Rathbranchurch

8.3

OR: 3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.7

Eruption

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 6 Odds: 1.3

Ever Rock

7.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Jazzy Dancer

OR: 0.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

Siesta Beach

5.6

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Bright Image

5.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.1

Sosallycanwait

5.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Not Too Real Bad

5.1

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Starnight

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Californiagoldrush

4.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6

Silver Nemo

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1

Art Of Unity

OR: 0.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1

22/1

Cholita

2.2

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Senado Square

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Step Back In Time

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Giocoso

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Allie Bear

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

My Joker

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cavallo Pazzo	68	77	62
Starnight	67	75	56
Siesta Beach	66	75	59
Not Too Real Bad	66	81	70
Universally	62	81	72
Run Forrest Run	62	81	67
Rathbranchurch	62	83	61
Distillate	61	83	71
Bright Image	56	65	46
Californiagoldrush	55	80	66
Cholita	54	76	59
Ever Rock	53	79	63
Sosallycanwait	53	79	66
Hot Whispers	53	78	63
Jazzy Dancer	52	81	72
Art Of Unity	52	81	69
Senado Square	49	78	75
Eruption	49	80	70
Allie Bear	48	65	47
Silver Nemo	47	72	56
Step Back In Time	47	73	58
Giocoso	47	80	65
My Joker	47	75	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rathbranchurch	2d ago	Quick return
Step Back In Time	3d ago	Quick return
Jazzy Dancer	6d ago	Quick return
Universally	6d ago	Quick return
Distillate	6d ago	Quick return
Senado Square	6d ago	Quick return
Giocoso	6d ago	Quick return
Run Forrest Run	7d ago	Quick return
Not Too Real Bad	7d ago	Quick return
Siesta Beach	14d ago	Fit
Ever Rock	14d ago	Fit
Sosallycanwait	14d ago	Fit
Hot Whispers	14d ago	Fit
Art Of Unity	14d ago	Fit
Silver Nemo	14d ago	Fit
Cholita	15d ago	Fit
Allie Bear	15d ago	Fit
Cavallo Pazzo	22d ago	Fit
Eruption	26d ago	Fit
Californiagoldrush	36d ago	Fit
Starnight	123d ago	Long break
Bright Image	139d ago	Long break
My Joker	281d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Bright Image	Mid-Pack
Step Back In Time	Mid-Pack
Run Forrest Run	Hold Up
Hot Whispers	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 4 of 23 runners classified.