British EBF Ruby Anniversary Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Chester

14:10

Date 2023-09-02

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,233

Winning Time 1m 29.75s (slow by 5.65s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Politico (IRE) Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	4/1	Won
2nd	Autumn Rose (IRE) David Egan · Tony Carroll	28/1	2.75
3rd	It's Not Risky (GB) Jason Hart · Hugo Palmer	6/1	.5
4th	Infinity Blue (IRE) David Probert · Andrew Balding	5/4F	0.2
5th	Terratino Fire (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Hugo Palmer	9/1	.75
6th	Foreign Exchange (GB) Daniel Tudhope · K R Burke	15/2	7.5
7th	Mister Gan (GB) Sam James · Craig Lidster	12/1	6
8th	Varden (IRE) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	20/1	4.75
9th	Nicholo (GB) Laura Coughlan · Lisa Williamson	100/1	8.5

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (10)	Colorada Dancer Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Fahey	J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Fahey	130	—	2	-	92	-	13d	—	—	-27	21.3	—	—
Non-runner
4 (7)	Infinity Blue Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	130	—	83	-	86	59	29d	—	—	-22	14.8	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Improved third at Newmarket and that form was boosted big time at York
1 (2)	Politico Bay J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	136	—	31055	80	84	69	40d	—	—	-1	16.1	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Course winner but not obviously progressive and penalised back in a novice
NR (11)	Valadero Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Darryll Holland	J:Hector Crouch T:Darryll Holland	130	—	2243	80	90	78	27d	—	—	-9	25.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Has form claims but debatable what improvement there is to come and he's drawn wide
3 (6)	Foreign Exchange Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:K R Burke	J:Daniel Tudhope T:K R Burke	130	—	72	-	80	48	15d	—	—	-2	7.7	1.75/1	8 13%
No match for the comfortable winner at Thirsk and may need more
5 (1)	Its Not Risky Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	130	—	8	-	71	49	22d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.25/1	6 17%
£60,000 yearling; only 9-1 at Haydock (7f, good) and not a lot went right
8 (3)	Terratino Fire Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Hugo Palmer	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Hugo Palmer	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Has been gelded; locally trained and would need to see some confidence behind him
6 (5)	Mister Gan Bay J:Sam James T:Craig Lidster	J:Sam James T:Craig Lidster	130	—	7	-	66	51	98d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Kicked off at York but was only seventh in a field of nine and that was back in May
10 (9)	Varden Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	130	p	06	-	76	69	42d	—	—	-3	1.2	3.75/1	16 6%
Unlikely that he's done himself justice to date; now goes in cheekpieces; not ruled out
11 (4)	Autumn Rose Bay J:David Egan T:Tony Carroll	J:David Egan T:Tony Carroll	125	—	05	-	71	42	31d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Ex-Irish; showed more at Leicester (6f, soft) but still looks one for another day
7 (8)	Nicholo Bay J:Laura Coughlan(5) T:Lisa Williamson	J:Laura Coughlan(5) T:Lisa Williamson	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	37.25/1	150 1%
Newcomer and stable has not had a 2yo winner in the last five seasons

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Colorada Dancer	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Infinity Blue	11/8	5/4	5/4	5/4	11/8
Politico	4	4	4	7/2	7/2
Valadero	11/2	5	5	5	5
Foreign Exchange	8	8	8	8	8
Its Not Risky	6	6	6	6	6
Terratino Fire	15/2	9	9	9/1	9
Mister Gan	14	14	14	14	14
Varden	16	16	16	16	16
Autumn Rose	28	33	33	28	33
Nicholo	150	66	66	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Valadero

25.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 7 Odds: 11

11/2

2nd

Colorada Dancer

21.3

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 16.3

—

3rd

Politico

16.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 5

7/2

Infinity Blue

14.8

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 11.8

11/8

Foreign Exchange

7.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

Its Not Risky

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Terratino Fire

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Mister Gan

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Varden

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Autumn Rose

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Nicholo

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Politico	80	84	69
Valadero	80	90	78
Colorada Dancer	—	92	—
Infinity Blue	—	86	59
Foreign Exchange	—	80	48
Its Not Risky	—	71	49
Terratino Fire	—	—	—
Mister Gan	—	66	51
Varden	—	76	69
Autumn Rose	—	71	42
Nicholo	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Colorada Dancer	13d ago	Quick return
Foreign Exchange	15d ago	Fit
Its Not Risky	22d ago	Fit
Valadero	27d ago	Fit
Infinity Blue	29d ago	Fit
Autumn Rose	31d ago	Fit
Politico	40d ago	Fit
Varden	42d ago	Fit
Mister Gan	98d ago	Long break
Terratino Fire	—	—
Nicholo	—	—