At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

16:50

At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap

Date 2023-09-06

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,245

Winning Time 1m 36.98s (slow by 2.08s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Belo Horizonte (GB) Neil Callan · Richard Spencer	8/13F	Won
2nd	Al Tarfa (GB) Marco Ghiani · William Knight	3/1	1
3rd	Sprezzatura (IRE) Cieren Fallon · Michael Appleby	14/1	0.3
4th	Gintini (IRE) George Rooke · Laura Mongan	50/1	3.25
5th	Angel Of Antrim (IRE) Luke Morris · Ali Stronge	8/1	1
6th	Larrsen (GB) David Probert · Gary Moore	12/1	2.5
7th	Cabaret Show (IRE) Sean Levey · Tom Ward	50/1	1.25
8th	Grey Rosetta (GB) Joey Haynes · Luke Dace	150/1	1.75
9th	Arlecchino's Star (GB) Adam Farragher · Mark Usher	150/1	1.75
10th	King Elvis (GB) Josephine Gordon · Tony Carroll	50/1	.5

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	Belo Horizonte Chestnut J:Neil Callan T:Richard Spencer	J:Neil Callan T:Richard Spencer	140	p	563111	65	79	61	7d	—	—	-9	46.1	0.15/1	8/13 62%
On a roll and is just 2lb higher than when beating Al Tarfa with good bit in hand latest
2 (6)	Al Tarfa Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	137	—	346782	62	76	57	7d	—	—	-9	15.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Best of the rest behind Belo Horizonte over C&D last week; strong place claims
5 (8)	Larrsen Bay J:David Probert T:Gary Moore	J:David Probert T:Gary Moore	132	p	5-7168	57	69	42	39d	—	—	-4	4	2.50/1	11 9%
Bath win in May is the anomaly in his form and headgear needs to help him settle
6 (9)	Angel Of Antrim Bay J:Luke Morris T:Ali Stronge	J:Luke Morris T:Ali Stronge	131	p	845391	56	72	59	14d	—	—	+8	14.9	2.75/1	12 8%
C&D third and Kempton win last two AW starts; each-way claims
3 (2)	Sprezzatura Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Michael Appleby	J:Cieren Fallon T:Michael Appleby	136	p	564472	61	70	42	12d	—	—	+4	9.1	3.75/1	16 6%
0-14 for Iain Jardine; neck away from making winning stable debut at Ffos Las 12 days ago
4 (5)	Cabaret Show Bay J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	134	tp	599	59	68	33	21d	—	—	+1	2.7	16.25/1	66 2%
Went backwards in novice/maiden company and faces tough task in first handicap
7 (10)	Gintini Bay J:George Rooke T:Laura Mongan	J:George Rooke T:Laura Mongan	121	p	79-447	46	65	55	19d	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Has plenty to prove going beyond 7f for the first time
8 (4)	King Elvis Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Tony Carroll	J:Josephine Gordon T:Tony Carroll	121	—	00985	46	64	-	28d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Midfield at best so far and moving up to 1m needs to make a big difference
10 (7)	Arlecchinos Star Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Mark Usher	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Mark Usher	121	p	750000	46	55	35	23d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
13 starts and yet to get within 4l of winning; can't consider
9 (3)	Grey Rosetta Grey J:Joey Haynes T:Luke Dace	J:Joey Haynes T:Luke Dace	121	—	860468	46	64	-	16d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Fair fourth of six on turf here last month but has beaten just one home since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Belo Horizonte	4/7	4/7	8/13	4/7	4/7
Al Tarfa	11/4	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2
Larrsen	10	11	11	11	11
Angel Of Antrim	12	12	12	12	12
Sprezzatura	16	16	16	16	16
Cabaret Show	66	50	50	50	50
Gintini	80	66	66	66	66
King Elvis	100	80/1	100	100	100
Arlecchinos Star	150/1	100	80	100	100
Grey Rosetta	150	100	100	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Belo Horizonte

46.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 22.9 Odds: 19.4

8/13

2nd

Al Tarfa

15.3

OR: 3 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Angel Of Antrim

14.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.9

Sprezzatura

9.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

Larrsen

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Cabaret Show

2.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Gintini

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

King Elvis

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Arlecchinos Star

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Grey Rosetta

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Belo Horizonte	65	79	61
Al Tarfa	62	76	57
Sprezzatura	61	70	42
Cabaret Show	59	68	33
Larrsen	57	69	42
Angel Of Antrim	56	72	59
Gintini	46	65	55
King Elvis	46	64	—
Arlecchinos Star	46	55	35
Grey Rosetta	46	64	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Belo Horizonte	7d ago	Quick return
Al Tarfa	7d ago	Quick return
Sprezzatura	12d ago	Quick return
Angel Of Antrim	14d ago	Fit
Grey Rosetta	16d ago	Fit
Gintini	19d ago	Fit
Cabaret Show	21d ago	Fit
Arlecchinos Star	23d ago	Fit
King Elvis	28d ago	Fit
Larrsen	39d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.