St Leger Form Study On attheraces.com Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Southwell

14:48

Date 2023-09-07

Distance 1m7f182y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,357

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5	Manimole Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	154	—	-22122	100	118	98	44d	—	—	+5	39.2	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Consistent mare who had a near miss here last time and is respected back in trip
1	Adamaris Chestnut J:Brian Hughes T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Brian Hughes T:Adrian Paul Keatley	161	p	50-126	112	122	108	19d	—	—	-5	24.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Had an excuse at 2m4f last time and has leading form claims back in a 2m novice
2	Book Of Secrets Bay J:Robert Dunne T:Charles & Adam Pogson	J:Robert Dunne T:Charles & Adam Pogson	161	tp	244214	103	115	96	19d	—	—	+15	25.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Unchallenged at Market Rasen last month but was disappointing under a penalty there latest
4	Sobegrand Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	159	—	531P	108	114	85	47d	—	—	+13	24.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Stratford winner who had an excuse latest and could bounce back on this drop back in trip
3	Hobie Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:David Dennis	J:Gavin Sheehan T:David Dennis	161	—	10-513	109	116	90	96d	—	—	+7	17.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Won at Worcester in May before a creditable effort at Stratford last time; in the mix
6	Point Of Honour Bay J:Miss Pippa Brown(7) T:Craig Lidster	J:Miss Pippa Brown(7) T:Craig Lidster	154	—	5	-	101	29	19d	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Triple Flat winner but was well held on his belated hurdling debut last month
NR	Tara Vango Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Jake Thomas Coulson	J:NON-RUNNER T:Jake Thomas Coulson	145	h	6	-	-	-	41d	—	—	-9	3.7	31.00/1	125 1%
Finished a remote last of six in a Uttoxeter bumper in July; now switched to hurdles
7	Rock Dete Bay J:Alan Johns T:Sam Allwood	J:Alan Johns T:Sam Allwood	154	—	3P/106	-	66	19	8d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
Point winner but he's been tailed off at massive prices in both hurdle runs
8	Cassiel Grey J:TBC T:Mark Weatherer	J: T:Mark Weatherer	152	—	U	-	-	-	12d	—	—	-1	0.4	124.75/1	500 0%
Unplaced in 14 Flat runs and he didn't get very far on recent hurdling debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Manimole	6/4	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8
Adamaris	15/8	15/8	15/8	2	15/8
Book Of Secrets	8	7	15/2	15/2	8
Sobegrand	7	6	6	13/2	7
Hobie	7	15/2	8/1	15/2	9
Point Of Honour	40	33	33/1	33	28
Tara Vango	125	125	125	125	125
Rock Dete	250	200	200/1	200	150
Cassiel	500	200	200/1	200	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Manimole

39.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 16 Odds: 10.7

6/4

2nd

Book Of Secrets

25.8

OR: 13.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

Sobegrand

24.8

OR: 14.5 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Adamaris

24.4

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

15/8

Hobie

17.6

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Tara Vango

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.7

125

Point Of Honour

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Cassiel

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

500

Rock Dete

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Adamaris	112	122	108
Hobie	109	116	90
Sobegrand	108	114	85
Book Of Secrets	103	115	96
Manimole	100	118	98
Point Of Honour	—	101	29
Tara Vango	—	—	—
Rock Dete	—	66	19
Cassiel	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rock Dete	8d ago	Quick return
Cassiel	12d ago	Quick return
Adamaris	19d ago	Fit
Book Of Secrets	19d ago	Fit
Point Of Honour	19d ago	Fit
Tara Vango	41d ago	Fit
Manimole	44d ago	Fit
Sobegrand	47d ago	Fresh
Hobie	96d ago	Long break