Trust A Trader Handicap – Carlisle

Carlisle

19:35

Trust A Trader Handicap

Date 2023-09-07

Distance 1m6f32y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (9)	Marbuzet Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	135	b	322233	55	66	59	9d	—	—	-2	17.1	0.50/1	3 33%
Most consistent sort; good third at Ripon nine days ago; player off an unchanged mark
2 (2)	Merrijig Bay J:Ben Curtis T:John Berry	J:Ben Curtis T:John Berry	141	—	6665	61	66	52	26d	—	—	-6	6.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Low-mileage 5yo; fair fifth on handicap debut at Newmarket 26 days ago; not ruled out
1 (8)	The Navigator Grey J:P J McDonald T:Dianne Sayer	J:P J McDonald T:Dianne Sayer	141	—	58-748	61	66	49	17d	—	—	-6	6.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Course scorer; not discredited when eighth at Catterick latest; one to consider
6 (7)	Oh So Chic Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Sara Ender	J:Joanna Mason T:Sara Ender	130	p	-96492	50	70	48	30d	—	—	-1	7.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
C&D winner but not been the easiest to catch right this term; still needs considering
9 (4)	Samurai Sneddz Bay J:William Pyle(5) T:Katie Scott	J:William Pyle(5) T:Katie Scott	126	p	475546	46	64	50	27d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Course winner; respectable Musselburgh sixth latest but she's a temperamental type
4 (3)	Bouncing Bobby Bay J:David Nolan T:Martin Todhunter	J:David Nolan T:Martin Todhunter	136	—	2-0160	56	67	61	20d	—	—	-4	8.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Scored at Hamilton (1m4f) in June but he's been well below par both runs since
8 (1)	Toutatis Bay J:Graham Lee T:Ewan Whillans	J:Graham Lee T:Ewan Whillans	128	b	582462	48	69	58	21d	—	—	0	8.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Remains winless but he posted a good second in Ayr handicap three weeks ago; possibilities
7 (10)	Bamboo Bay Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Philip Kirby	J:Connor Beasley T:Philip Kirby	130	—	-05954	50	66	50	43d	—	—	-5	1.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Is yet to hit top form this season; more is needed despite a falling mark
3 (6)	Bobby Shaftoe Chestnut J:Mark Winn(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Jim Goldie	141	b	411164	61	65	48	160d	—	—	+9	14.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Off since a good Newcastle fourth in March; possibilities if fully tuned up for return
10 (5)	Paddys Fancy Grey J:Andrew Mullen T:Philip Kirby	J:Andrew Mullen T:Philip Kirby	126	p	7-5866	46	60	49	24d	—	—	-3	1.2	8.00/1	33 3%
Yet to make the frame in four runs for new yard this term; not easy to make a case for

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Marbuzet	3	3	3	3	3
Merrijig	11/2	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
The Navigator	11/2	6	6	6	6
Oh So Chic	9	8	17/2	8	8
Samurai Sneddz	9	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Bouncing Bobby	7	15/2	7	15/2	15/2
Toutatis	9	9	9	8	17/2
Bamboo Bay	12	11	10	11	11
Bobby Shaftoe	12	14	12	12	12
Paddys Fancy	33	18	16	18	18

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Marbuzet

17.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 10.1 Odds: 5.7

2nd

Bobby Shaftoe

14.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

3rd

Toutatis

8.9

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Bouncing Bobby

8.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.6

15/2

Oh So Chic

7.5

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Merrijig

6.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

The Navigator

6.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Samurai Sneddz

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Bamboo Bay

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Paddys Fancy

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Merrijig	61	66	52
The Navigator	61	66	49
Bobby Shaftoe	61	65	48
Bouncing Bobby	56	67	61
Marbuzet	55	66	59
Oh So Chic	50	70	48
Bamboo Bay	50	66	50
Toutatis	48	69	58
Samurai Sneddz	46	64	50
Paddys Fancy	46	60	49

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Marbuzet	9d ago	Quick return
The Navigator	17d ago	Fit
Bouncing Bobby	20d ago	Fit
Toutatis	21d ago	Fit
Paddys Fancy	24d ago	Fit
Merrijig	26d ago	Fit
Samurai Sneddz	27d ago	Fit
Oh So Chic	30d ago	Fit
Bamboo Bay	43d ago	Fit
Bobby Shaftoe	160d ago	Long break