William Hill Epic Boost Racing League Race 30 Handicap (Racing League)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:15

Date 2023-09-07

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £12,885

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (10)	Razzam Brown J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	132	—	524312	76	94	66	7d	—	—	+9	26	0.75/1	4 25%
Two good runs for new yard, narrowly missing out at Newcastle last week; contender
5 (2)	Momaer Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Mark Loughnane	135	ht	3-1613	77	90	65	28d	—	—	-1	12.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Unexposed and progressive front-runner; well drawn to attack; latest form worked out well
2 (5)	Hello Me Bay J:Luke Morris T:Joseph Parr	J:Luke Morris T:Joseph Parr	137	—	721012	79	92	79	7d	—	—	+15	26.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Conditions to suit and comes here in good order; easy lead unlikely but still a key player
3 (3)	Minnetonka Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	136	—	487604	80	89	66	15d	—	—	0	10.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
No win since debut but there was clear promise over 7f at Kempton latest; return to 6f a +
9 (1)	Bear Profit Bay J:Laura Pearson T:Stuart Williams	J:Laura Pearson T:Stuart Williams	132	p	884007	74	89	74	7d	—	—	0	8.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Not at best this year and perhaps not ready to exploit his reduced mark
6 (11)	Le Beau Garcon Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Ben Robinson T:Michael & David Easterby	135	b	334623	77	91	-	27d	—	—	+7	16.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Handicapped to win but drawn wide on this rare 6f run; change of headgear today
7 (9)	Kit Gabriel Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:David Loughnane	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:David Loughnane	134	p	2904-4	76	88	-	29d	—	—	0	9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Promising stable debut at Pontefract last month; has C&D form; likely to go well
8 (8)	Estate Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	133	t	163189	77	89	-	21d	—	—	+8	14.3	3.25/1	14 7%
His two wins this year have come in 5f Class 5 handicaps; well held over 6f latest
1 (6)	International Girl Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	138	—	-24828	80	91	-	14d	—	—	+7	13.7	2.75/1	12 8%
On a winning mark; promise in one Tapeta run; down in class and not discounted
12 (13)	Water Of Leith Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	128	—	043457	70	90	-	21d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+1	7.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Two C&D wins to his name; handicapped to go well but stall 13 won't make life easy
13 (4)	Aira Force Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	126	p	3-6404	70	87	59	5d	—	—	+4	8.3	6.00/1	25 4%
Quiet the last twice; tongue-tie off and cheekpieces on; others stronger
4 (7)	Crimson Angel Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Clive Cox	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Clive Cox	136	—	4-110	80	88	38	21d	—	—	+5	8.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Two AW wins early in the year; absent until low-key turf return 3 weeks ago; can do better
11 (12)	Alcazan Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Roger Teal	J:Trevor Whelan T:Roger Teal	129	—	-30701	71	91	61	13d	—	—	+14	16.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Back to winning ways on turf latest (form franked) but vulnerable from wide draw this time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Razzam	4	4	4	4	4
Momaer	11/2	11/2	5	5	11/2
Hello Me	13/2	13/2	11/2	13/2	13/2
Minnetonka	8	8	8	13/2	15/2
Bear Profit	9	9	17/2	8	9
Le Beau Garcon	10	10	9	10	10
Kit Gabriel	9	9	17/2	8	17/2
Estate	14	12	12	12	14
International Girl	12	11	12	12	12
Water Of Leith	14	14	12	12	14
Aira Force	25	25	20	20	22
Crimson Angel	25	25	22	22	25/1
Alcazan	40	40	28	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hello Me

26.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 16 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Razzam

OR: 6.5 Form: 14.5 Odds: 5

3rd

Alcazan

16.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 0.7

Le Beau Garcon

16.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.5

Estate

14.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.6

International Girl

13.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.7

Momaer

12.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4

11/2

Minnetonka

10.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Kit Gabriel

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Bear Profit

8.4

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Crimson Angel

8.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Aira Force

8.3

OR: 5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Water Of Leith

7.6

OR: 5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Minnetonka	80	89	66
International Girl	80	91	—
Crimson Angel	80	88	38
Hello Me	79	92	79
Momaer	77	90	65
Le Beau Garcon	77	91	—
Estate	77	89	—
Razzam	76	94	66
Kit Gabriel	76	88	—
Bear Profit	74	89	74
Alcazan	71	91	61
Water Of Leith	70	90	—
Aira Force	70	87	59

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Aira Force	5d ago	Quick return
Razzam	7d ago	Quick return
Hello Me	7d ago	Quick return
Bear Profit	7d ago	Quick return
Alcazan	13d ago	Quick return
International Girl	14d ago	Fit
Minnetonka	15d ago	Fit
Estate	21d ago	Fit
Water Of Leith	21d ago	Fit
Crimson Angel	21d ago	Fit
Le Beau Garcon	27d ago	Fit
Momaer	28d ago	Fit
Kit Gabriel	29d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.