William Hill Enhanced Odds Every Day Racing League Race 29 Nursery Handicap (Racing League)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:45

Date 2023-09-07

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £12,885

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (2)	The Smiling Wolf Chestnut J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Jack Channon	J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Jack Channon	133	—	67621	78	91	-	6d	—	—	+8	25.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Impressive win at Ffos Las last week (6f, good to soft); well in under a penalty; solid
10 (4)	Suicide Blonde Chestnut J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Richard Spencer	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Richard Spencer	128	—	742	73	85	-	15d	—	—	0	15.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Improved with each run in 6f maidens; needs more here but that's not impossible
5 (10)	Pressures On Bay J:Luke Morris T:Ed Dunlop	J:Luke Morris T:Ed Dunlop	132	—	25233	77	86	83	6d	—	—	+8	18	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Has threatened in novice/maiden/nursery company; one of two runners for Ed Dunlop
1 (9)	Mini Magna Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	137	—	42112	82	90	28	6d	—	—	+20	29	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Progressive in recent starts; went close on last week's nursery debut; 4lb well in; chance
9 (3)	Crocus Time Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	128	—	33334	73	86	-	19d	—	—	+4	13.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
No progress for nurseries (7f) latest but return to 6f no issue & she's capable of better
7 (6)	Parkers Piece Grey J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Michael Bell	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Michael Bell	131	—	5237	76	83	63	26d	—	—	+4	14	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Placed in both AW runs; didn't get home upped to 7f on nursery debut; needs career best
11 (7)	Beyond Borders Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:K R Burke	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:K R Burke	126	—	5125	71	85	-	32d	—	—	+7	16.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Progressive prior to a flop on heavy ground last time; may still have more to come
3 (5)	Tierney Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Hugo Palmer	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Hugo Palmer	133	—	466152	78	85	-	15d	—	—	+12	19.1	2.50/1	11 9%
6f Haydock winner in July; similar form when 2nd at Leicester latest; may do better yet
6 (1)	Ajwadi Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	132	—	5510	77	85	-	14d	—	—	+10	15.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Pontefract maiden winner; struggled in hot York nursery latest; this more manageable
NR (11)	Skilled Master Bay J:Ben Robinson T:James Tate	J:Ben Robinson T:James Tate	128	p	444	73	85	64	44d	—	—	+1	7.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Improvement needed for headgear if he's to defy a wide draw on his nursery debut
2 (8)	Succession Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Clive Cox	J:Trevor Whelan T:Clive Cox	134	—	415	79	83	-	104d	—	—	+11	15.3	6.75/1	28 4%
Off since May but promise over 5f and there should be more to come at this trip
12 (12)	Cogsworth Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Chris Dwyer	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Chris Dwyer	123	—	503	68	84	46	24d	—	—	+6	8.2	9.75/1	40 3%
Below par in one AW run; drawn widest and looks up against it

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
The Smiling Wolf	4	7/2	4	4	7/2
Suicide Blonde	9/2	5	9/2	5	9/2
Pressures On	8	15/2	7	15/2	15/2
Mini Magna	8	15/2	8	8	8
Crocus Time	9	17/2	17/2	8/1	8
Parkers Piece	7	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Beyond Borders	8	8	15/2	8	8
Tierney	11	9/1	11	10	10
Ajwadi	14/1	12	12	14	14
Skilled Master	16	18	18	16	18
Succession	28	22	25	25	22
Cogsworth	40	33	33	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mini Magna

OR: 8 Form: 18.5 Odds: 2.5

15/2

2nd

The Smiling Wolf

25.5

OR: 7 Form: 13.5 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

Tierney

19.1

OR: 7 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

Pressures On

OR: 6.8 Form: 8.6 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Beyond Borders

16.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Ajwadi

15.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Succession

15.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

Suicide Blonde

15.2

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Parkers Piece

OR: 6.5 Form: 4.6 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Crocus Time

13.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Cogsworth

8.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

Skilled Master

7.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mini Magna	82	90	28
Succession	79	83	—
The Smiling Wolf	78	91	—
Tierney	78	85	—
Pressures On	77	86	83
Ajwadi	77	85	—
Parkers Piece	76	83	63
Suicide Blonde	73	85	—
Crocus Time	73	86	—
Skilled Master	73	85	64
Beyond Borders	71	85	—
Cogsworth	68	84	46

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
The Smiling Wolf	6d ago	Quick return
Pressures On	6d ago	Quick return
Mini Magna	6d ago	Quick return
Ajwadi	14d ago	Fit
Suicide Blonde	15d ago	Fit
Tierney	15d ago	Fit
Crocus Time	19d ago	Fit
Cogsworth	24d ago	Fit
Parkers Piece	26d ago	Fit
Beyond Borders	32d ago	Fit
Skilled Master	44d ago	Fit
Succession	104d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.