Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap (A Jockey Club Grassroots Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)

Kempton (AW)

17:10

Date 2023-09-09

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 41.02s (slow by 3.62s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Recuerdame (USA) Paddy Bradley · Simon Dow	11/1	Won
2nd	Diamondsinthesand (IRE) Finley Marsh · Adrian Wintle	100/30	1.75
3rd	Cheese The One (GB) Christian Howarth · Stella Barclay	4/1	.75
4th	Lunar Space (IRE) David Egan · Jamie Osborne	9/4F	2.5
5th	Angel De Luz (IRE) Benoit De La Sayette · Amy Murphy	12/1	.5
6th	Lady Chapel (IRE) Stefano Cherchi · James Ferguson	9/1	2.5
7th	Star For A Day (IRE) William Carver · Simon Hodgson	10/1	3.75
8th	Boasted (GB) Pierre-Louis Jamin · Kevin Frost	50/1	.75
9th	Private Bryan (GB) Darragh Keenan · Ed de Giles	18/1	2.25

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	Lunar Space Chestnut J:David Egan T:Jamie Osborne	J:David Egan T:Jamie Osborne	137	b	006007	57	69	14	16d	—	—	-13	7.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Tumbled down weights without really looking like capitalising; risky despite drop in grade
9 (8)	Lady Chapel Bay J:Stefano Cherchi T:James Ferguson	J:Stefano Cherchi T:James Ferguson	122	—	070	47	69	-	96d	—	—	-15	6.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Poor form over 6f but some promise on 2nd run; likely improver up to 1m now handicapping
2 (6)	Diamondsinthesand Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	136	h	000324	56	73	-	16d	—	—	-6	11.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Exposed 16-race maiden; worth a crack at 1m and more likely to run his race than many
6 (5)	Cheese The One Grey J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Stella Barclay	J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Stella Barclay	129	b	475014	49	69	57	7d	—	—	-5	12	1.13/1	9/2 18%
7f winner last month and also ran well last week; stamina for 1m the query
NR (9)	Agapanther Bay J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Heather Main	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Heather Main	135	—	-15565	55	71	64	23d	—	—	-11	9.2	1.00/1	5 20%
Both wins have come here and ran creditably last time; stamina for 1m not assured
4 (7)	Recuerdame Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	133	—	010450	53	68	38	98d	—	—	-3	5	2.25/1	10 10%
Conditions no problem and capable at this level provided they don't crawl early
5 (2)	Star For A Day Chestnut J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	131	—	68834	51	60	-	39d	—	—	-3	4.6	2.50/1	11 9%
Needs improvement for the return to 1m/AW but it's not out of the question
10 (4)	Angel De Luz Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Amy Murphy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Amy Murphy	121	b	353478	46	63	-	28d	—	—	-3	2.3	3.75/1	16 6%
Poor form in ten turf starts; switch to AW needs to have a dramatic effect
7 (10)	Private Bryan Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Ed De Giles	J:Darragh Keenan T:Ed De Giles	126	—	008936	46	62	19	26d	—	—	-1	3.3	4.25/1	18 6%
Placed for first time when a front-running 3rd at Ffos Las in July; opposable on balance
8 (1)	Boasted Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Kevin Frost	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Kevin Frost	126	—	07-067	46	63	47	191d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Poor form for current stable; too much to prove for comfort

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lunar Space	3	3	3	11/4	3
Lady Chapel	7/2	10/3	7/2	3	7/2
Diamondsinthesand	4	4	4	7/2	7/2
Cheese The One	9/2	9/2	5	9/2	5
Agapanther	5	5	5	5	5
Recuerdame	10	10	10	10	10
Star For A Day	11	11	11	10	11
Angel De Luz	16	16	16	16	16
Private Bryan	18	18	18	18	18
Boasted	50	50	50	40	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cheese The One

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Diamondsinthesand

11.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 5 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

Agapanther

9.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 2 Odds: 6

Lunar Space

7.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Lady Chapel

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Recuerdame

OR: 0.8 Form: 2 Odds: 2.2

Star For A Day

4.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.2

Private Bryan

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Angel De Luz

2.3

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.4

Boasted

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lunar Space	57	69	14
Diamondsinthesand	56	73	—
Agapanther	55	71	64
Recuerdame	53	68	38
Star For A Day	51	60	—
Cheese The One	49	69	57
Lady Chapel	47	69	—
Angel De Luz	46	63	—
Private Bryan	46	62	19
Boasted	46	63	47

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cheese The One	7d ago	Quick return
Lunar Space	16d ago	Fit
Diamondsinthesand	16d ago	Fit
Agapanther	23d ago	Fit
Private Bryan	26d ago	Fit
Angel De Luz	28d ago	Fit
Star For A Day	39d ago	Fit
Lady Chapel	96d ago	Long break
Recuerdame	98d ago	Long break
Boasted	191d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.