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Newcastle (AW)

17:30

TIG Accountants Handicap

Date 2023-09-11
Distance 1m2f42y
Class Class 6
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £3,245

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
4 (13)
Calcutta Dream
Bay
J:Joanna Mason
T:Michael & David Easterby
J:Joanna Mason
T:Michael & David Easterby
 133 v 484278
53
71
39
 14d — — -9
8.5
0.75/1
4
25%
Combination of new headgear and return to Newcastle may prompt a good run
13 (12)
Ana Emaraaty
Bay
J:William Pyle(5)
T:Jim Goldie
J:William Pyle(5)
T:Jim Goldie
 120 b 657366
46
65
56
 27d 0W/0P 1 run 0W/0P 1 run -11
6.5
1.00/1
5
20%
3yo maiden; ran respectably in two C&D events last month; still unexposed on AW
7 (9)
Spirit Of Ash
Bay
J:Jason Hart
T:Tristan Davidson
J:Jason Hart
T:Tristan Davidson
 128 ht 136284
48
74
59
 28d — — -9
8.1
1.13/1
9/2
18%
Sole attempt at Newcastle resulted in June success; remains unexposed on this surface
1 (5)
Ice Shadow
Bay
J:Rowan Scott
T:Alan Brown
J:Rowan Scott
T:Alan Brown
 136 b 733145
56
67
21
 15d — — 0
11.3
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Front-runner of late; chance would improve granted an easy lead and suitable fractions
2 (10)
Balqaa
Bay
J:Christian Howarth(5)
T:Stella Barclay
J:Christian Howarth(5)
T:Stella Barclay
 135 — 626894
55
75
40
 11d — — -6
5.3
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Both wins at Newcastle, the latest off this mark last September; interesting back here
11 (8)
Two Rivers
Bay
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Iain Jardine
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Iain Jardine
 124 tp 707636
50
64
-
 25d — — -3
4.2
2.75/1
12
8%
3yo maiden who has possibilities if this switch to AW prompts improvement
3 (1)
Irv
Chestnut
J:Aiden Brookes(5)
T:Micky Hammond
J:Aiden Brookes(5)
T:Micky Hammond
 133 — -55246
53
69
20
 23d — — -2
5.2
2.75/1
12
8%
Rarely wins (just one success since 2019) and was below par here on last AW attempt
12 (11)
Zakram
Grey
J:Mark Winn(3)
T:David Omeara
J:Mark Winn(3)
T:David Omeara
 121 — 547057
47
70
40
 10d — — -5
1.7
2.75/1
12
8%
Well treated on 2yo form; current mark reflects his lesser achievements in 2023
8 (4)
Chinese Whisperer
Bay
J:Cam Hardie
T:Harriet Bethell
J:Cam Hardie
T:Harriet Bethell
 126 — 368/88
46
71
-
 41d — — -4
1.6
3.75/1
16
6%
Has achieved little in two runs since returning from lengthy absence
6 (14)
Coconut Bay
Bay
J:P J McDonald
T:Tristan Davidson
J:P J McDonald
T:Tristan Davidson
 129 ht 636490
49
69
25
 14d — — -3
1.8
4.75/1
20
5%
0-9 for current stable; chance partly depends on whether the reapplied hood works
5 (3)
Casa Luna
Bay
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Philip Kirby
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Philip Kirby
 130 — 469947
50
73
16
 13d — — -4
1.4
4.25/1
18
6%
Still a maiden but sole start under Hollie Doyle resulted in peak RPR; one to consider
10 (7)
Dome Of Stars
Chestnut
J:Joe Fanning
T:Charlie Johnston
J:Joe Fanning
T:Charlie Johnston
 125 — 763
51
59
-
 26d — — 0
4.3
5.25/1
22
5%
Holds weak claims on form but may do better now handicapping
14 (2)
Stelios
Bay
J:Shane Gray
T:Phillip Makin
J:Shane Gray
T:Phillip Makin
 120 — 539808
46
66
-
 15d — — -1
1.1
12.25/1
50
2%
Maiden who needs a big revival back on AW
9 (6)
Tarnhelm
Bay
J:Morgan Cole(5)
T:Wilf Storey
J:Morgan Cole(5)
T:Wilf Storey
 126 — -74779
46
59
19
 12d — — -4
1.4
16.25/1
66
2%
Far from consistent in recent times and losing spell goes back over three years
Horse bet365 Coral
Calcutta Dream
 4 4
Ana Emaraaty
 5 5
Spirit Of Ash
 9/2 9/2
Ice Shadow
 15/2 7
Balqaa
 13/2 15/2
Two Rivers
 11 12
Irv
 12 12
Zakram
 12 12
Chinese Whisperer
 16 16
Coconut Bay
 20 18
Casa Luna
 16 18
Dome Of Stars
 22 22
Stelios
 50 50
Tarnhelm
 66 50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Ice Shadow
11.3
OR: 1.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.3
15/2
2nd Calcutta Dream
8.5
OR: 0.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 5.2
4
3rd Spirit Of Ash
8.1
OR: 0 Form: 3.1 Odds: 5
9/2
4 Ana Emaraaty
6.5
OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5
5
5 Balqaa
5.3
OR: 1.3 Form: 1 Odds: 3.1
15/2
6 Irv
5.2
OR: 0.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.9
12
7 Dome Of Stars
4.3
OR: 0.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.1
22
8 Two Rivers
4.2
OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.1
12
9 Coconut Bay
1.8
OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.2
20
10 Zakram
1.7
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7
12
11 Chinese Whisperer
1.6
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6
16
12 Casa Luna
1.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
18
13 Tarnhelm
1.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
66
14 Stelios
1.1
OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.5
50

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Ice Shadow
56
67
21
Balqaa
55
75
40
Calcutta Dream
53
71
39
Irv
53
69
20
Dome Of Stars
51
59
 —
Two Rivers
50
64
 —
Casa Luna
50
73
16
Coconut Bay
49
69
25
Spirit Of Ash
48
74
59
Zakram
47
70
40
Ana Emaraaty
46
65
56
Chinese Whisperer
46
71
 —
Stelios
46
66
 —
Tarnhelm
46
59
19

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Zakram 10d ago Quick return
Balqaa 11d ago Quick return
Tarnhelm 12d ago Quick return
Casa Luna 13d ago Quick return
Calcutta Dream 14d ago Fit
Coconut Bay 14d ago Fit
Ice Shadow 15d ago Fit
Stelios 15d ago Fit
Irv 23d ago Fit
Two Rivers 25d ago Fit
Dome Of Stars 26d ago Fit
Ana Emaraaty 27d ago Fit
Spirit Of Ash 28d ago Fit
Chinese Whisperer 41d ago Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.