Amy Washbourne Bloom Digitally Nursery Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:30

Amy Washbourne Bloom Digitally Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-09-11

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,245

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (10)	Tees Warrior Bay J:Barry McHugh T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Barry McHugh T:Adrian Nicholls	132	—	956	57	56	-	26d	—	—	-8	5.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Open to improvement now handicapping and back down in trip; one to consider
1 (8)	Polly The Rocket Chestnut J:Sam James T:Craig Lidster	J:Sam James T:Craig Lidster	137	—	366	62	65	-	33d	—	—	-5	8.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Possible improver now handicapping with Sam James replacing 7lb apprentice
7 (4)	Forever Eighteen Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	131	—	056	56	62	-	34d	—	—	-8	5.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
One of many contenders who may do better now qualified for handicaps
3 (9)	Desert Raider Bay J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	586	58	64	-	59d	—	—	-6	5.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Bred to do better; may start to progress now qualified for a mark; possibilities
6 (5)	Hooray For Hazel Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	132	p	3876	57	67	-	21d	—	—	-5	5.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
First-time headgear and switch to AW are possible sources of improvement
2 (3)	Havana Prince Grey J:David Nolan T:Tony Coyle	J:David Nolan T:Tony Coyle	134	—	54988	59	63	-	36d	—	—	-5	5.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Has failed to build on his Brocklesby effort; down the field in two nurseries
4 (1)	My Lady Samantha Bay J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Alice Haynes	J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Alice Haynes	133	p	870	58	61	23	13d	—	—	-4	4.5	2.00/1	9 11%
Likely has a more realistic task on nursery debut; may well improve
9 (12)	Wichahpi Chestnut J:Graham Lee T:Bryan Smart	J:Graham Lee T:Bryan Smart	128	—	056	53	59	-	9d	—	—	-4	2.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Related to several winners for her stable; may improve markedly on handicap debut
8 (2)	Lady Of The Garr Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Tracy Waggott	J:Connor Beasley T:Tracy Waggott	131	—	4564	56	66	12	21d	—	—	-2	2.9	4.25/1	18 6%
The only contestant who has Newcastle form (ran well over C&D two starts ago)
11 (6)	Miss Rainstorm Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Tracy Waggott	J:Tom Eaves T:Tracy Waggott	125	—	09068	50	65	-	37d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Not entirely disgraced on penultimate run; the rest of her form is unconvincing
12 (7)	Lyndsanda Bay J:Richard Oliver T:K R Burke	J:Richard Oliver T:K R Burke	120	p	75046	45	43	29	22d	—	—	-3	1	6.75/1	28 4%
Shapes as if a bigger effort may be forthcoming; not without hope
10 (11)	Balmanzor Bay J:Harry Russell T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Harry Russell T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	126	—	086	51	63	-	29d	—	—	-2	1	8.00/1	33 3%
Combination of gelding operation and switch to nursery level may help

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Tees Warrior	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Polly The Rocket	6	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
Forever Eighteen	6	11/2	11/2	5	5
Desert Raider	6	13/2	6	6	13/2
Hooray For Hazel	13/2	7	15/2	13/2	13/2
Havana Prince	7	8	8	15/2	15/2
My Lady Samantha	9	9	8	9	9
Wichahpi	12	12	12	11	11
Lady Of The Garr	16	18	14	16	18
Miss Rainstorm	14	14	14	14	14
Lyndsanda	25	25	28	25	25
Balmanzor	33	33	33	28	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Polly The Rocket

8.1

OR: 3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Tees Warrior

5.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Hooray For Hazel

5.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Forever Eighteen

5.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Desert Raider

5.1

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Havana Prince

5.1

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

My Lady Samantha

4.5

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Lady Of The Garr

2.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Wichahpi

2.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Miss Rainstorm

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Lyndsanda

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Balmanzor

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Polly The Rocket	62	65	—
Havana Prince	59	63	—
Desert Raider	58	64	—
My Lady Samantha	58	61	23
Tees Warrior	57	56	—
Hooray For Hazel	57	67	—
Forever Eighteen	56	62	—
Lady Of The Garr	56	66	12
Wichahpi	53	59	—
Balmanzor	51	63	—
Miss Rainstorm	50	65	—
Lyndsanda	45	43	29

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wichahpi	9d ago	Quick return
My Lady Samantha	13d ago	Quick return
Hooray For Hazel	21d ago	Fit
Lady Of The Garr	21d ago	Fit
Lyndsanda	22d ago	Fit
Tees Warrior	26d ago	Fit
Balmanzor	29d ago	Fit
Polly The Rocket	33d ago	Fit
Forever Eighteen	34d ago	Fit
Havana Prince	36d ago	Fit
Miss Rainstorm	37d ago	Fit
Desert Raider	59d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.