Low Hesket Handicap – Carlisle

Carlisle

17:00

Low Hesket Handicap

Date 2023-09-13

Distance 6f195y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (3)	Engelbert Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:James Ferguson	J:NON-RUNNER T:James Ferguson	138	t	6-5318	77	82	-	168d	—	—	-43	26.8	—	—
Newcastle AW winner in March, but off 168 days and enough to prove back on turf
8 (2)	B Associates Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Jim Goldie	132	—	219971	71	84	65	13d	—	—	+3	23.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Three of his five wins have come here, but testing ground would pose a question
4 (9)	William Dewhirst Bay J:Graham Lee T:Ben Haslam	J:Graham Lee T:Ben Haslam	134	—	216633	73	84	69	30d	—	—	0	18.1	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won Thirsk maiden in May and third the last twice; loves soft ground and 7f should suit
5 (1)	Trabajo Detecho Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	133	p	532126	72	82	76	31d	—	—	+5	20.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Remains 5lb above his last winning mark and looks vulnerable to less exposed rivals
2 (5)	Naval Academy Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Mark Walford	J:Andrew Mullen T:Mark Walford	136	t	243105	75	86	66	21d	—	—	+4	15.5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
French winner who wasn't disgraced on stable debut here last time; not dismissed lightly
10 (10)	Tasever Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	126	p	243299	65	83	62	45d	—	—	-1	10.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
In the frame in seven of his first eight starts, but moderate at Pontefract the last twice
3 (4)	Bicep Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	135	—	-10800	70	83	60	25d	—	—	+2	8.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Modest in last four starts and this looks a tough task against the 3yos
9 (7)	Sunny Orange Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	128	p	394598	67	84	73	13d	—	—	-2	6.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Twice ran well at York in July, but below form since; 0-13 since successful debut
7 (8)	Alexas Princess Chestnut J:Shane Gray T:K R Burke	J:Shane Gray T:K R Burke	132	—	41630-	71	79	72	331d	—	—	+7	11.7	3.75/1	16 6%
Off 11 months; market should reveal what is expected on this reappearance
6 (6)	Bossy Parker Brown J:Barry McHugh T:Stella Barclay	J:Barry McHugh T:Stella Barclay	133	—	-58600	72	83	39	18d	—	—	+4	6.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Has failed to beat a rival in three starts since debuting for this yard in July

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Engelbert	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
B Associates	3	3	10/3	11/4	10/3
William Dewhirst	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Trabajo Detecho	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Naval Academy	6	13/2	13/2	6	13/2
Tasever	7	7	13/2	15/2	7
Bicep	12	11	12	11	12
Sunny Orange	10	9	9	9	9
Alexas Princess	16	16	16	14	16
Bossy Parker	33	33	33	33/1	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Engelbert

26.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

2nd

B Associates

23.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 12 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

Trabajo Detecho

20.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 10.6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

William Dewhirst

18.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Naval Academy

15.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 5.9 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Alexas Princess

11.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 1.4

Tasever

10.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 3.4 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Bicep

8.9

OR: 5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.9

Sunny Orange

6.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Bossy Parker

6.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Engelbert	77	82	—
Naval Academy	75	86	66
William Dewhirst	73	84	69
Trabajo Detecho	72	82	76
Bossy Parker	72	83	39
B Associates	71	84	65
Alexas Princess	71	79	72
Bicep	70	83	60
Sunny Orange	67	84	73
Tasever	65	83	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
B Associates	13d ago	Quick return
Sunny Orange	13d ago	Quick return
Bossy Parker	18d ago	Fit
Naval Academy	21d ago	Fit
Bicep	25d ago	Fit
William Dewhirst	30d ago	Fit
Trabajo Detecho	31d ago	Fit
Tasever	45d ago	Fit
Engelbert	168d ago	Long break
Alexas Princess	331d ago	Long break