Celebrating Andy Morrison's Early Retirement Nursery Handicap (Jockey Club Grassroots Series Qual')

Carlisle

14:40

Date 2023-09-13

Distance 5f182y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,234

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (10)	Knicks Bay J:Rowan Scott T:K R Burke	J:Rowan Scott T:K R Burke	129	p	3628	68	83	82	15d	—	—	-3	13.9	0.75/1	4 25%
Best effort so far on soft ground; respected back in trip with conditions likely to suit
6 (8)	Indication Call Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:K R Burke	J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:K R Burke	132	—	212743	71	81	68	8d	—	—	+1	16.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Not progressing in nurseries; has run well on good to soft, but anything softer a concern
1 (2)	Defying Orders Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Archie Watson	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Archie Watson	135	p	355143	74	81	60	12d	—	—	+5	17.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Held in two starts since winning at Lingfield; fast ground may suit her better
5 (6)	Neverstopdreaming Bay J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	133	—	41945	72	77	68	21d	—	—	+1	11.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Ran with credit on nursery debut, but didn't enjoy a clear run last time; each-way claims
4 (5)	Petra Celera Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	133	p	823130	72	76	57	27d	—	—	+8	17	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Tailed off on nursery debut last time, but consistent before that and could bounce back
2 (1)	Biloxi Boy Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	135	—	31459	74	79	70	32d	—	—	+3	12	2.25/1	10 10%
Held in three starts since winning at Ripon; soft ground remains a question mark
8 (7)	Professor Tickle Bay J:Jason Hart T:David Loughnane	J:Jason Hart T:David Loughnane	129	p	51454	68	80	62	12d	—	—	+2	9.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Not built on his Brighton success in June; needs to turn things around; cheekpieces on
7 (9)	Vitarli Bay J:Sam James T:Craig Lidster	J:Sam James T:Craig Lidster	130	—	2174	69	79	70	15d	—	—	+6	13.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Ran well on return from four months off last time; proven on soft ground; respected
3 (3)	Woodleigh Bay J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	134	—	63524	73	79	64	19d	—	—	+5	12.1	2.50/1	11 9%
Best effort when just beaten on soft ground two starts back; chance if bouncing back
10 (4)	Ishe Worth Agamble Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	124	—	649	63	76	57	51d	—	—	+1	4	8.00/1	33 3%
Open to improvement now handicapping, but testing ground would pose a question

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Knicks	4	4	4	4	4
Indication Call	9/2	4	9/2	9/2	9/2
Defying Orders	6	11/2	11/2	6	11/2
Neverstopdreaming	7	13/2	7	7	13/2
Petra Celera	9	9	9	9	17/2
Biloxi Boy	10	10	10	10	9
Professor Tickle	10	10	10	10	9
Vitarli	10	10	9	10	9
Woodleigh	11	10	11	11	11
Ishe Worth Agamble	25	33	33	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Defying Orders

17.6

OR: 6 Form: 8 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Petra Celera

OR: 5.5 Form: 9 Odds: 2.5

17/2

3rd

Indication Call

16.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Knicks

13.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 4.4 Odds: 5

Vitarli

13.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.1

Woodleigh

12.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 4.4 Odds: 1.9

Biloxi Boy

OR: 6 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.4

Neverstopdreaming

11.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Professor Tickle

9.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

Ishe Worth Agamble

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Defying Orders	74	81	60
Biloxi Boy	74	79	70
Woodleigh	73	79	64
Neverstopdreaming	72	77	68
Petra Celera	72	76	57
Indication Call	71	81	68
Vitarli	69	79	70
Knicks	68	83	82
Professor Tickle	68	80	62
Ishe Worth Agamble	63	76	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Indication Call	8d ago	Quick return
Defying Orders	12d ago	Quick return
Professor Tickle	12d ago	Quick return
Knicks	15d ago	Fit
Vitarli	15d ago	Fit
Woodleigh	19d ago	Fit
Neverstopdreaming	21d ago	Fit
Petra Celera	27d ago	Fit
Biloxi Boy	32d ago	Fit
Ishe Worth Agamble	51d ago	Fresh