British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands B, C & D) (Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Carlisle

14:05

Date 2023-09-13

Distance 5f182y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,672

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Adaay In Devon Bay J:Oliver Searle(7) T:Rod Millman	J:Oliver Searle(7) T:Rod Millman	140	—	52211	80	82	72	18d	—	—	0	42.7	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Double penalty for two decisive wins on soft ground last month, but still a major player
3 (11)	High Violet Bay J:Sam James T:David Loughnane	J:Sam James T:David Loughnane	128	—	4	-	85	62	26d	—	—	-15	6.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Promising fourth on Newbury debut last month; should have benefited from the experience
7 (6)	Eminent Jewel Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	126	—	42	-	75	-	27d	—	—	-8	10.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Similar form in two starts at Wolverhampton; may be one for nurseries back over further
NR (7)	Wren Officer Bay J:Jason Hart T:George Boughey	J:Jason Hart T:George Boughey	128	—	4	-	75	48	42d	—	—	-8	3.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Showed up for a long way when fourth on Leicester debut, but may need further than this
NR (5)	Nasneen Chestnut J:Connor Beasley T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Connor Beasley T:Paul & Oliver Cole	126	—	2	-	78	22	14d	—	—	-18	15.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Second on Catterick debut; any improvement on that will put her right in the picture
NR (3)	Emu War Black J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	126	—	83	-	74	58	30d	—	—	-15	10.8	2.75/1	12 8%
Improved from debut when third at Hamilton next time and the first two have won since
10 (1)	Star Mind Bay J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Stable can get one ready first time and worth a market check
NR (10)	Alibi Warning Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Richard Fahey	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Richard Fahey	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Enough to like on pedigree and yard often gets them ready first time
4 (2)	Scarlet Lady Bay J:Barry McHugh T:Philip Mcbride	J:Barry McHugh T:Philip Mcbride	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Something to like on breeding, but stable doesn't have many 2yos go in first time
11 (9)	Yiengaa Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	126	—	64	-	68	52	16d	—	—	-2	0.7	12.25/1	50 2%
Hinted at ability in both starts last month; still looks one for nurseries after this
5 (8)	What Times Tea Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	128	—	05	-	69	45	21d	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Showed a bit more on second start over C&D, but likely to be more competitive in nurseries

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Adaay In Devon	1	1	1	1	10/11
High Violet	3	3	11/4	3	3
Eminent Jewel	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2	7/2
Wren Officer	7	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Nasneen	4	4	7/2	4	7/2
Emu War	12	11	10	10	10
Star Mind	14	14	14	14	16
Alibi Warning	18	16	16	16	16
Scarlet Lady	18	16	16	18	18
Yiengaa	50	40	40	40	33
What Times Tea	40	40	40	40	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Adaay In Devon

42.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 21 Odds: 14.2

10/11

2nd

Nasneen

15.8

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 10.8

7/2

3rd

Emu War

10.8

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 7.8

Eminent Jewel

10.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5.4

7/2

High Violet

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Wren Officer

3.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.2

15/2

Star Mind

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Alibi Warning

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Scarlet Lady

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Yiengaa

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

What Times Tea

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Adaay In Devon	80	82	72
High Violet	—	85	62
Eminent Jewel	—	75	—
Wren Officer	—	75	48
Nasneen	—	78	22
Emu War	—	74	58
Star Mind	—	—	—
Alibi Warning	—	—	—
Scarlet Lady	—	—	—
Yiengaa	—	68	52
What Times Tea	—	69	45

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Nasneen	14d ago	Fit
Yiengaa	16d ago	Fit
Adaay In Devon	18d ago	Fit
What Times Tea	21d ago	Fit
High Violet	26d ago	Fit
Eminent Jewel	27d ago	Fit
Emu War	30d ago	Fit
Wren Officer	42d ago	Fit
Star Mind	—	—
Alibi Warning	—	—
Scarlet Lady	—	—