William Hill Epic Boost Racing League Race 38 Handicap (Racing League)

Southwell (AW)

18:45

Date 2023-09-13

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £16,751

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Baltimore Boy Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Michael Bell	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Michael Bell	138	v	480013	85	98	76	4d	—	—	+4	24.9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Creditable third in major AW handicap at Kempton last Saturday; in the mix
3 (11)	Tosen Wish Bay J:Danny Sheehy(3) T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Danny Sheehy(3) T:Adrian Mcguinness	138	p	150002	85	95	80	13d	—	—	+6	16.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Irish 4yo who posted a solid effort at Newcastle two weeks ago; still unexposed on AW
5 (13)	Kingmania Bay J:David Probert T:James Ferguson	J:David Probert T:James Ferguson	134	h	5-1460	81	96	69	32d	—	—	0	10.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Sole attempt on AW resulted in C&D win; interesting back here
12 (6)	Dionysian Chestnut J:Luke Catton(5) T:Stuart Williams	J:Luke Catton(5) T:Stuart Williams	128	—	-00645	80	99	72	13d	—	—	-2	11.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Shaped nicely over 7f the last twice; 2-2 in 1m contests on AW; respected off reduced mark
10 (9)	Hat Toss Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:David Loughnane	J:Daniel Muscutt T:David Loughnane	131	—	623152	83	93	48	27d	—	—	+13	22.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Went close in Racing League contest at Windsor last month; open to further progress
9 (2)	Billy Mill Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Rod Millman	J:Saffie Osborne T:Rod Millman	132	—	370921	79	97	82	13d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+14	23.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Successful in Racing League events in 2022 and on latest outing; holds solid claims
8 (4)	Hartswood Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	132	—	-14236	79	94	69	13d	—	—	+7	16.5	1.75/1	8 13%
Didn't get the best of runs (behind Tosen Wish) last time; not dismissed
6 (7)	Cabinet Of Clowns Grey Roan J:Kieran Shoemark T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Eve Johnson Houghton	133	b	515514	80	94	-	15d	—	—	+12	18.4	2.75/1	12 8%
In good form with blinkers fitted the last twice; could go well
11 (3)	Strongbowe Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	130	p	421592	77	92	-	18d	—	—	+12	17.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Exposed 7yo who faces a difficult task in this field back on AW
13 (1)	Star Zinc Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	124	—	601060	71	95	76	13d	—	—	+4	9.9	3.75/1	16 6%
C&D winner in June; out of sorts otherwise this year; revival needed
4 (8)	Fools Rush In Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	135	—	065070	82	94	-	11d	—	—	+6	8.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Holds weak claims on overall turf form for current stable; not seen on AW since 2020
1 (12)	Harswell Duke Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	138	—	-81070	85	93	56	6d	—	—	+10	12.5	9.75/1	40 3%
Won this year's Spring Mile; not in anything like the same form since
7 (10)	Cry Havoc Bay J:Luke Morris T:Rae Guest	J:Luke Morris T:Rae Guest	133	—	928736	80	93	64	6d	—	—	+9	11.3	8.00/1	33 3%
Five-time winner on Polytrack; 0-5 on Tapeta; not the percentage call

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Baltimore Boy	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Tosen Wish	8	8	7	15/2	15/2
Kingmania	13/2	7	13/2	13/2	13/2
Dionysian	11/2	11/2	11/2	5	5
Hat Toss	9	17/2	8/1	8	8/1
Billy Mill	8	8	8	8	15/2
Hartswood	8	8	8	8	8
Cabinet Of Clowns	12	12	11	12	12
Strongbowe	18	18	18	18	18
Star Zinc	16	16	16	16	16
Fools Rush In	28	28	25	28	28
Harswell Duke	40	40	33	40	40
Cry Havoc	33	28	28	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Baltimore Boy

24.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 10 Odds: 6.2

7/2

2nd

Billy Mill

23.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

3rd

Hat Toss

22.8

OR: 8.3 Form: 11.9 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Cabinet Of Clowns

18.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 9 Odds: 1.9

Strongbowe

17.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 9 Odds: 1.6

Tosen Wish

16.6

OR: 8.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Hartswood

16.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 6.6 Odds: 2.7

Harswell Duke

12.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

Cry Havoc

11.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 0.7

Dionysian

11.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Kingmania

10.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Star Zinc

9.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

Fools Rush In

8.9

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Baltimore Boy	85	98	76
Tosen Wish	85	95	80
Harswell Duke	85	93	56
Hat Toss	83	93	48
Fools Rush In	82	94	—
Kingmania	81	96	69
Dionysian	80	99	72
Cabinet Of Clowns	80	94	—
Cry Havoc	80	93	64
Billy Mill	79	97	82
Hartswood	79	94	69
Strongbowe	77	92	—
Star Zinc	71	95	76

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Baltimore Boy	4d ago	Quick return
Harswell Duke	6d ago	Quick return
Cry Havoc	6d ago	Quick return
Fools Rush In	11d ago	Quick return
Tosen Wish	13d ago	Quick return
Dionysian	13d ago	Quick return
Billy Mill	13d ago	Quick return
Hartswood	13d ago	Quick return
Star Zinc	13d ago	Quick return
Cabinet Of Clowns	15d ago	Fit
Strongbowe	18d ago	Fit
Hat Toss	27d ago	Fit
Kingmania	32d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.