Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

16:55

Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap

Date 2023-09-16

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Winning Time 1m 22.95s (slow by 0.95s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Okami (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	3/1	Won
2nd	Saturnalia (GER) Cieren Fallon · Richard Hughes	9/4F	0.1
3rd	Abravaggio (IRE) J F Egan · Peter Chapple-Hyam	8/1	1
4th	Distinguished Lady (FR) Callum Shepherd · Darryll Holland	9/2	1.25
5th	Capuchinero (GB) Hector Crouch · Alice Haynes	12/1	.5
6th	Cloud Cover (IRE) Tom Queally · James Tate	15/2	0.3
7th	No Saint (GB) Dylan Hogan · Michael Bell	22/1	1.75
8th	Creative Style (IRE) Luke Morris · Archie Watson	22/1	1.25
9th	Ellexis (IRE) Paddy Bradley · Roger Teal	40/1	.5
10th	Wake Up Harry (GB) William Carver · Simon Dow	22/1	.5
11th	Kangaroo (IRE) Molly Presland · Phil McEntee	100/1	1.25
12th	Bobby On The Beat (IRE) Josephine Gordon · Phil McEntee	40/1	0.05

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (12)	Saturnalia Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Richard Hughes	J:Cieren Fallon T:Richard Hughes	134	p	675621	74	86	81	17d	—	—	+1	27.5	0.56/1	9/4 31%
C&D winner latest; may do better still so is very much one to consider despite a 2lb rise
4 (7)	Okami Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	134	—	393151	74	88	69	24d	—	—	+8	27.6	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Went 2-3 in handicaps at Kempton latest; up 2lb but form franked so he can go well again
1 (13)	Distinguished Lady Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Darryll Holland	J:Callum Shepherd T:Darryll Holland	136	—	357772	76	88	79	8d	—	—	+2	15.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Good second for her new yard at Kempton eight days ago; ought to be in the shake-up
12 (5)	Abravaggio Bay J:J F Egan T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	J:J F Egan T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	123	—	661138	63	82	50	15d	—	—	+7	15.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Dual 7f/1m handicap winner; modest Thirsk eighth 15 days ago so needs to bounce back
2 (4)	Cloud Cover Bay J:Tom Queally T:James Tate	J:Tom Queally T:James Tate	134	—	2541	74	84	46	33d	—	—	+11	20	2.00/1	9 11%
Off mark on Wolverhampton h'cap debut, having pulled hard; merits serious consideration
8 (3)	Capuchinero Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Alice Haynes	J:Hector Crouch T:Alice Haynes	130	—	470740	67	89	45	22d	—	—	-2	6.8	2.50/1	11 9%
A fair 6f/7f winner for Joseph O'Brien but last of 13 for new yard at Newmarket latest
5 (2)	No Saint Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Bell	J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Bell	133	—	3-4189	73	82	51	27d	—	—	+5	9.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Off 6 months before Pontefract ninth 27 days ago; can take a step forward returned to 7f
10 (11)	Wake Up Harry Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Dow	J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Dow	128	—	8-4260	65	85	69	31d	—	—	+1	4.8	6.75/1	28 4%
Course scorer; too free after six months off when last at Kempton latest; more required
NR (6)	Dicko The Legend Bay J:TBC T:Roger Ingram	J: T:Roger Ingram	122	—	77-676	62	77	72	17d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-2	5	8.00/1	33 3%
Failed to kick on in three runs for Mark Loughnane this term; lots to prove for new yard
6 (8)	Creative Style Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	133	b	194343	73	84	48	11d	—	—	+7	11.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Consistent sort who posted solid Hamilton third latest; possibilities off the same mark
9 (1)	Bobby On The Beat Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil Mcentee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil Mcentee	128	—	416224	65	85	71	91d	—	—	+9	12.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Only fourth of five at Leicester (5f) in June; back from 91 days off with more required
7 (9)	Ellexis Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Roger Teal	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Roger Teal	132	t	1-5780	72	85	35	18d	—	—	+10	13.4	9.75/1	40 3%
Landed C&D maiden last August but yet to fire in four runs this term; hard to warm to
11 (10)	Kangaroo Bay J:Molly Presland(7) T:Phil Mcentee	J:Molly Presland(7) T:Phil Mcentee	124	—	35579	64	82	53	66d	—	—	+3	4.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Failed to kick on in 2 handicaps for Tom Clover this summer; lots more needed for new yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Saturnalia	2	9/4	9/4	9/4	2
Okami	10/3	3/1	10/3	10/3	7/2
Distinguished Lady	11/2	5	9/2	5	11/2
Abravaggio	8	8/1	15/2	8	17/2
Cloud Cover	9	8	8	8	9
Capuchinero	10	11	9	10	17/2
No Saint	20	20/1	18	20/1	22
Wake Up Harry	25/1	22/1	22	25	28
Dicko The Legend	33	28	28	28	28
Creative Style	25/1	22	20	22	16
Bobby On The Beat	33	33	33	33	22
Ellexis	40	40	33	40	28
Kangaroo	50	50/1	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Okami

27.6

OR: 6 Form: 15.9 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Saturnalia

27.5

OR: 6 Form: 13.5 Odds: 8

9/4

3rd

Cloud Cover

OR: 6 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.5

Abravaggio

15.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 10.1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Distinguished Lady

15.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 5 Odds: 4

11/2

Ellexis

13.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0.9

Bobby On The Beat

12.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 8 Odds: 1

Creative Style

11.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.2

25/1

No Saint

9.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Capuchinero

6.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Dicko The Legend

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2

Wake Up Harry

4.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Kangaroo

4.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Distinguished Lady	76	88	79
Saturnalia	74	86	81
Okami	74	88	69
Cloud Cover	74	84	46
No Saint	73	82	51
Creative Style	73	84	48
Ellexis	72	85	35
Capuchinero	67	89	45
Wake Up Harry	65	85	69
Bobby On The Beat	65	85	71
Kangaroo	64	82	53
Abravaggio	63	82	50
Dicko The Legend	62	77	72

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Distinguished Lady	8d ago	Quick return
Creative Style	11d ago	Quick return
Abravaggio	15d ago	Fit
Saturnalia	17d ago	Fit
Dicko The Legend	17d ago	Fit
Ellexis	18d ago	Fit
Capuchinero	22d ago	Fit
Okami	24d ago	Fit
No Saint	27d ago	Fit
Wake Up Harry	31d ago	Fit
Cloud Cover	33d ago	Fit
Kangaroo	66d ago	Fresh
Bobby On The Beat	91d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 7f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.