Travis Perkins Handicap – Musselburgh

Musselburgh

18:00

Travis Perkins Handicap

Date 2023-09-16

Distance 7f33y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (4)	Rory Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Jim Goldie	J:NON-RUNNER T:Jim Goldie	126	b	525562	66	-	-	17d	—	—	-40	30	—	—
1 (8)	Ascot Adventure Chestnut J:Mark Winn(3) T:David Omeara	J:Mark Winn(3) T:David Omeara	138	p	643233	78	90	81	30d	—	—	-1	22.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Hasn't won for over a year but on a reasonable mark and continues to give a good account
6 (11)	Showtime Mahomes Bay J:P J McDonald T:Grant Tuer	J:P J McDonald T:Grant Tuer	130	—	264965	70	89	83	7d	—	—	-8	10.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Dual sprint winner who was trying 7f for the first time when 3l away at Thirsk
2 (1)	Novak Grey J:William Pyle(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:William Pyle(5) T:Iain Jardine	136	—	211145	76	88	81	21d	—	—	+9	19.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Had a good year; back to near best last time but rain isn't welcomed
3 (10)	Craven Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	135	v	812020	78	86	75	16d	—	—	+7	16.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Capable at this level but inconsistent and unproven on slow ground
4 (9)	Muntadab Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Joanna Mason T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	134	—	730275	74	88	80	1d	—	—	+1	12.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Multiple winner but up and down these days; well beaten at Chester on Friday (5.05)
7 (5)	Black Friday Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	128	—	664931	68	89	80	35d	—	—	+10	19.3	1.75/1	8 13%
Made the most of a reduced mark last time and softening ground won't faze him
10 (6)	Monhammer Bay J:David Allan T:Linda Perratt	J:David Allan T:Linda Perratt	124	—	723180	64	87	80	17d	—	—	+7	11.8	3.75/1	16 6%
Had been running well but finished right out the back in 7f handicaps here the last twice
NR (3)	Utilis Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	133	p	23-756	76	86	42	16d	—	—	-48	26.5	1.75/1	8 13%
Runner-up last season over 6f and 7f; below par this campaign
11 (2)	Chookie Dunedin Bay J:Cam Hardie T:R Mike Smith	J:Cam Hardie T:R Mike Smith	120	—	432430	60	88	79	54d	—	—	+3	7.9	4.75/1	20 5%
The last of his 13 wins was over 7f (soft) last May so conditions could come in his favour
8 (7)	Bowood Bay J:Shane Gray T:Katie Scott	J:Shane Gray T:Katie Scott	128	—	976	71	80	51	28d	—	—	+2	6.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Has finished closer in each of his qualifying runs and could take a further step forward

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Rory	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Ascot Adventure	5/2	5/2	9/4	9/4	9/4
Showtime Mahomes	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Novak	15/2	15/2	7	13/2	7
Craven	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	15/2
Muntadab	6	7	13/2	13/2	7
Black Friday	8	8	8	8	8
Monhammer	14	16	14	16	16
Utilis	8	13/2	13/2	8	8
Chookie Dunedin	16	18	18	18	20
Bowood	16	16	14	14	18

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rory

OR: 4 Form: 6 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Utilis

26.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 20

3rd

Ascot Adventure

22.8

OR: 7 Form: 8.5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Novak

19.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Black Friday

19.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.7

Craven

16.9

OR: 7 Form: 7 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Muntadab

12.2

OR: 6 Form: 3.1 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Monhammer

11.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 6.9 Odds: 1.4

Showtime Mahomes

10.4

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Chookie Dunedin

7.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 4.2 Odds: 1.2

Bowood

6.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ascot Adventure	78	90	81
Craven	78	86	75
Novak	76	88	81
Utilis	76	86	42
Muntadab	74	88	80
Bowood	71	80	51
Showtime Mahomes	70	89	83
Black Friday	68	89	80
Rory	66	—	—
Monhammer	64	87	80
Chookie Dunedin	60	88	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Muntadab	1d ago	Quick return
Showtime Mahomes	7d ago	Quick return
Craven	16d ago	Fit
Utilis	16d ago	Fit
Rory	17d ago	Fit
Monhammer	17d ago	Fit
Novak	21d ago	Fit
Bowood	28d ago	Fit
Ascot Adventure	30d ago	Fit
Black Friday	35d ago	Fit
Chookie Dunedin	54d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Muntadab	Front Runner
Showtime Mahomes	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 11 runners classified.