Association Of Official Racing Chemists Handicap (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course B) (Turf)

Happy Valley

12:45

Date 2023-09-20

Distance 6f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £69,776

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (8)	Savvy Chic Brown J:Hugh Bowman T:F C Lor	J:Hugh Bowman T:F C Lor	135	t	858603	59	75	-	76d	—	—	—	5.3	—	—
Ended latest campaign with near miss; should be in the mix if ready
2 (5)	Hero Star b/br J:Alexis Badel T:K L Man	J:Alexis Badel T:K L Man	132	t	085006	56	77	-	70d	—	—	—	1.5	—	—
Form tailed off last term; now returns to his last winning mark, so better can be expected
3 (2)	Joy Of Spring Bay J:Brenton Avdulla T:C Fownes	J:Brenton Avdulla T:C Fownes	128	t	—	52	-	-	—	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
AUD$140,000 yearling who has shown only limited promise in a handful of recent trials
4 (1)	Wood On Fire Bay J:Karis Teetan T:C W Chang	J:Karis Teetan T:C W Chang	128	ht	127947	52	77	-	66d	—	—	—	1.5	—	—
Local strike-rate stands at 6-48; changes trainer for the first time in his career
5 (9)	Stormtrouper Bay J:Zac Purton T:C H Yip	J:Zac Purton T:C H Yip	126	—	905360	50	87	-	70d	—	—	—	1.5	—	—
1-29; back down to his preferred trip with Zac Purton booked to take the ride; interesting
6 (4)	Colonel Bay J:Angus Chung(7) T:P F Yiu	J:Angus Chung(7) T:P F Yiu	124	v	468142	48	73	-	76d	—	—	—	10	—	—
Ended last season in good nick; remains more than capable from his current mark
7 (3)	Diamond Diamond Bay J:Jerry Chau(2) T:T P Yung	J:Jerry Chau(2) T:T P Yung	122	b	5990	46	78	-	66d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Ultimately disappointing last season; needs to have come on plenty during the break
8 (10)	Stoicism Bay J:K C Leung T:Mark Newnham	J:K C Leung T:Mark Newnham	122	tb	090557	46	81	-	84d	—	—	—	0	—	—
New trainer this term; lurks on a dangerous mark and may have more to offer; not dismissed
9 (6)	Daily Trophy Bay J:Luke Currie T:C Fownes	J:Luke Currie T:C Fownes	120	het	9089	44	71	-	7d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Last on his reappearance a week ago; impossible to recommend at present
10 (11)	Young Horizon Chestnut J:M L Yeung T:David A Hayes	J:M L Yeung T:David A Hayes	120	—	341447	44	79	-	79d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Class 5 winner last season; not disgraced since upped into this grade; more still required
11 (7)	Mr Majestic Chestnut J:L Hewitson T:Douglas Whyte	J:L Hewitson T:Douglas Whyte	119	tp	900065	43	87	-	10d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Moderate fifth when making his return ten days ago; drop in grade is imminent

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Colonel

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Savvy Chic

5.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Young Horizon

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Hero Star

1.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Wood On Fire

1.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 1 Odds: 0

—

Stormtrouper

1.5

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Joy Of Spring

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Diamond Diamond

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Stoicism

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Daily Trophy

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Mr Majestic

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Savvy Chic	59	75	—
Hero Star	56	77	—
Joy Of Spring	52	—	—
Wood On Fire	52	77	—
Stormtrouper	50	87	—
Colonel	48	73	—
Diamond Diamond	46	78	—
Stoicism	46	81	—
Daily Trophy	44	71	—
Young Horizon	44	79	—
Mr Majestic	43	87	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Daily Trophy	7d ago	Quick return
Mr Majestic	10d ago	Quick return
Wood On Fire	66d ago	Fresh
Diamond Diamond	66d ago	Fresh
Hero Star	70d ago	Fresh
Stormtrouper	70d ago	Fresh
Savvy Chic	76d ago	Fresh
Colonel	76d ago	Fresh
Young Horizon	79d ago	Fresh
Stoicism	84d ago	Fresh
Joy Of Spring	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.