Simply Asset Finance Scottish Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

16:10

Simply Asset Finance Scottish Handicap

Date 2023-09-21

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 1m 42.54s (slow by 5.44s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Hortzadar (GB) Jason Hart · David O'Meara	12/1	Won
2nd	Ventura Rascal (GB) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	28/1	1
3rd	Black Friday (GB) Paddy Mathers · R Mike Smith	8/1	0.1
4th	Tobetso (IRE) Zak Wheatley · Declan Carroll	13/2	0.3
5th	Hale End (IRE) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	4/1F	0.1
6th	Albegrey (GB) David Allan · Tim Easterby	15/2	.5
7th	Hey Lyla (GB) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	28/1	0.05
8th	Star Shield (GB) Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara	11/1	0.3
9th	Dark Desire (GB) Sam James · K R Burke	5/1	1.25
10th	Little Ted (GB) Oisin Orr · Tim Easterby	16/1	1.5
11th	Tommy G (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	25/1	.75
12th	Shine On Brendan (IRE) Ben Curtis · Jim Goldie	11/2	1.75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (8)	Hale End Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	135	p	341322	74	82	70	25d	—	—	+6	24.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
3yo who was done well since fitted with cheekpieces; should give another good account
8 (9)	Dark Desire Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	134	—	P-144	73	78	48	23d	—	—	-4	9.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Sound start in handicaps when fourth over 7f latest and she's unexposed from good stable
5 (5)	Tobetso Bay J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	136	—	4-7121	75	87	69	23d	—	—	-1	9.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Going right way in handicaps; up 4lb for latest Ripon win but could have more to give
9 (3)	Shine On Brendan Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Jim Goldie	J:Ben Curtis T:Jim Goldie	134	b	312130	69	81	75	21d	—	—	+6	19	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Well held on AW latest but in good form on turf prior to that, including two wins; claims
10 (10)	Black Friday Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	133	—	649315	68	82	72	5d	—	—	+5	16.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Scored over 7f here last month but not at his best at Musselburgh since
12 (4)	Little Ted Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Tim Easterby	J:Oisin Orr T:Tim Easterby	129	p	371413	64	80	53	24d	—	—	+12	18.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
In form lately, including wins over 1m (AW) and 1m2f (turf); ran well over C&D in 2021
1 (12)	Star Shield Chestnut J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	140	p	151540	75	83	64	34d	—	—	+4	11.4	2.50/1	11 9%
C&D winner in May; type to bounce back from below-par run latest but Tudhope on Hortzadar
4 (2)	Albegrey Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	136	t	-13950	71	82	70	12d	—	—	+2	10.7	2.25/1	10 10%
Easy winner on Carlisle return but handicapper in charge since; tongue tied first time
2 (11)	Hortzadar Bay J:Jason Hart T:David Omeara	J:Jason Hart T:David Omeara	138	p	247660	73	89	78	26d	—	—	+1	7.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Hard to predict but dangerously well treated and no surprise were he to stage a revival
6 (7)	Tommy G Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	136	—	5230-2	71	82	59	166d	—	—	+7	11.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Off since reappearance second in April but clearly goes well fresh and won this last year
11 (1)	Hey Lyla Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	108726	72	79	76	17d	—	—	+6	10.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Won 7f maiden here; 2nd in 1m Newmarket handicap in July but last of six on sole run since
3 (6)	Ventura Rascal Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	137	t	9-4490	72	84	70	43d	—	—	+3	6.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Out of sorts lately but did win a division of this in 2021; tongue tied first time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Hale End	9/2	4	9/2	4/1	9/2
Dark Desire	11/2	5	9/2	5	5/1
Tobetso	15/2	7	13/2	7	15/2
Shine On Brendan	11/2	13/2	11/2	6/1	7/1
Black Friday	7/1	13/2	7	7	15/2
Little Ted	12	12	11	12	12/1
Star Shield	11	10	10	10	10/1
Albegrey	10	17/2	9	8	17/2
Hortzadar	12	11	10	11	11
Tommy G	16	16	14	14	14
Hey Lyla	28	22	20	22	22
Ventura Rascal	28/1	22	20	22	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hale End

24.2

OR: 6 Form: 13 Odds: 5.2

9/2

2nd

Shine On Brendan

OR: 4.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 3.6

7/1

3rd

Little Ted

18.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 13 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Black Friday

16.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Tommy G

11.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

Star Shield

11.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

Albegrey

10.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 2.9 Odds: 2.5

Hey Lyla

10.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.1

Dark Desire

9.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Tobetso

9.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Hortzadar

7.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Ventura Rascal

6.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tobetso	75	87	69
Star Shield	75	83	64
Hale End	74	82	70
Dark Desire	73	78	48
Hortzadar	73	89	78
Hey Lyla	72	79	76
Ventura Rascal	72	84	70
Albegrey	71	82	70
Tommy G	71	82	59
Shine On Brendan	69	81	75
Black Friday	68	82	72
Little Ted	64	80	53

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Black Friday	5d ago	Quick return
Albegrey	12d ago	Quick return
Hey Lyla	17d ago	Fit
Shine On Brendan	21d ago	Fit
Dark Desire	23d ago	Fit
Tobetso	23d ago	Fit
Little Ted	24d ago	Fit
Hale End	25d ago	Fit
Hortzadar	26d ago	Fit
Star Shield	34d ago	Fit
Ventura Rascal	43d ago	Fit
Tommy G	166d ago	Long break