Dubai Duty Free Fillies' Handicap – Newbury

Newbury

4:45

Dubai Duty Free Fillies' Handicap

Date 2023-09-22

Distance 1m4f

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,621

Runners (8)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (3)	Esmeray b J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	131	—	321	79	88	70	28d	—	—	0	32.3	7/4 36%
Maiden win latest; shapes as if 1m4f will help with further improvement, so should go well
3 (6)	Market Value b J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	135	—	6-3128	83	89	64	29d	—	—	-4	13.5	7/2 22%
Just 9-1 when eighth of 11 for 1m4f Listed race at York (good to firm) four weeks ago
4 (7)	Shagpyle br J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	135	—	124	83	88	74	57d	—	—	+8	20.4	11/2 15%
Half-sister to high-class Pyledriver; needs better on this handicap debut but early days
8 (2)	Flash Bardot b J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	126	—	512338	74	88	72	16d	—	—	+5	16.4	13/2 13%
Form dipped on latest start, but for which she'd have reasonable each-way claims
2 (5)	Sids Annie b J:Charles Bishop T:Mark Usher	J:Charles Bishop T:Mark Usher	137	—	411514	78	85	51	34d	—	—	+15	20.6	16 6%
Soft/heavy ground (unraced on good to soft) is a worry; otherwise firmly in the mix
5 (1)	Rocha Do Leao b J:David Egan T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:David Egan T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	133	—	530	81	82	53	92d	—	—	+4	12	12 8%
Off since very stiff Royal Ascot task; interesting to see if there's confidence behind her
1 (8)	Tashi ch J:Jim Crowley T:Tom Ward	J:Jim Crowley T:Tom Ward	137	—	-30726	78	92	58	21d	—	—	+7	12.5	16 6%
Placed in two (both 1m4f on soft) of five runs for new yard but the others were poor
7 (4)	Arenas Del Tiempo b/br J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Simon Dow	J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Simon Dow	128	—	-52852	69	87	59	8d	—	—	+8	12.5	22 5%
Seen more often at 1m2f (2nd latest); well held in her only two starts on softer than good

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Esmeray	6/4	13/8	7/4	13/8	13/8
Market Value	4	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Shagpyle	5	5	11/2	5	11/2
Flash Bardot	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Sids Annie	16	12	12	12	12
Rocha Do Leao	12	12	12	12	12
Tashi	16	14	14	14	16
Arenas Del Tiempo	22	18	16	18	18

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Esmeray

32.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 15 Odds: 10

7/4

2nd

Sids Annie

20.6

OR: 7 Form: 12 Odds: 1.6

3rd

Shagpyle

20.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Flash Bardot

16.4

OR: 6 Form: 7.1 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Market Value

13.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Tashi

12.5

OR: 7 Form: 4.1 Odds: 1.4

Arenas Del Tiempo

12.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.2

Rocha Do Leao

OR: 7.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Market Value Top Rated	83	89	64
Shagpyle	83	88	74
Rocha Do Leao	81	82	53
Esmeray	79	88	70
Sids Annie	78	85	51
Tashi	78	92	58
Flash Bardot	74	88	72
Arenas Del Tiempo	69	87	59

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Arenas Del Tiempo	8d ago	Quick return
Flash Bardot	16d ago	Fit
Tashi	21d ago	Fit
Esmeray	28d ago	Fit
Market Value	29d ago	Fit
Sids Annie	34d ago	Fit
Shagpyle	57d ago	Fresh
Rocha Do Leao	92d ago	Long break