Pennine Brewing Company Nursery Handicap – Catterick

Catterick

13:45

Pennine Brewing Company Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-09-23

Distance 7f6y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,527

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (8)	Lady Ava Bay J:Thore Hammer Hansen T:Ed Dunlop	J:Thore Hammer Hansen T:Ed Dunlop	130	p	3623	65	77	58	5d	—	—	-3	16.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Creditable 3rd in headgear after being hampered at Thirsk on Monday (6f, soft); chance
4 (1)	Vintage Love Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Grant Tuer	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Grant Tuer	132	—	533	67	74	55	22d	—	—	-1	13.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Decent 3rd on last two starts (6f); first run on soft, over 7f and in a h'cap; a possible
1 (3)	Line Sheet Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:George Scott	J:Darragh Keenan T:George Scott	136	—	60441	71	77	62	11d	—	—	+6	18.9	1.00/1	5 20%
Won 5-runner nursery on soft last time; chance of following up off this 4lb higher mark
3 (9)	Half Moon Rising Bay J:David Nolan T:Ollie Pears	J:David Nolan T:Ollie Pears	133	—	7784	68	75	32	39d	—	—	-7	8.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Fair form to date including close fourth on h'cap debut at Newcastle last time; a possible
8 (4)	Brandaisy Chestnut J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	127	—	858257	62	76	73	14d	—	—	-4	9.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Good second on heavy ground on handicap debut; lesser efforts since; may well bounce back.
2 (7)	Dark Before Dawn Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:George Boughey	J:Callum Rodriguez T:George Boughey	134	—	7586	69	65	54	68d	—	—	-4	8.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Needs to improve for step up in trip on h'cap debut as has shown only modest form so far
9 (5)	Fighting Wren Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	123	—	576	58	72	61	17d	—	—	-4	4.2	2.50/1	11 9%
Modest form to date; needs to improve on h'cap debut; well beaten on previous run on soft
7 (2)	Oceanic Wonder Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Tim Easterby	J:Ben Robinson T:Tim Easterby	127	—	75928	62	74	45	43d	—	—	+2	8.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Good 2nd over 7.5f on h'cap debut (soft); needs to bounce back from lesser run last time
6 (6)	Madame Christine Grey J:Paddy Mathers T:Ann Duffield	J:Paddy Mathers T:Ann Duffield	129	—	6430	64	75	32	10d	—	—	+2	6.8	5.25/1	22 5%
Shaped quite well over 6f/7f on the AW; disappointing on handicap debut last time (7f, AW)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lady Ava	9/2	4	4	7/2	4
Vintage Love	11/2	5	5	5	5
Line Sheet	5	5	5	5	5
Half Moon Rising	9/2	5	5	5	11/2
Brandaisy	5	6	6	11/2	6
Dark Before Dawn	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Fighting Wren	11	11	9	10/1	11
Oceanic Wonder	14	12	12	12	16/1
Madame Christine	22	20	18/1	20	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Line Sheet

18.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

2nd

Lady Ava

16.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 7.4 Odds: 5.7

9/2

3rd

Vintage Love

13.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 4

11/2

Brandaisy

9.1

OR: 3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Half Moon Rising

8.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Dark Before Dawn

8.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Oceanic Wonder

8.1

OR: 3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Madame Christine

6.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Fighting Wren

4.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Line Sheet	71	77	62
Dark Before Dawn	69	65	54
Half Moon Rising	68	75	32
Vintage Love	67	74	55
Lady Ava	65	77	58
Madame Christine	64	75	32
Brandaisy	62	76	73
Oceanic Wonder	62	74	45
Fighting Wren	58	72	61

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lady Ava	5d ago	Quick return
Madame Christine	10d ago	Quick return
Line Sheet	11d ago	Quick return
Brandaisy	14d ago	Fit
Fighting Wren	17d ago	Fit
Vintage Love	22d ago	Fit
Half Moon Rising	39d ago	Fit
Oceanic Wonder	43d ago	Fit
Dark Before Dawn	68d ago	Fresh