Download The At The Races App Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

19:00

Download The At The Races App Handicap

Date 2023-09-25

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Winning Time 1m 13.95s (slow by 2.05s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Liosa (IRE) Callum Shepherd · Stuart Kittow	10/1	Won
2nd	Alfred Cove (GB) Neil Callan · Tony Carroll	25/1	0.3
3rd	Under Curfew (GB) Oisin Murphy · Tony Carroll	7/2	0.1
4th	Show Compassion (GB) Faye McManoman · Michael Dods	4/1	1.5
5th	Outreach (GB) David Probert · Mark Usher	14/1	1
6th	Exorbitant (GB) Richard Kingscote · Clive Cox	100/30F	0.05
7th	Billian (IRE) Kevin Stott · Philip Kirby	14/1	1.25
8th	Coast (GB) Elisha Whittington · Scott Dixon	15/2	.75
9th	Second Collection (GB) Hector Crouch · Tony Carroll	20/1	1.25
10th	Stella Blue (IRE) Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	9/1	1.25
11th	Kingsbury (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Robyn Brisland	40/1	.5

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (7)	Under Curfew Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Tony Carroll	J:Oisin Murphy T:Tony Carroll	133	—	834232	54	74	59	12d	—	—	-3	16.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
On a losing run but comes here in good form; Oisin Murphy booked; one to take seriously
8 (2)	Exorbitant Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	132	—	520734	55	69	58	12d	—	—	-8	9.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
One of his two placed efforts came over C&D; still has some potential on AW
1 (5)	Show Compassion Chestnut J:Faye McManoman T:Michael Dods	J:Faye McManoman T:Michael Dods	133	—	715035	54	70	58	14d	—	—	-7	10.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
C&D win the highlight of some good AW runs this summer; should be involved once again
NR (12)	White Umbrella Bay J:Laura Pearson T:Christopher Kellett	J:Laura Pearson T:Christopher Kellett	132	p	640423	53	72	59	2d	—	—	-11	15.1	1.50/1	7 14%
Running well here of late, travelling well when 3rd over C&D on Saturday; wide draw here
4 (8)	Billian Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Philip Kirby	J:Kevin Stott T:Philip Kirby	132	p	213140	53	68	61	112d	—	—	+2	11.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
C&D winner; will need luck in running but Kevin Stott a good booking for his return
11 (10)	Stella Blue Bay J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	130	—	927704	53	71	64	28d	—	—	-5	4.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Inconsistent but this year's best runs have come on this surface; not out of this
10 (4)	Liosa Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Stuart Kittow	J:Callum Shepherd T:Stuart Kittow	131	—	74-447	54	66	-	76d	—	—	-5	3.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Proving hard to settle but he's got the ability to feature if he proves more tractable
13 (1)	Coast Bay J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	130	—	877217	51	72	57	16d	—	—	+5	11.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Good effort to make all at Lingfield last month; well drawn to attack; one to consider
NR (13)	Deputise Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Michael Wigham	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Michael Wigham	130	—	969170	51	71	57	14d	—	—	-2	8	4.25/1	18 6%
Ended long losing run at Southwell last month; beaten twice since & has the widest stall
9 (9)	Outreach Grey J:David Probert T:Mark Usher	J:David Probert T:Mark Usher	131	—	244704	54	69	39	38d	—	—	-3	2.4	4.25/1	18 6%
0-7 but has shown some promise, including over C&D; needs a career best though
5 (11)	Alfred Cove Bay J:Neil Callan T:Tony Carroll	J:Neil Callan T:Tony Carroll	132	—	240059	53	72	61	16d	—	—	-3	2.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Good chance on this summer's best but the starts have been an issue more recently
3 (3)	Second Collection Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Tony Carroll	J:Hector Crouch T:Tony Carroll	133	h	0-687U	54	72	34	10d	—	—	-3	2.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Out of sorts since December and easily swerved until showing more
6 (6)	Kingsbury Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Robyn Brisland	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Robyn Brisland	132	—	67-760	55	52	-	52d	—	—	-1	2	9.75/1	40 3%
Well held in two handicap runs this summer; down in grade but carries risk

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Under Curfew	10/3	3	3	3	3
Exorbitant	7/2	4	4	4	4
Show Compassion	9/2	9/2	9/2	4	9/2
White Umbrella	7	6	5	11/2	11/2
Billian	8	8	15/2	8	8
Stella Blue	8	17/2	15/2	8	17/2
Liosa	9	17/2	8	8	9
Coast	12	12	11	12	12
Deputise	18	15/2	8	8	8
Outreach	18	16	14	16	16
Alfred Cove	18	18	14	18	20
Second Collection	16	18	14	14	16
Kingsbury	40	40	25	33	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Under Curfew

16.9

OR: 1 Form: 10.2 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

White Umbrella

15.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 7.8

3rd

Coast

11.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.7

Billian

11.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 7.9 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Show Compassion

10.1

OR: 1 Form: 4.1 Odds: 5

9/2

Exorbitant

9.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 5

7/2

Deputise

OR: 0.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.8

Stella Blue

4.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Liosa

3.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Second Collection

2.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Outreach

2.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Alfred Cove

2.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Kingsbury

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Exorbitant	55	69	58
Kingsbury	55	52	—
Under Curfew	54	74	59
Show Compassion	54	70	58
Liosa	54	66	—
Outreach	54	69	39
Second Collection	54	72	34
White Umbrella	53	72	59
Billian	53	68	61
Stella Blue	53	71	64
Alfred Cove	53	72	61
Coast	51	72	57
Deputise	51	71	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
White Umbrella	2d ago	Quick return
Second Collection	10d ago	Quick return
Under Curfew	12d ago	Quick return
Exorbitant	12d ago	Quick return
Show Compassion	14d ago	Fit
Deputise	14d ago	Fit
Coast	16d ago	Fit
Alfred Cove	16d ago	Fit
Stella Blue	28d ago	Fit
Outreach	38d ago	Fit
Kingsbury	52d ago	Fresh
Liosa	76d ago	Fresh
Billian	112d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.