Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Chase – Roscommon

Roscommon

17:05

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Chase

Date 2023-09-25

Distance 2m5f63y

Class

Going Heavy

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €11,800

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Norwigi Bay J:Mark Walsh T:E Bolger	J:Mark Walsh T:E Bolger	166	—	043115	117	122	103	14d	—	—	+13	36.9	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Won on testing ground over C&D and at Killarney last month; held latest but can come back
2	Downtown Queen Bay J:Conor McNamara T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Conor McNamara T:Henry De Bromhead	165	t	P-7721	116	120	87	24d	—	—	+3	22.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Jumped well when winning over a little shorter at Wexford and now 7lb higher
7	Bonnie Kellie Bay J:Phillip Enright(5) T:S Curling	J:Phillip Enright(5) T:S Curling	158	—	3345F-	109	125	105	151d	—	—	+4	19.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Lots of solid form on winter ground last season; best over shorter trips than this
3	Menindee Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:D M Christie	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:D M Christie	161	t	-F1917	112	119	34	33d	—	—	+16	28.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Stays a lot further and chase winner last month but testing ground wouldn't be ideal
4	Fiveaftermidnight Bay J:P J O'Hanlon(5) T:P J Rothwell	J:P J O'Hanlon(5) T:P J Rothwell	159	p	B74-90	110	121	-	50d	—	—	+6	18.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Stays a lot further and handles testing ground; has to be considered given stable form
6	Ally Cay Bay J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Paul W Flynn	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Paul W Flynn	158	—	7/8-74	109	114	95	14d	—	—	+9	16.9	2.25/1	10 10%
Flat/hurdles winner came back from year off last month; handicap debut
5	Lizrona Bay J:Sarah Kavanagh(7) T:Eric Larkin	J:Sarah Kavanagh(7) T:Eric Larkin	159	—	5601P-	110	118	82	162d	—	—	+17	21.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Won over further on heavy ground at Clonmel in April; back from lay-off but not ruled out

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Norwigi	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2
Downtown Queen	7/2	3	3	16/5	3
Bonnie Kellie	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Menindee	13/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Fiveaftermidnight	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Ally Cay	9	10	10	10	9
Lizrona	16	16/1	16	16	16

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Norwigi

36.9

OR: 16.8 Form: 12.9 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Menindee

28.8

OR: 15.5 Form: 9.7 Odds: 3.6

13/2

3rd

Downtown Queen

22.2

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Lizrona

21.9

OR: 15 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Bonnie Kellie

19.2

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Fiveaftermidnight

18.6

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Ally Cay

16.9

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Norwigi	117	122	103
Downtown Queen	116	120	87
Menindee	112	119	34
Fiveaftermidnight	110	121	—
Lizrona	110	118	82
Bonnie Kellie	109	125	105
Ally Cay	109	114	95

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Norwigi	14d ago	Fit
Ally Cay	14d ago	Fit
Downtown Queen	24d ago	Fit
Menindee	33d ago	Fit
Fiveaftermidnight	50d ago	Fresh
Bonnie Kellie	151d ago	Long break
Lizrona	162d ago	Long break