Boyle Maiden Hurdle – Roscommon

Roscommon

14:10

Boyle Maiden Hurdle

Date 2023-09-25

Distance 1m7f195y

Class

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo

Prize €5,900

Winning Time 4m 0.60s (slow by 16.20s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Showman (GB) Eamonn Fitzgerald · Peter Fahey	12/1	Won
2nd	Yeats Star (IRE) Jack Kennedy · Gordon Elliott	5/1	0.3
3rd	Jhentong Enki (FR) Sean Flanagan · Paul Nolan	13/8	11
4th	The Lovely Man (IRE) Richard Condon · C A Murphy	5/4F	.75
5th	Chicago Storm (GB) Kevin Sexton · Peter Fahey	33/1	.75
6th	Fascinating Story (IRE) Peter Carberry · A J Martin	125/1	15
7th	Stabila (IRE) Ambrose McCurtin · M Flannery	200/1	14
8th	Billy Lee Swagger (IRE) James O'Sullivan · P J Rothwell	125/1	1.5
9th	Upthereforthinking (IRE) Keith Donoghue · Gavin Cromwell	12/1	6
10th	Saynothinatall (IRE) Mr P J Cawley · Darren Collins	250/1	7
11th	Leste (IRE) Liam Quinlan · John Patrick Ryan	125/1	13
12th	Juniper Hill (IRE) Richard Deegan · Paul Nolan	28/1	.5

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Jhentong Enki Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	161	—	1-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-14	21.4	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Bolted up in point; runner-up bumper RPR sole start since (107) suggests this one exciting
NR	Bayou Belle Bay J:TBC T:Jarlath P Fahey	J: T:Jarlath P Fahey	154	—	P76-42	93	102	91	31d	—	—	-2	15.8	2.75/1	12 8%
Filly will not want ground to soften; perhaps a career-best at Kilbeggan but RPR of 88
12	Yeats Star Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	161	—	4-443	-	110	73	10d	—	—	-12	5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Pretty consistent but no chance of beating The Lovely Man on Wexford form; place chance
9	The Lovely Man Chestnut J:Richard Condon(5) T:C A Murphy	J:Richard Condon(5) T:C A Murphy	161	—	452-2	116	127	86	24d	—	—	-3	32.9	0.34/1	11/8 42%
In the money all hurdling starts, 11-8 last twice and might come on a little from Wexford
11	Upthereforthinking Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	161	—	46	-	105	69	26d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Some promise in a bumper here before another nice hurdling effort at Bellewstown; noted
8	Showman Bay J:Eamonn Fitzgerald(7) T:Peter Fahey	J:Eamonn Fitzgerald(7) T:Peter Fahey	161	—	O7-4	-	107	90	2d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Pleasing 50s seventh at Punchestown in January; probably best watched for handicaps
2	Chicago Storm Bay J:Kevin Sexton T:Peter Fahey	J:Kevin Sexton T:Peter Fahey	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Maiden on Flat; has the stamina for hurdling; not progressive but solid and in good hands
NR	Evans Secret Bay J:TBC T:Mark Michael Mcniff	J: T:Mark Michael Mcniff	161	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	5.25/1	22 5%
Reserve; RPRs 68 in 1m4f Galway handicaps suggested hurdling potential
NR	Tropical Speed Bay J:TBC T:Michael Butler	J: T:Michael Butler	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.5	19.75/1	80 1%
Low-key sire; Eur16,000 foal unsold for Eur14,000 last year; half-brother to jumps winners
14	Juniper Hill Bay J:Richard Deegan T:Paul Nolan	J:Richard Deegan T:Paul Nolan	154	—	534	-	108	19	24d	—	—	0	2.8	8.00/1	33 3%
11-2 on hurdling debut (3m) after fair bumper runs but beaten 22l; keen then and learning
NR	Lake Manzaleh Bay J:TBC T:John Joseph Hanlon	J: T:John Joseph Hanlon	161	—	975	-	-	-	17d	—	—	-1	0.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Nothing in bumpers, 80s latest
1	Billy Lee Swagger Bay J:James O'Sullivan(3) T:P J Rothwell	J:James O'Sullivan(3) T:P J Rothwell	161	—	4F-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
No sign he's up to winning this in points; first foal out of unraced mare so canvass bare
NR	Jullou De Grissay Bay J:TBC T:John Joseph Hanlon	J: T:John Joseph Hanlon	161	t	4670	-	78	44	9d	—	—	-1	0.3	62.25/1	250 0%
Well-held all starts so far, awaits a rating
3	Fascinating Story Bay J:Peter Carberry T:A J Martin	J:Peter Carberry T:A J Martin	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Dam maiden Flat (RPR 55), half-sister to Group-placed winner Exhibition and useful winners
15	Leste Bay J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.25/1	150 1%
Good sire; unraced dam closely related to jumps winners
7	Saynothinatall Bay J:Paul Cawley(7) T:Darren Collins	J:Paul Cawley(7) T:Darren Collins	161	—	00	-	63	16	14d	—	—	0	0.1	62.25/1	250 0%
Long odds, beaten about 52l both starts (Galway, soft)
16	Stabila Bay J:Ambrose McCurtin T:M Flannery	J:Ambrose McCurtin T:M Flannery	154	—	98-	-	-	51	—	—	—	-1	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
Modest filly

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Jhentong Enki	5/4	11/8	5/4	11/8	11/8
Bayou Belle	10	11	12	11	11
Yeats Star	11/2	4	4	4	4
The Lovely Man	5/4	11/8	5/4	11/8	11/8
Upthereforthinking	20	16	16/1	16/1	18
Showman	14	10	11	11	11
Chicago Storm	50/1	40	40	40	40
Evans Secret	22	20	22	20	20
Tropical Speed	80	66	66	66	66
Juniper Hill	33	28	28	28	33
Lake Manzaleh	200	150	150	200	200
Billy Lee Swagger	150/1	100	100	100	100
Jullou De Grissay	250	250	200	250	200
Fascinating Story	150/1	100	100	100	100
Leste	150	125	125	125	125
Saynothinatall	250	250	250	250	250
Stabila	250	200	200	200	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Lovely Man

32.9

OR: 16.5 Form: 5 Odds: 11.4

11/8

2nd

Jhentong Enki

21.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 11.4

11/8

3rd

Bayou Belle

15.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.1

Yeats Star

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

11/2

Tropical Speed

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.5

Juniper Hill

2.8

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.7

Showman

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Upthereforthinking

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Evans Secret

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Chicago Storm

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Lake Manzaleh

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Jullou De Grissay

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

250

Billy Lee Swagger

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Fascinating Story

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Leste

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Stabila

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Saynothinatall

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Lovely Man	116	127	86
Bayou Belle	93	102	91
Jhentong Enki	—	—	—
Yeats Star	—	110	73
Upthereforthinking	—	105	69
Showman	—	107	90
Chicago Storm	—	—	—
Evans Secret	—	—	—
Tropical Speed	—	—	—
Juniper Hill	—	108	19
Lake Manzaleh	—	—	—
Billy Lee Swagger	—	—	—
Jullou De Grissay	—	78	44
Fascinating Story	—	—	—
Leste	—	—	—
Saynothinatall	—	63	16
Stabila	—	—	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Showman	2d ago	Quick return
Jullou De Grissay	9d ago	Quick return
Yeats Star	10d ago	Quick return
Saynothinatall	14d ago	Fit
Lake Manzaleh	17d ago	Fit
The Lovely Man	24d ago	Fit
Juniper Hill	24d ago	Fit
Upthereforthinking	26d ago	Fit
Bayou Belle	31d ago	Fit
Jhentong Enki	—	—
Chicago Storm	—	—
Evans Secret	—	—
Tropical Speed	—	—
Billy Lee Swagger	—	—
Fascinating Story	—	—
Leste	—	—
Stabila	—	—