Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow EBF Mares' National Hunt Novices' Hurdle (Series Qualifier) (GBB)

Perth

14:20

Date 2023-09-27

Distance 2m4f35y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,357

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR	Dangan Cloud Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Lucinda Russell	J:NON-RUNNER T:Lucinda Russell	154	—	42-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-45	25	—	—
Bought for £35,000 after Irish point second in April; has tough task on rules debut
6	El Elefante Chestnut J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	154	—	211-	-	-	-	152d	—	—	-3	29.5	0.38/1	6/4 40%
2-2 in bumpers last season and looks a good prospect for novice hurdles
4	Stadium Talk Chestnut J:Ben Harvey(3) T:John C Mcconnell	J:Ben Harvey(3) T:John C Mcconnell	161	—	/1-101	-	136	44	26d	—	—	-15	17	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Kept on strongly to win by 15l at Wexford this month and commands respect here
NR	Sea Aster Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Gordon Elliott	J:NON-RUNNER T:Gordon Elliott	161	p	7O512	118	121	87	10d	—	—	+13	35.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Won Tramore maiden last month and was creditable second in recent Listowel handicap
1	Condesa Brown J:Daryl Jacob T:S R B Crawford	J:Daryl Jacob T:S R B Crawford	161	t	23/0/1	-	115	74	73d	—	—	0	14	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Placed in Listed bumper in 2021 and returned from layoff with course hurdle win in July
2	Gaye Winnie Bay J:TBC T:Gordon Elliott	J: T:Gordon Elliott	161	—	66-31	108	106	68	45d	—	—	+5	18.5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Downpatrick maiden winner last month; has a bit to find over new trip here
7	Mermaids Cave Bay J:E Walsh(3) T:Ciaran Murphy	J:E Walsh(3) T:Ciaran Murphy	151	—	60	-	105	27	30d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Ran quite well on hurdling debut but tailed off since; up against it here

Horse	bet365	Coral
Dangan Cloud	SP	SP
El Elefante	6/4	6/4
Stadium Talk	13/8	7/4
Sea Aster	11/4	11/4
Condesa	5	9/2
Gaye Winnie	13/2	6
Mermaids Cave	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sea Aster

35.7

OR: 17 Form: 12 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

El Elefante

29.5

OR: 0 Form: 19.5 Odds: 10

6/4

3rd

Dangan Cloud

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 20

—

Gaye Winnie

18.5

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Stadium Talk

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 10

7/4

Condesa

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 4

9/2

Mermaids Cave

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sea Aster	118	121	87
Gaye Winnie	108	106	68
Dangan Cloud	—	—	—
El Elefante	—	—	—
Stadium Talk	—	136	44
Condesa	—	115	74
Mermaids Cave	—	105	27

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sea Aster	10d ago	Quick return
Stadium Talk	26d ago	Fit
Mermaids Cave	30d ago	Fit
Gaye Winnie	45d ago	Fit
Condesa	73d ago	Fresh
El Elefante	152d ago	Long break
Dangan Cloud	—	—