Racing TV Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

20:30

Racing TV Handicap

Date 2023-09-27

Distance 1m7f218y

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 3m 31.70s (slow by 5.40s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Berkshire Sundance (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	5/4F	Won
2nd	Doublethetrouble (GB) Morgan Cole · John Butler	4/1	2.5
3rd	Wannabe Brave (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	7/2	1.75
4th	Capstan (GB) William Carson · Lydia Richards	14/1	4
5th	Ceejaybe (GB) Marco Ghiani · Jo Davis	28/1	1.5
6th	Gino's Girl (IRE) Adam Farragher · Philip McBride	25/1	3
7th	Genuflex (GB) David Egan · Milton Harris	40/1	6.5
8th	Kalamity Kitty (GB) Aidan Keeley · Ed de Giles	14/1	3.75
9th	Third Batch (GB) Robert Havlin · S Woods	11/1	2.5
10th	Overstate (GB) Callum Shepherd · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	33/1	23

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (2)	Berkshire Sundance Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	132	—	96434	65	66	-	26d	—	—	-22	19.2	0.30/1	6/5 45%
Well held on soft latest but a staying-on 3rd over C&D on handicap debut previously
3 (3)	Doublethetrouble Chestnut J:Morgan Cole(5) T:John Butler	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:John Butler	139	p	50-742	62	69	47	21d	—	—	-8	7.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Maiden; in good form; kept on strongly against well-treated one over 2m at Southwell
6 (11)	Wannabe Brave Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	136	v	374443	59	66	45	21d	—	—	-5	9.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
C&D winner on final 2022 start; not gone on this year; needs revival back here
8 (1)	Third Batch Bay J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	131	hp	337146	64	68	44	11d	—	—	+5	10.8	3.25/1	14 7%
Off the mark over 1m3f on soft in July; no progress since; stamina unknown for 2m
NR (7)	Timely Escape Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Charles Hills	J:Jim Crowley T:Charles Hills	129	b	743445	62	68	41	19d	—	—	-2	6.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Not yet found his niche in handicaps; found little upped to 1m4f here last time; new trip
5 (6)	Kalamity Kitty Bay J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Ed De Giles	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Ed De Giles	139	—	11-500	62	67	25	26d	—	—	-2	4.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Won all 4 starts between Aug 2021 and May 2022; had excuses since back from absence
11 (8)	Ginos Girl Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Philip Mcbride	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Philip Mcbride	120	—	6426	53	62	-	25d	—	—	+1	5.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Minor promise in qualifying runs but a weak finisher over 1m5f on AW handicap debut
2 (10)	Overstate Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Callum Shepherd T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	140	p	2500-1	63	66	37	—	—	—	+9	15	3.75/1	16 6%
Found staying reserves when upped to 2m here in February; poor hurdle form since
4 (4)	Capstan Bay J:William Carson T:Lydia Richards	J:William Carson T:Lydia Richards	139	h	-43070	62	69	54	22d	—	—	+1	5	8.00/1	33 3%
Has course form; big prices and well held in turf handicaps at 2m, 1m6f and 1m3f of late
1 (9)	Genuflex Bay J:David Egan T:Milton Harris	J:David Egan T:Milton Harris	143	tp	83/0-5	66	66	-	21d	—	—	+1	5	8.00/1	33 3%
Flat/hurdle winner earlier in career; fair return from layoff; stamina still to prove
10 (5)	Ceejaybe Chestnut J:Marco Ghiani T:Jo Davis	J:Marco Ghiani T:Jo Davis	121	t	703	54	53	36	35d	—	—	+2	4.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Triple-figure prices and shown little so far; handicaps more his bag but needs more

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Berkshire Sundance	1	6/5	6/5	6/5	6/5
Doublethetrouble	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Wannabe Brave	11/2	5	5	5	5
Third Batch	14	12	12	12	12
Timely Escape	14	14	12	12	12
Kalamity Kitty	12	12	12	12	12
Ginos Girl	18	18	16	16	16
Overstate	16	16	14	14	14
Capstan	33	20	20	20	20
Genuflex	33	22	22	22	22
Ceejaybe	33	33	28	33	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Berkshire Sundance

19.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 13.3

6/5

2nd

Overstate

OR: 3.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

3rd

Third Batch

10.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.7

Wannabe Brave

9.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 3 Odds: 4

11/2

Doublethetrouble

7.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Timely Escape

6.4

OR: 3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.5

Ginos Girl

5.6

OR: 0.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

Capstan

OR: 3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.1

Genuflex

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ceejaybe

4.9

OR: 1 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

Kalamity Kitty

4.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Genuflex	66	66	—
Berkshire Sundance	65	66	—
Third Batch	64	68	44
Overstate	63	66	37
Doublethetrouble	62	69	47
Timely Escape	62	68	41
Kalamity Kitty	62	67	25
Capstan	62	69	54
Wannabe Brave	59	66	45
Ceejaybe	54	53	36
Ginos Girl	53	62	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Third Batch	11d ago	Quick return
Timely Escape	19d ago	Fit
Doublethetrouble	21d ago	Fit
Wannabe Brave	21d ago	Fit
Genuflex	21d ago	Fit
Capstan	22d ago	Fit
Ginos Girl	25d ago	Fit
Berkshire Sundance	26d ago	Fit
Kalamity Kitty	26d ago	Fit
Ceejaybe	35d ago	Fit
Overstate	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Berkshire Sundance	Prominent
Doublethetrouble	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 11 runners classified.