Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap – Bellewstown

Bellewstown

15:25

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap

Date 2023-09-28

Distance 7f162y

Class

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €8,555

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (8)	Speckled Meadow Brown J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Don Browne	J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Don Browne	127	—	31-029	64	87	68	54d	—	—	-12	10.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Hit form this time last year and softer the better for her; second to Eastern Wind in July
4 (1)	Red Heel Bay J:Wesley Joyce(7) T:W Mccreery	J:Wesley Joyce(7) T:W Mccreery	136	—	565463	73	90	78	10d	—	—	-2	13.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Usually leads and has won here; gave it a good go at Fairyhouse; prefers sound surface
3 (9)	Perfect Poise Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	137	—	583021	77	86	74	15d	—	—	+11	25.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Snug winner over this trip at Punchestown and now 6lb higher; capable of further progress
8 (7)	Drop The Dip Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:Thomas Gibney	J:Gavin Ryan T:Thomas Gibney	126	—	014541	66	85	66	7d	—	—	+4	20.7	0.75/1	4 25%
Two front-running wins at Listowel this season including on testing ground a week ago
6 (2)	Tea Olive Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Noel Meade	J:Gary Carroll T:Noel Meade	132	—	212454	72	86	45	70d	—	—	+1	12.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Was in good form in early months of the season and handles soft ground; back from a break
NR (5)	Mere Accountant Bay J:TBC T:J P Murtagh	J: T:J P Murtagh	133	—	948435	73	86	68	15d	—	—	-5	12.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Went closest in handicaps over C&D last month; fifth to Perfect Poise at Punchestown since
NR (10)	The Bog Bank Bay J:TBC T:T G Mccourt	J: T:T G Mccourt	124	tp	173456	61	89	71	1d	—	—	-2	5.8	2.50/1	11 9%
Fine record over C&D but failed to enhance that when well-held sixth here on Wednesday
2 (4)	Eastern Wind Bay J:James Ryan(5) T:T G Mccourt	J:James Ryan(5) T:T G Mccourt	139	p	103085	76	86	69	9d	—	—	+2	9.5	2.25/1	10 10%
Stays this trip and handles heavy ground; only beaten 1l over 7f at Listowel last week
1 (6)	Lady Arwen Bay J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Conor Odwyer	J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Conor Odwyer	142	—	032161	79	81	65	22d	—	—	+19	26.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Won nicely over this trip at Gowran but testing ground would be a big concern for her
9 (3)	Little Keilee Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Ciaran Murphy	J:Chris Hayes T:Ciaran Murphy	125	—	940530	65	89	64	9d	—	—	+3	7.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Handles testing ground; pair of good efforts over 7f at Galway festival; below-par latest

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Speckled Meadow	3	3	3	3	11/4
Red Heel	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Perfect Poise	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Drop The Dip	4	4	4	4	4
Tea Olive	13/2	6	13/2	13/2	13/2
Mere Accountant	15/2	7	7	7	15/2
The Bog Bank	11	11	10	10	SP
Eastern Wind	10	10	10	10	10
Lady Arwen	9	10	10	10	10/1
Little Keilee	22	20	22	22	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lady Arwen

26.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 17.1 Odds: 2.1

10/1

2nd

Perfect Poise

25.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 14.4 Odds: 4

9/2

3rd

Drop The Dip

20.7

OR: 4 Form: 12 Odds: 4.7

Red Heel

13.2

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Mere Accountant

12.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.1

15/2

Tea Olive

12.3

OR: 5.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Speckled Meadow

10.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Eastern Wind

9.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.1

Little Keilee

7.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

The Bog Bank

5.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lady Arwen	79	81	65
Perfect Poise	77	86	74
Eastern Wind	76	86	69
Red Heel	73	90	78
Mere Accountant	73	86	68
Tea Olive	72	86	45
Drop The Dip	66	85	66
Little Keilee	65	89	64
Speckled Meadow	64	87	68
The Bog Bank	61	89	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
The Bog Bank	1d ago	Quick return
Drop The Dip	7d ago	Quick return
Eastern Wind	9d ago	Quick return
Little Keilee	9d ago	Quick return
Red Heel	10d ago	Quick return
Perfect Poise	15d ago	Fit
Mere Accountant	15d ago	Fit
Lady Arwen	22d ago	Fit
Speckled Meadow	54d ago	Fresh
Tea Olive	70d ago	Fresh