Book Your Christmas Party Now Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

19:30

Book Your Christmas Party Now Handicap

Date 2023-09-30

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,004

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (12)	Frankfreya Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Roger Teal	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Roger Teal	133	—	4-9781	58	65	45	30d	—	—	-14	8.7	0.50/1	3 33%
Drawn on the outside off his 6lb higher mark but is lightly raced and may well be up to it
2 (7)	Sun Festival Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Joseph Parr	J:Kevin Stott T:Joseph Parr	139	p	131341	59	68	61	16d	—	—	+2	24	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Has clicked lately, winning three of his last six; holds decent claims again upped 3lb
1 (3)	Chagall Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	139	—	553133	59	71	42	46d	—	—	+3	17.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Return to a bigger field, back up to 1m2f, looks in his favour; goes on the shortlist
11 (1)	Sunset In Paris Bay J:Rowan Scott T:J R Jenkins	J:Rowan Scott T:J R Jenkins	128	—	888442	48	68	61	16d	—	—	-6	9.4	1.00/1	5 20%
Strong traveller who should get cover in this big field and has to go on the shortlist
5 (4)	Lillistar Grey J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry & Roger Charlton	134	—	-89P27	59	68	20	98d	—	—	-1	7.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Mixed bag to date, her best run coming from the front on turf in a hood; others stronger
9 (9)	Angel Of Peace Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Walker	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Walker	131	p	752328	56	66	38	24d	—	—	+3	9.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Didn't look to see out 1m3f from the front last time; surely up to winning off this mark
4 (2)	Beryl Burton Bay J:Luke Catton(5) T:John Berry	J:Luke Catton(5) T:John Berry	135	—	226548	55	70	-	10d	—	—	-1	3.3	6.00/1	25 4%
In good form in the spring but not so much lately; not run on the AW since her 2yos days
6 (14)	Lunar Space Chestnut J:Nicola Currie T:Jamie Osborne	J:Nicola Currie T:Jamie Osborne	134	b	060074	54	67	42	21d	—	—	-3	2.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Tumbled down the weights in recent times; stall 14 won't help preserve stamina
8 (6)	Goose Rock Bay J:Adam Tracey(7) T:John Ryan	J:Adam Tracey(7) T:John Ryan	133	t	261727	58	65	30	2d	—	—	+6	9.4	6.75/1	28 4%
Started life in sprints and has never been this far; will need to better Thursday's effort
NR (15)	Sao Timothy Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Robert Stephens	J:NON-RUNNER T:Robert Stephens	124	h	005-9	49	62	35	116d	—	—	-50	20	12.25/1	50 2%
Off since pulling hard on his handicap debut in early summer (7f); is drawn on the outside
NR (8)	Bush Rose Bay J:Raul Da Silva T:Phil Mcentee	J:Raul Da Silva T:Phil Mcentee	127	p	473750	52	61	62	7d	—	—	-7	4.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Been a struggle for her new yard; the switch to cheekpieces needs to make a big difference
12 (11)	Tamay Girl Chestnut J:Connor Planas(3) T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Alexandra Dunn	128	—	-85787	53	65	14	12d	—	—	-1	1.2	12.25/1	50 2%
Ordinary for Richard Fahey and hasn't looked ready to win in two runs for her new yard
10 (13)	Victory House Bay J:Mikkel Mortensen(7) T:John Butler	J:Mikkel Mortensen(7) T:John Butler	129	—	535674	54	65	50	14d	—	—	-2	2.8	12.25/1	50 2%
Wide stall won't help him settle but he's on a fair mark and worth tracking in the market
3 (5)	Seattle King Bay J:Molly Presland(7) T:Phil Mcentee	J:Molly Presland(7) T:Phil Mcentee	136	—	141570	56	62	-	12d	—	—	+3	4.9	24.75/1	100 1%
Ran poorly back from a summer break recently; there's again no sign of the usual blinkers
14 (10)	Naadyaa Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Finley Marsh T:Alexandra Dunn	126	—	324647	46	66	34	22d	—	—	0	1.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Longstanding, regressive maiden for two previous yards; only holds outside claims

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Frankfreya	3	3	3	3	3
Sun Festival	3	11/4	3	5/2	11/4
Chagall	9/2	5	9/2	5	5
Sunset In Paris	5	5	5	5	5
Lillistar	9	17/2	8	8	17/2
Angel Of Peace	11	11	11	11	11
Beryl Burton	25	22	20	20	22
Lunar Space	16	18	18	18	20
Goose Rock	28	25	25	22	25
Sao Timothy	SP	50	SP	SP	SP
Bush Rose	66	50	50	50	50
Tamay Girl	50	40	50	40	50
Victory House	50	33	33	33	33
Seattle King	100	66	66	66	66
Naadyaa	100	80	80	50	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sun Festival

OR: 2.3 Form: 15.1 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Sao Timothy

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

3rd

Chagall

17.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 11 Odds: 4

9/2

Angel Of Peace

9.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.9

Sunset In Paris

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

Goose Rock

9.4

OR: 2 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.9

Frankfreya

8.7

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

Lillistar

7.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 2.8 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Seattle King

4.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0.4

100

Bush Rose

4.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.1

Beryl Burton

3.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 1 Odds: 1.1

Victory House

2.8

OR: 1 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.2

Lunar Space

2.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Naadyaa

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 0.4

100

Tamay Girl

1.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sun Festival	59	68	61
Chagall	59	71	42
Lillistar	59	68	20
Frankfreya	58	65	45
Goose Rock	58	65	30
Angel Of Peace	56	66	38
Seattle King	56	62	—
Beryl Burton	55	70	—
Lunar Space	54	67	42
Victory House	54	65	50
Tamay Girl	53	65	14
Bush Rose	52	61	62
Sao Timothy	49	62	35
Sunset In Paris	48	68	61
Naadyaa	46	66	34

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Goose Rock	2d ago	Quick return
Bush Rose	7d ago	Quick return
Beryl Burton	10d ago	Quick return
Tamay Girl	12d ago	Quick return
Seattle King	12d ago	Quick return
Victory House	14d ago	Fit
Sun Festival	16d ago	Fit
Sunset In Paris	16d ago	Fit
Lunar Space	21d ago	Fit
Naadyaa	22d ago	Fit
Angel Of Peace	24d ago	Fit
Frankfreya	30d ago	Fit
Chagall	46d ago	Fresh
Lillistar	98d ago	Long break
Sao Timothy	116d ago	Long break