Illuminate Christmas Ball Nursery Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

16:57

Illuminate Christmas Ball Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-09-30

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,004

Winning Time 1m 26.16s (slow by 3.46s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Desert Raider (GB) Kevin Stott · Charlie Johnston	3/1F	Won
2nd	Palazzo Persico (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Ed Dunlop	10/1	0.05
3rd	Serendipitous Lady (IRE) Dylan Hogan · Michael Bell	4/1	.75
4th	Head's Gone Pal (GB) William Carson · Tony Carroll	40/1	1
5th	Profectus (GB) Tom Queally · George Margarson	11/1	2.5
6th	Mist Of Lir (IRE) Frederick Larson · Amy Murphy	7/1	2.75
7th	Birkie Boy (IRE) Olivia Tubb · J S Moore	9/2	.5
8th	Search (GB) Darragh Keenan · John Butler	9/1	0.3
9th	Majolica (GB) Callum Hutchinson · Andrew Balding	33/1	8.5

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (10)	Danehill Star Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Tony Carroll	J:NON-RUNNER T:Tony Carroll	129	—	867	49	26	-	24d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-50	20	—	—
Showed minor promise on both 6f turf starts but well beaten when upped to 7f for AW debut
1 (1)	Desert Raider Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Charlie Johnston	J:Kevin Stott T:Charlie Johnston	136	v	5860	56	62	-	19d	—	—	-12	7.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Flopped when favourite for nursery debut; up in trip with visor added here
6 (11)	Serendipitous Lady Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Bell	J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Bell	131	v	040	51	54	-	35d	—	—	-12	5.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
No threat in three 6f races last month but can fare better on this nursery debut; visor on
8 (9)	Birkie Boy Bay J:Olivia Tubb(7) T:J S Moore	J:Olivia Tubb(7) T:J S Moore	125	—	434323	45	59	48	14d	—	—	-2	13	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Exposed after ten runs but has been consistent off his basement mark in nurseries
2 (4)	Search Chestnut J:Darragh Keenan T:John Butler	J:Darragh Keenan T:John Butler	136	b	150444	56	61	35	7d	—	—	-8	5.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Ran okay in a recent seller but yet to build upon his maiden win in June
3 (3)	Palazzo Persico Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Dunlop	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Dunlop	135	—	989	55	16	-	71d	—	—	-6	3.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Struggled in his qualifying races but has more realistic chance to get competitive here
9 (6)	Mist Of Lir Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	125	p	474558	45	59	48	12d	—	—	-7	2.7	2.00/1	8/1 11%
0-12; has the ability to win off his basement mark but recent efforts were below par
4 (5)	Tenyatta Bay J:Nicola Currie T:Jamie Osborne	J:Nicola Currie T:Jamie Osborne	134	b	505044	54	60	46	14d	—	—	-5	3.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Just a respectable fourth at Lingfield this month but blinkers might give her a boost here
5 (8)	Profectus Bay J:Tom Queally T:George Margarson	J:Tom Queally T:George Margarson	133	—	600	53	54	-	26d	—	—	-4	2.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Down the field on last two starts but his Newmarket debut in June was quite promising
11 (7)	Majolica Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Andrew Balding	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Andrew Balding	125	—	906	45	46	-	19d	—	—	-3	1.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Showed no significant promise in her three qualifying races but will find this race easier
10 (2)	Heads Gone Pal Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	125	p	08978	45	41	31	14d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Well beaten off today's basement mark when 66-1 for first two nurseries; blinkers added

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Danehill Star	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Desert Raider	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Serendipitous Lady	7/2	4	7/2	4	4
Birkie Boy	5	5	9/2	5	9/2
Search	8/1	7/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Palazzo Persico	9/1	15/2	8/1	8/1	15/2
Mist Of Lir	8	8/1	8	8	15/2
Tenyatta	9	9/1	9	9	17/2
Profectus	12	12	12	12	12
Majolica	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25
Heads Gone Pal	66	50	50	50	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Danehill Star

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Birkie Boy

OR: 0 Form: 8.6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Desert Raider

7.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Serendipitous Lady

5.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

5.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

8/1

Palazzo Persico

3.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Tenyatta

3.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Mist Of Lir

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Profectus

2.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Majolica

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

33/1

Heads Gone Pal

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Desert Raider	56	62	—
Search	56	61	35
Palazzo Persico	55	16	—
Tenyatta	54	60	46
Profectus	53	54	—
Serendipitous Lady	51	54	—
Danehill Star	49	26	—
Birkie Boy	45	59	48
Mist Of Lir	45	59	48
Majolica	45	46	—
Heads Gone Pal	45	41	31

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Search	7d ago	Quick return
Mist Of Lir	12d ago	Quick return
Birkie Boy	14d ago	Fit
Tenyatta	14d ago	Fit
Heads Gone Pal	14d ago	Fit
Desert Raider	19d ago	Fit
Majolica	19d ago	Fit
Danehill Star	24d ago	Fit
Profectus	26d ago	Fit
Serendipitous Lady	35d ago	Fit
Palazzo Persico	71d ago	Fresh