weatherbysshop.co.uk Handicap Hurdle – Southwell

Southwell

17:15

weatherbysshop.co.uk Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-10-03

Distance 1m7f182y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,225

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Sergeant Wilson Bay J:Daryl Jacob T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Daryl Jacob T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	160	—	2012P-	112	124	119	157d	—	—	-2	35.3	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Pulled up in hot race at Sandown in April but has good claims if judged on earlier form
1	Byzantine Empire Bay J:Daire Davis(7) T:Fergal Obrien	J:Daire Davis(7) T:Fergal Obrien	168	t	226-46	120	124	98	—	—	—	+7	21.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Dropped 2lb since respectable sixth in Summer Hurdle; likes this track; one to consider
3	Feel The Pinch Bay J:Toby Wynne(5) T:Robbie Llewellyn	J:Toby Wynne(5) T:Robbie Llewellyn	161	t	U-3116	113	126	96	73d	—	—	+7	19.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
3-7 for this stable but was lucky to collect the latest win; others appeal more
6	Polyphonic Bay J:Sean Bowen T:James Owen	J:Sean Bowen T:James Owen	159	h	4522-P	112	112	107	139d	—	—	+8	18.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won for Milton Harris on Boxing Day; joined burgeoning new stable during the summer
8	Stonific Bay J:Robert Dunne T:Gary Hanmer	J:Robert Dunne T:Gary Hanmer	154	p	647-87	106	124	80	3d	—	—	+7	16.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Regressive 10yo who was safely held at Market Rasen (a track he likes) on Saturday
5	Socialist Agenda Chestnut J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	160	—	267-85	112	122	91	—	—	—	+12	16.7	4.75/1	20 5%
Useful form in early 2022 but has become disappointing; needs to turn a corner
2	Elham Valley Grey J:Patrick Cowley(3) T:John Cornwall	J:Patrick Cowley(3) T:John Cornwall	168	tb	2-2P61	120	120	101	24d	—	—	+18	22.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Bought after winning a selling handicap last month; faces tougher assignment today
7	Ithaka Bay J:Ben Poste T:Ryan Potter	J:Ben Poste T:Ryan Potter	155	—	70915-	107	117	76	181d	—	—	+19	22	9.75/1	40 3%
Improved to win at Wincanton (2m5f) in March; safely held on chase debut a few days later

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Sergeant Wilson	5/4	5/4	11/8	5/4	5/4
Byzantine Empire	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Feel The Pinch	11/2	5	11/2	11/2	5
Polyphonic	7	6	13/2	6	13/2
Stonific	8	15/2	8	15/2	8
Socialist Agenda	20	18	18/1	18/1	18/1
Elham Valley	20	18	18	18	18
Ithaka	33	33	40	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sergeant Wilson

35.3

OR: 15.5 Form: 8 Odds: 11.8

11/8

2nd

Elham Valley

22.2

OR: 17.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

3rd

Ithaka

OR: 14.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.7

Byzantine Empire

21.9

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Feel The Pinch

19.4

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Polyphonic

18.6

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Stonific

16.9

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Socialist Agenda

16.7

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Byzantine Empire	120	124	98
Elham Valley	120	120	101
Feel The Pinch	113	126	96
Sergeant Wilson	112	124	119
Polyphonic	112	112	107
Socialist Agenda	112	122	91
Ithaka	107	117	76
Stonific	106	124	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Stonific	3d ago	Quick return
Elham Valley	24d ago	Fit
Feel The Pinch	73d ago	Fresh
Polyphonic	139d ago	Long break
Sergeant Wilson	157d ago	Long break
Ithaka	181d ago	Long break
Byzantine Empire	—	—
Socialist Agenda	—	—