Virgin Bet Best Odds Daily Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

5:37

Virgin Bet Best Odds Daily Handicap

Date 2023-10-03

Distance 1m7f

Class Class 6

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (9)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (5)	Michaels Pledge b J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	128	—	-33223	59	69	54	24d	—	—	-1	18.5	7/2 22%
Running well but he's still to win a race and can take plenty of driving
8 (1)	Cantalupo Bella b J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	122	—	395342	53	67	56	61d	—	—	-7	13	10/3 23%
Off since early August but bumped into a sharp improver on that final start
1 (8)	Clansman b J:Ben Curtis T:Liam Bailey	J:Ben Curtis T:Liam Bailey	142	—	304002	65	72	46	11d	—	—	-2	13.2	9/2 18%
Capable handicapper when the mud is flying and ran well on latest visit here
6 (3)	Aighear b J:William Pyle(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:William Pyle(5) T:Jim Goldie	125	—	822425	48	69	53	9d	—	—	-5	10.4	9/2 18%
Narrow winner of this 12 months ago off 1lb higher; returns in decent nick
3 (2)	Dancing Cloud b J:Connor Beasley T:Gemma Tutty	J:Connor Beasley T:Gemma Tutty	136	—	8-3426	67	71	27	80d	—	—	-6	8.3	11/2 15%
Didn't look at home on soft ground when below par when last seen at Hamilton in July
9 (9)	Lady Bracken ch J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	121	—	76686	52	67	44	14d	—	—	-4	2.2	12 8%
0-5; more is needed and conditions are a grey area
5 (6)	Crystal Guard b J:Clifford Lee T:Iain Jardine	J:Clifford Lee T:Iain Jardine	128	p	580547	51	66	42	11d	—	—	-3	1.6	14 7%
He was well behind Clansman over 1m5f on good to soft here 11 days ago
2 (4)	Heatherdown Hero b J:Paul Mulrennan T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Rebecca Menzies	138	—	-55546	61	65	52	9d	—	—	+1	3.5	40 3%
1-20 overall and hasn't fired in two 1m4f handicaps since returning from a break
7 (7)	Pammi b J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	123	b	7/9989	46	56	32	—	—	—	-2	0.6	50 2%
Won her final start, a 3m soft-ground handicap hurdle at Perth; opposable on Flat

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Michaels Pledge	7/2	10/3	3	10/3	3
Cantalupo Bella	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	3
Clansman	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	5
Aighear	9/2	9/2	4	9/2	5
Dancing Cloud	11/2	5	11/2	11/2	5
Lady Bracken	12	12	12	12	12
Crystal Guard	14	14	14	14	14
Heatherdown Hero	40	28	28	28	28
Pammi	50	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Michaels Pledge

18.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 10.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Clansman

13.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Cantalupo Bella

OR: 0.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Aighear

10.4

OR: 0 Form: 6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Dancing Cloud

8.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Heatherdown Hero

3.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Lady Bracken

2.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Crystal Guard

1.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Pammi

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dancing Cloud Top Rated	67	71	27
Clansman	65	72	46
Heatherdown Hero	61	65	52
Michaels Pledge	59	69	54
Cantalupo Bella	53	67	56
Lady Bracken	52	67	44
Crystal Guard	51	66	42
Aighear	48	69	53
Pammi	46	56	32

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Aighear	9d ago	Quick return
Heatherdown Hero	9d ago	Quick return
Clansman	11d ago	Quick return
Crystal Guard	11d ago	Quick return
Lady Bracken	14d ago	Fit
Michaels Pledge	24d ago	Fit
Cantalupo Bella	61d ago	Fresh
Dancing Cloud	80d ago	Fresh
Pammi	—	—