Tai Shue Wan Handicap (Div I) (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course C+3) (Turf)

Happy Valley

14:45

Date 2023-10-04

Distance 6f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £69,776

Winning Time 1m 9.69s (fast by 0.01s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Denfield (AUS) Zac Purton · C S Shum	13/20F	Won
2nd	Golden Link (NZ) K C Leung · P F Yiu	49/10	0.3
3rd	High Percentage (AUS) Lyle Hewitson · T P Yung	9/1	0.1
4th	Flaming Eagle (AUS) Karis Teetan · P C Ng	11/1	0.3
5th	Speedstar (NZ) K De Melo · D J Hall	18/1	0.1
6th	Leslie (AUS) Antoine Hamelin · C W Chang	40/1	1.75
7th	Prime Mortar (AUS) Matthew Chadwick · Jimmy Ting	27/1	0.3
8th	Hearty Wish (NZ) Harry Bentley · Douglas Whyte	32/1	0.3
9th	Compassion Super (NZ) Hugh Bowman · K L Man	13/1	0.3
10th	United Warriors (AUS) Jerry Chau · K W Lui	29/1	0.1
11th	August Moon (NZ) Andrea Atzeni · Jamie Richards	69/1	3.25
12th	Ninja Derby (NZ) Luke Currie · David A Hayes	98/1	3.75

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
R13 (13)	Proud Dragon Chestnut J:TBC T:C Fownes	J: T:C Fownes	122	tv	902000	47	83	-	17d	—	—	—	1.5	—	—
Now 6lb lower than when second over 7f in June but three down-the-field runs have followed
R14 (14)	Big Two Bay J:TBC T:Douglas Whyte	J: T:Douglas Whyte	119	b	-53870	44	82	-	119d	—	—	—	0.9	—	—
Out of form towards end of last season and is better known as a miler
1 (9)	Denfield Chestnut J:Zac Purton T:C S Shum	J:Zac Purton T:C S Shum	135	t	024213	60	84	-	21d	—	—	—	16	—	—
Ended last season with a C&D win and was placed when back in action last month
2 (12)	Leslie Chestnut J:Antoine Hamelin T:C W Chang	J:Antoine Hamelin T:C W Chang	134	b	669060	59	82	-	98d	0W/0P 1 run	—	—	2.3	—	—
Out of form towards end of last season and has tough draw for stable debut
3 (7)	Prime Mortar Chestnut J:Matthew Chadwick T:Jimmy Ting	J:Matthew Chadwick T:Jimmy Ting	134	tp	-11680	59	73	-	90d	—	—	—	7.3	—	—
Dual C&D winner at start of this year but handicapper seemed to have regained control
4 (10)	Compassion Super Bay J:Hugh Bowman T:K L Man	J:Hugh Bowman T:K L Man	132	t	484780	57	79	-	84d	—	—	—	1.8	—	—
Back on a workable mark now but his run of poor luck on the draw front has continued
5 (6)	Golden Link Bay J:K C Leung T:P F Yiu	J:K C Leung T:P F Yiu	131	—	582676	56	83	-	24d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Competitive in higher-grade company last season and can benefit from this drop back to 6f
6 (2)	Ninja Derby Bay J:Luke Currie T:David A Hayes	J:Luke Currie T:David A Hayes	130	h	1-0080	55	60	-	7d	—	—	—	8.3	—	—
Unable to land a telling blow on any of first four Hong Kong starts
7 (4)	High Percentage Chestnut J:L Hewitson T:T P Yung	J:L Hewitson T:T P Yung	127	t	6287	52	75	-	21d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Unexposed after only four runs and wasn't beaten far on seasonal debut; could have a say
8 (11)	Hearty Wish Bay J:Harry Bentley T:Douglas Whyte	J:Harry Bentley T:Douglas Whyte	124	tb	128833	49	74	-	84d	—	—	—	6.1	—	—
Did pretty well last season but wide draw an obvious negative on this reappearance
9 (1)	United Warriors Bay J:Jerry Chau(2) T:K W Lui	J:Jerry Chau(2) T:K W Lui	121	—	080	46	70	-	93d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Showed only minor promise on his three starts last season
10 (5)	Flaming Eagle Bay J:Karis Teetan T:P C Ng	J:Karis Teetan T:P C Ng	120	et	186279	45	76	-	90d	—	—	—	2.5	—	—
Safely held on final two starts last season and may still be too high in the weights
11 (3)	August Moon Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:Jamie Richards	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Jamie Richards	118	tv	9-8070	43	72	-	10d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Returned from layoff with two disappointing runs at Sha Tin last month
12 (8)	Speedstar Bay J:K De Melo T:D J Hall	J:K De Melo T:D J Hall	116	b	190544	41	79	-	24d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Very respectable fourth over 7f last month but others in this field look stronger

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Denfield

OR: 2.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Ninja Derby

8.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Prime Mortar

7.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Hearty Wish

6.1

OR: 0 Form: 6.1 Odds: 0

—

Golden Link

OR: 1.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

High Percentage

OR: 0.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0

—

Flaming Eagle

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0

—

Leslie

2.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Compassion Super

1.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Proud Dragon

1.5

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Big Two

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0

—

United Warriors

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

August Moon

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Speedstar

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Denfield	60	84	—
Leslie	59	82	—
Prime Mortar	59	73	—
Compassion Super	57	79	—
Golden Link	56	83	—
Ninja Derby	55	60	—
High Percentage	52	75	—
Hearty Wish	49	74	—
Proud Dragon	47	83	—
United Warriors	46	70	—
Flaming Eagle	45	76	—
Big Two	44	82	—
August Moon	43	72	—
Speedstar	41	79	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ninja Derby	7d ago	Quick return
August Moon	10d ago	Quick return
Proud Dragon	17d ago	Fit
Denfield	21d ago	Fit
High Percentage	21d ago	Fit
Golden Link	24d ago	Fit
Speedstar	24d ago	Fit
Compassion Super	84d ago	Fresh
Hearty Wish	84d ago	Fresh
Prime Mortar	90d ago	Fresh
Flaming Eagle	90d ago	Fresh
United Warriors	93d ago	Long break
Leslie	98d ago	Long break
Big Two	119d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.