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Nottingham

15:42

HKIR In December Handicap

Date 2023-10-04
Distance 5f8y
Class Class 3
Going Heavy
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £9,160

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
1 (3)
Spoof
Bay
J:Ben Sanderson(3)
T:Kevin Frost
J:Ben Sanderson(3)
T:Kevin Frost
 135 — 092192
90
105
85
 4d — — +6
28.2
0.63/1
5/2
29%
As good as ever this year & pulled clear with winner at Haydock on Saturday; big chance
8 (5)
Fantasy Master
Chestnut
J:Tom Marquand
T:Darryll Holland
J:Tom Marquand
T:Darryll Holland
 123 p 261052
78
103
93
 8d — — -2
22.3
0.63/1
5/2
29%
Three-time course winner; fine 2nd over 6f here last week; major player back at 5f
5 (2)
Elegant Erin
Bay
J:Graham Lee
T:Paul Midgley
J:Graham Lee
T:Paul Midgley
 128 — 952346
83
103
94
 32d — — +3
14.6
1.63/1
13/2
13%
Winless in 2023 but looked better than ever; one to take seriously back in calmer waters
NR (7)
Above
Bay
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Robert Cowell
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Robert Cowell
 129 t 035810
84
103
-
 25d — — -8
27.6
— —
Winning stable debut at Newmarket but below that level last month; not discounted
2 (4)
Hiya Maite
Bay
J:Lewis Edmunds
T:Roy Bowring
J:Lewis Edmunds
T:Roy Bowring
 132 — 313144
87
103
84
 8d — — +10
20
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Progressive sprinter who should be sharper for his recent return (stiff task); interesting
6 (8)
Desert Games
Bay
J:David Probert
T:Hilal Kobeissi
J:David Probert
T:Hilal Kobeissi
 125 b 442224
80
102
89
 62d — — +8
17.7
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Has ability but also some quirks; finished strongly at Goodwood on stable debut (5f, soft)
3 (1)
Sir Titus
Chestnut
J:Connor Beasley
T:Michael Dods
J:Connor Beasley
T:Michael Dods
 131 — 07-210
86
101
88
 69d — — +2
11.7
2.00/1
9
11%
Conditions should suit and he can go well fresh; one to consider in an open sprint
7 (6)
Angle Land
Bay
J:Hayley Turner
T:Robert Cowell
J:Hayley Turner
T:Robert Cowell
 124 v 667027
79
104
87
 21d — — +6
12.5
3.00/1
12/1
8%
Had a good year and conditions won't be an issue; other front-runners on show
Horse bet365 Coral
Spoof
 5/2 5/2
Fantasy Master
 5/2 5/2
Elegant Erin
 13/2 6/1
Above
 SP SP
Hiya Maite
 15/2 15/2
Desert Games
 15/2 15/2
Sir Titus
 9 8/1
Angle Land
 12/1 12

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Spoof
28.2
OR: 10 Form: 11.5 Odds: 6.7
5/2
2nd Above
27.6
OR: 8.5 Form: 7.6 Odds: 11.5
—
3rd Fantasy Master
22.3
OR: 7 Form: 8 Odds: 7.3
5/2
4 Hiya Maite
20
OR: 9.3 Form: 7.9 Odds: 2.9
15/2
5 Desert Games
17.7
OR: 7.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.7
15/2
6 Elegant Erin
14.6
OR: 8.3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3
13/2
7 Angle Land
12.5
OR: 7.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7
12/1
8 Sir Titus
11.7
OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7
9

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Spoof
90
105
85
Hiya Maite
87
103
84
Sir Titus
86
101
88
Above
84
103
 —
Elegant Erin
83
103
94
Desert Games
80
102
89
Angle Land
79
104
87
Fantasy Master
78
103
93

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Spoof 4d ago Quick return
Fantasy Master 8d ago Quick return
Hiya Maite 8d ago Quick return
Angle Land 21d ago Fit
Above 25d ago Fit
Elegant Erin 32d ago Fit
Desert Games 62d ago Fresh
Sir Titus 69d ago Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Nottingham over 5f8y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.