HKIR In December Handicap – Nottingham

Nottingham

15:42

HKIR In December Handicap

Date 2023-10-04

Distance 5f8y

Class Class 3

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £9,160

Winning Time 1m 2.10s (slow by 4.50s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Spoof (GB) Ben Sanderson · Kevin Frost	9/4F	Won
2nd	Sir Titus (IRE) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	13/2	.5
3rd	Elegant Erin (IRE) Graham Lee · Paul Midgley	15/2	1.25
4th	Fantasy Master (GB) Tom Marquand · Darryll Holland	5/2	0.3
5th	Hiya Maite (GB) Lewis Edmunds · Roy Bowring	15/2	.75
6th	Angle Land (GB) Hayley Turner · Robert Cowell	12/1	.5
7th	Desert Games (IRE) David Probert · Hilal Kobeissi	17/2	.75

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	Spoof Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Kevin Frost	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Kevin Frost	135	—	092192	90	105	85	4d	—	—	+6	28.2	0.63/1	5/2 29%
As good as ever this year & pulled clear with winner at Haydock on Saturday; big chance
8 (5)	Fantasy Master Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:Darryll Holland	J:Tom Marquand T:Darryll Holland	123	p	261052	78	103	93	8d	—	—	-2	22.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Three-time course winner; fine 2nd over 6f here last week; major player back at 5f
5 (2)	Elegant Erin Bay J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	128	—	952346	83	103	94	32d	—	—	+3	14.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Winless in 2023 but looked better than ever; one to take seriously back in calmer waters
NR (7)	Above Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Robert Cowell	J:NON-RUNNER T:Robert Cowell	129	t	035810	84	103	-	25d	—	—	-8	27.6	—	—
Winning stable debut at Newmarket but below that level last month; not discounted
2 (4)	Hiya Maite Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roy Bowring	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roy Bowring	132	—	313144	87	103	84	8d	—	—	+10	20	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Progressive sprinter who should be sharper for his recent return (stiff task); interesting
6 (8)	Desert Games Bay J:David Probert T:Hilal Kobeissi	J:David Probert T:Hilal Kobeissi	125	b	442224	80	102	89	62d	—	—	+8	17.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Has ability but also some quirks; finished strongly at Goodwood on stable debut (5f, soft)
3 (1)	Sir Titus Chestnut J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	131	—	07-210	86	101	88	69d	—	—	+2	11.7	2.00/1	9 11%
Conditions should suit and he can go well fresh; one to consider in an open sprint
7 (6)	Angle Land Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Robert Cowell	J:Hayley Turner T:Robert Cowell	124	v	667027	79	104	87	21d	—	—	+6	12.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Had a good year and conditions won't be an issue; other front-runners on show

Horse	bet365	Coral
Spoof	5/2	5/2
Fantasy Master	5/2	5/2
Elegant Erin	13/2	6/1
Above	SP	SP
Hiya Maite	15/2	15/2
Desert Games	15/2	15/2
Sir Titus	9	8/1
Angle Land	12/1	12

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Spoof

28.2

OR: 10 Form: 11.5 Odds: 6.7

5/2

2nd

Above

27.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 7.6 Odds: 11.5

—

3rd

Fantasy Master

22.3

OR: 7 Form: 8 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Hiya Maite

OR: 9.3 Form: 7.9 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Desert Games

17.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Elegant Erin

14.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Angle Land

12.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Sir Titus

11.7

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Spoof	90	105	85
Hiya Maite	87	103	84
Sir Titus	86	101	88
Above	84	103	—
Elegant Erin	83	103	94
Desert Games	80	102	89
Angle Land	79	104	87
Fantasy Master	78	103	93

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Spoof	4d ago	Quick return
Fantasy Master	8d ago	Quick return
Hiya Maite	8d ago	Quick return
Angle Land	21d ago	Fit
Above	25d ago	Fit
Elegant Erin	32d ago	Fit
Desert Games	62d ago	Fresh
Sir Titus	69d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Nottingham over 5f8y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.