Save Business Rates With Colliers Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Warwick

15:05

Date 2023-10-05

Distance 2m4f

Class Class 3

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £8,169

Winning Time 4m 56.79s (slow by 6.79s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Nickle Back (IRE) James Best · Sarah Humphrey	11/2	Won
2nd	Kandoo Kid (FR) Harry Cobden · Paul Nicholls	100/30	24
3rd	Valentino Dancer (GB) Paddy Brennan · Fergal O'Brien	10/1	9
4th	Captain Morgs (IRE) Nico de Boinville · Nicky Henderson	10/1	6.5
5th	Quid Pro Quo (IRE) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	11/4	28

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
Fell	Idalko Bihoue (FR) Sam Twiston-Davies · Nigel Twiston-Davies	5/2F

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7	Quid Pro Quo Chestnut J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	148	t	1-2232	122	149	126	30d	—	—	+9	31.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Only 1-8 over fences but his experience and proven fitness ought to give him an edge
3	Idalko Bihoue Brown J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	153	—	13PP5-	127	-	-	167d	—	—	+6	26.5	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Lost his way after last season's Grade 1 hurdle third but remains a good prospect
4	Kandoo Kid Grey J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	151	t	/1/37-	125	-	-	282d	—	—	+12	31.5	0.50/1	3 33%
Lightly raced 7yo; off since underwhelming handicap hurdle debut last December
5	Nickle Back Bay J:James Best T:Sarah Humphrey	J:James Best T:Sarah Humphrey	151	h	/7562-	125	-	-	236d	—	—	+14	27.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Tends to race too freely but could take some catching if he jumps well on chase debut
NR	Passing Well Bay J:TBC T:Jamie Snowden	J: T:Jamie Snowden	149	—	14104-	123	-	-	167d	—	—	+14	29.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
2-5 over hurdles last season; could have a say on chasing debut if he handles the ground
NR	Hometown Boy Chestnut J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	164	—	27/11/	138	-	-	908d	—	—	+17	23.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Not seen since winning 3m handicap hurdle at 2021 Aintree festival; chase debut today
2	Captain Morgs Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	163	p	3210P-	137	-	-	161d	—	—	+22	29.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Ran well over fences in early part of last season and subsequently won Cheltenham hurdle
8	Valentino Dancer Chestnut J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal Obrien	J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal Obrien	148	tp	6V2221	122	148	105	33d	—	—	+31	37.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Tends to idle when in front but has taken quite well to chasing and is on a workable mark

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Quid Pro Quo	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Idalko Bihoue	11/4	3/1	11/4	11/4	11/4
Kandoo Kid	3	3	3	3	3
Nickle Back	11/2	11/2	6	6	6
Passing Well	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Hometown Boy	10	12	12	11	12
Captain Morgs	10	9/1	9	9	9
Valentino Dancer	12	10	10	10	10

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Valentino Dancer

37.4

OR: 18 Form: 17.5 Odds: 1.9

2nd

Quid Pro Quo

31.7

OR: 18 Form: 7 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Kandoo Kid

31.5

OR: 18.8 Form: 7 Odds: 5.7

Passing Well

29.8

OR: 18.3 Form: 7 Odds: 4.5

9/2

Captain Morgs

29.6

OR: 21.8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 2.2

Nickle Back

27.8

OR: 18.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4

11/2

Idalko Bihoue

26.5

OR: 19.3 Form: 1.1 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Hometown Boy

23.9

OR: 22 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hometown Boy	138	—	—
Captain Morgs	137	—	—
Idalko Bihoue	127	—	—
Kandoo Kid	125	—	—
Nickle Back	125	—	—
Passing Well	123	—	—
Quid Pro Quo	122	149	126
Valentino Dancer	122	148	105

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Quid Pro Quo	30d ago	Fit
Valentino Dancer	33d ago	Fit
Captain Morgs	161d ago	Long break
Idalko Bihoue	167d ago	Long break
Passing Well	167d ago	Long break
Nickle Back	236d ago	Long break
Kandoo Kid	282d ago	Long break
Hometown Boy	908d ago	Long break