racingtv.com Mares' "National Hunt" Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Warwick

14:00

Date 2023-10-05

Distance 2m

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,085

Winning Time 3m 55.12s (slow by 19.12s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Flight Of Freedom (IRE) Tom Bellamy · Emma Lavelle	9/4F	Won
2nd	Fortune Forever (IRE) Paddy Brennan · Fergal O'Brien	4/1	8.5
3rd	Clararose (IRE) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	100/30	2
4th	Super Dawn (IRE) Rex Dingle · Chris Gordon	20/1	1.25
5th	Selkirk Grace (GB) David Bass · Hughie Morrison	22/1	21
6th	Hot Fizzy Lizzy (IRE) Tristan Durrell · Dan Skelton	14/1	3.25
7th	Whispering Gold (GB) James Davies · Nick Gifford	18/1	3.75
8th	Birdhouse (GB) Ciaran Gethings · Stuart Edmunds	9/2	1.75
9th	It's Maisy (IRE) Tom Midgley · Sue Smith	33/1	16

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Real Pieces (GB) Charlie Hammond · Max Young	200/1

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR	Little Miss Dante Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	154	—	21-	-	-	-	176d	—	—	-17	28.5	0.30/1	6/5 45%
Impressed in Southwell bumper in April; needs to be taken very seriously on hurdle debut
NR	Politacus Bay J:Liam Harrison T:Fergal Obrien	J:Liam Harrison T:Fergal Obrien	154	—	45214-	-	-	-	175d	—	—	-23	26.6	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Creditable fourth of 20 in Grade 2 Aintree bumper in April; hurdle debut today
2	Clararose Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	154	—	602-	-	-	-	199d	—	—	-9	10.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Should have a future over jumps but others achieved much more in bumpers
3	Flight Of Freedom Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	154	—	265-	-	-	-	168d	—	—	-12	8.7	0.50/1	3 33%
Shaped with significant promise in all three bumpers and has e-w claims on hurdle debut
4	Fortune Forever Chestnut J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal Obrien	J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal Obrien	154	—	4354-	-	-	-	176d	—	—	-11	6.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Not beaten far in any of four bumpers last season but improvement will be needed here
10	Birdhouse Chestnut J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	153	—	71-	-	-	-	178d	—	—	+1	13.6	1.00/1	5 20%
Won run-of-the-mill Fakenham bumper in April but others have much stronger claims
11	Hot Fizzy Lizzy Grey J:Tristan Durrell(5) T:Dan Skelton	J:Tristan Durrell(5) T:Dan Skelton	153	—	0-12	-	-	-	126d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Surprise winner of modest bumper in May but turned over at short odds since
12	Selkirk Grace Chestnut J:David Bass T:Hughie Morrison	J:David Bass T:Hughie Morrison	153	t	94-3	-	-	-	143d	—	—	-1	4.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Placed in a run-of-the-mill bumper in May; significant improvement needed here
9	Whispering Gold Chestnut J:James Davies T:Nick Gifford	J:James Davies T:Nick Gifford	154	—	496-3	-	-	-	148d	—	—	-1	4.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Placed in Fontwell bumper in May but not the obvious answer today
8	Super Dawn Bay J:Rex Dingle T:Chris Gordon	J:Rex Dingle T:Chris Gordon	154	—	P312-P	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	3.75/1	16 6%
1-11 in points; faces a tough task on this rules debut
1	Its Maisy Bay J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Sue Smith	J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Sue Smith	161	—	79351-	-	83	61	174d	—	—	+9	12.4	6.75/1	28 4%
Very fortunate to win at Sedgefield in April and looks vulnerable under penalty
7	Real Pieces Bay J:Charlie Hammond T:Max Young	J:Charlie Hammond T:Max Young	154	—	P	-	-	-	130d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Struggled on debut in May; now with a new stable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Little Miss Dante	11/10	11/10	6/5	1	11/10
Politacus	5/6	5/6	10/11	5/6	10/11
Clararose	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Flight Of Freedom	3	3	3	3	3
Fortune Forever	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Birdhouse	5	5	5	5	5
Hot Fizzy Lizzy	14	12	12	12	12
Selkirk Grace	12	12	12	12	12
Whispering Gold	16	16	16	16	16
Super Dawn	16	16	16	16	16
Its Maisy	25	28	28	28	28
Real Pieces	150	100	100	100	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Little Miss Dante

28.5

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 15

6/5

2nd

Politacus

26.6

OR: 0 Form: 9.5 Odds: 17.1

10/11

3rd

Birdhouse

13.6

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

Its Maisy

12.4

OR: 0 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0.9

Clararose

10.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Flight Of Freedom

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 6.2

Fortune Forever

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Selkirk Grace

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

Whispering Gold

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.4

Hot Fizzy Lizzy

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Super Dawn

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Real Pieces

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Little Miss Dante	—	—	—
Politacus	—	—	—
Clararose	—	—	—
Flight Of Freedom	—	—	—
Fortune Forever	—	—	—
Birdhouse	—	—	—
Hot Fizzy Lizzy	—	—	—
Selkirk Grace	—	—	—
Whispering Gold	—	—	—
Super Dawn	—	—	—
Its Maisy	—	83	61
Real Pieces	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hot Fizzy Lizzy	126d ago	Long break
Real Pieces	130d ago	Long break
Selkirk Grace	143d ago	Long break
Whispering Gold	148d ago	Long break
Flight Of Freedom	168d ago	Long break
Its Maisy	174d ago	Long break
Politacus	175d ago	Long break
Little Miss Dante	176d ago	Long break
Fortune Forever	176d ago	Long break
Birdhouse	178d ago	Long break
Clararose	199d ago	Long break
Super Dawn	—	—