Irish Stallion Farms EBF Star Appeal Stakes (Listed Race)

Dundalk (AW)

19:00

Date 2023-10-06

Distance 7f

Class Class 1

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize €28,025

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
14 (5)	Rising Sign Chestnut J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	126	—	1	-	108	-	23d	—	—	-16	22.5	0.31/1	5/4 44%
9-4 when making impressive winning debut last month; well bred and sister was AW winner
5 (15)	Mountain Bear Brown J:Seamie Heffernan T:A P Obrien	J:Seamie Heffernan T:A P Obrien	131	—	617344	100	107	-	20d	—	—	-1	23.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Won Curragh maiden and kept smart company since; leading claims with AW likely to suit
4 (12)	Kairyu Bay J:Leigh Roche T:M D Ocallaghan	J:Leigh Roche T:M D Ocallaghan	131	—	11	102	107	-	76d	—	—	+20	34	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Green when winning at Naas on debut and relished step up in trip in Gr 3; form working out
11 (3)	Mysteries Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien	J:Gavin Ryan T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien	126	—	3134	97	100	-	48d	—	—	+14	21.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Cork maiden winner and creditable runs in Group races since; 4th in Gr 2 latest
2 (10)	Buyin Buyin Chestnut J:Chris Hayes T:W P Browne	J:Chris Hayes T:W P Browne	131	—	14176	92	102	85	41d	—	—	+13	19.2	2.75/1	12 8%
A 5f course winner on debut and won at Naas; well held in Gr 3s this term
7 (11)	Ragga Bomb Bay J:Gary Carroll T:G M Lyons	J:Gary Carroll T:G M Lyons	131	—	81	-	92	-	30d	—	—	+6	11.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Built on promising debut when winning Cork maiden; more to come; 7f should be fine
1 (4)	Battle Cry b/br J:Killian Hennessy T:A P Obrien	J:Killian Hennessy T:A P Obrien	131	—	8214	92	100	-	21d	—	—	+17	21.2	6.00/1	25 4%
Improved form on last 2 starts, winning valuable York maiden before Listed 4th latest
12 (13)	Nemonte Brown J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	126	—	17416	90	97	-	27d	—	—	+15	20.4	8.00/1	33 3%
Won 2 of her 5; better than she showed when slowly away latest; needs to raise her game
NR (6)	Clarita Bay J:TBC T:Gavin Cromwell	J: T:Gavin Cromwell	126	—	2703	76	88	-	26d	—	—	0	15.6	16.25/1	66 2%
2nd on debut; bounced back from lesser efforts when 3rd in sales race latest; more needed
10 (8)	Making Time Bay J:W J Lee T:Miss Natalia Lupini	J:W J Lee T:Miss Natalia Lupini	126	—	30315	90	94	53	27d	—	—	+17	19.7	16.25/1	66 2%
Off the mark in maiden before Listed 5th latest but this looks tough for the grade
8 (1)	Asian Daze Bay J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	126	—	544113	86	97	-	17d	—	—	+22	24.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Followed up maiden win with another on h'cap debut but thwarted up in class since
3 (9)	Cuban Thunder Brown J:Mikey Sheehy T:Adrian Murray	J:Mikey Sheehy T:Adrian Murray	131	—	21084	86	93	-	26d	—	—	+11	13.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Out of depth in Gr 1 latest; promising form in Britain earlier in year but this is tougher
6 (14)	Mr Saturday Bay J:Gary Halpin T:G M Lyons	J:Gary Halpin T:G M Lyons	131	—	22053	82	90	-	22d	—	—	+12	14	24.75/1	100 1%
Five-race maiden who has shown ability but looks out of his depth at this level
R15 (7)	Absolute Advantage Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Nathan Crosse T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	131	t	636	80	88	-	33d	—	—	+8	10.2	24.75/1	100 1%
Has shown ability in maidens but has a mountain to climb here; reserve
13 (2)	Promo Queen Bay J:Jamie Powell T:Christopher David Timmons	J:Jamie Powell T:Christopher David Timmons	126	—	00541	76	88	47	12d	—	—	+15	17.1	37.25/1	150 1%
Off the mark in Curragh h'cap latest but has mountain to climb to get involved here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Rising Sign	11/10	5/4	5/4	6/5	5/4
Mountain Bear	5/2	11/4	11/4	11/4	3
Kairyu	11/2	11/2	11/2	6	6
Mysteries	12	11	11	11	12
Buyin Buyin	12	12	12	12	12
Ragga Bomb	16	14	14	14	16
Battle Cry	25	20	18	20	20
Nemonte	33	28	28	25	25
Clarita	40	66	50	50	66
Making Time	66	40	40	40	40
Asian Daze	33	28	28	28	28
Cuban Thunder	50	40	40	40	40
Mr Saturday	100	100	80	80	80
Absolute Advantage	100	66	50	50	50
Promo Queen	150	125	100	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kairyu

OR: 13 Form: 17 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Asian Daze

24.8

OR: 9 Form: 15 Odds: 0.8

3rd

Mountain Bear

23.3

OR: 12.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Rising Sign

22.5

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 12.5

5/4

Mysteries

21.9

OR: 11.8 Form: 8 Odds: 2.1

Battle Cry

21.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.2

Nemonte

20.4

OR: 10 Form: 9 Odds: 1.4

Making Time

19.7

OR: 10 Form: 9.1 Odds: 0.6

Buyin Buyin

19.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

Promo Queen

17.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 10 Odds: 0.6

150

Clarita

15.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 4.6

Mr Saturday

OR: 8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0.5

100

Cuban Thunder

13.6

OR: 9 Form: 4 Odds: 0.6

Ragga Bomb

11.6

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

Absolute Advantage

10.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.6

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kairyu	102	107	—
Mountain Bear	100	107	—
Mysteries	97	100	—
Buyin Buyin	92	102	85
Battle Cry	92	100	—
Nemonte	90	97	—
Making Time	90	94	53
Asian Daze	86	97	—
Cuban Thunder	86	93	—
Mr Saturday	82	90	—
Absolute Advantage	80	88	—
Clarita	76	88	—
Promo Queen	76	88	47
Rising Sign	—	108	—
Ragga Bomb	—	92	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Promo Queen	12d ago	Quick return
Asian Daze	17d ago	Fit
Mountain Bear	20d ago	Fit
Battle Cry	21d ago	Fit
Mr Saturday	22d ago	Fit
Rising Sign	23d ago	Fit
Clarita	26d ago	Fit
Cuban Thunder	26d ago	Fit
Nemonte	27d ago	Fit
Making Time	27d ago	Fit
Ragga Bomb	30d ago	Fit
Absolute Advantage	33d ago	Fit
Buyin Buyin	41d ago	Fit
Mysteries	48d ago	Fresh
Kairyu	76d ago	Fresh