Garms Newcastle Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:15

Garms Newcastle Handicap

Date 2023-10-06

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 59.10s (slow by 1.60s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Henery Hawk (GB) Tommie Jakes · Linda Perratt	25/1	Won
2nd	Elzaal (IRE) Graham Lee · Paul Midgley	7/2F	.5
3rd	He's An Angel (GB) David Allan · Tim Easterby	13/2	0.2
4th	Lady Celia (GB) Clifford Lee · Alan Brown	9/2	.5
5th	Bella Kopella (IRE) Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	9/1	.5
6th	Let's Go Hugo (IRE) Brandon Wilkie · Ollie Pears	20/1	.75
7th	Another Angel (IRE) Cam Hardie · Antony Brittain	20/1	3
8th	King Of The Jungle (IRE) Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby	8/1	.5
9th	Motawaazy (GB) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	4/1	.5
10th	Flying Kiss (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	12/1	1.75
11th	Koropick (IRE) James Sullivan · Colin Teague	80/1	.5

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (7)	Elzaal Bay J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	129	—	096530	59	78	38	17d	—	—	-8	9.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Down the field at Redcar last time but far more productive on AW and could return to form
6 (4)	Lady Celia Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Alan Brown	J:Clifford Lee T:Alan Brown	130	—	-41463	60	79	59	25d	—	—	-3	12.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Reliable since joining this yard, third over C&D last month; solid profile; should go well
1 (8)	Motawaazy Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	135	p	627079	65	78	-	16d	—	—	-6	9.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
More miss than hit in 2023; hopes rest on a return to the C&D of his most recent win
8 (11)	King Of The Jungle Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	124	—	00783	54	74	-	90d	—	—	-3	6.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Lightly raced 3yo who offered more when third at Beverley last time; still has potential
9 (1)	Hes An Angel Chestnut J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	123	tp	06-958	53	73	-	17d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-6	3.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Unplaced all six starts but looked unlucky at Redcar last time; unexposed; AW debut
2 (10)	Flying Kiss Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	135	—	322537	65	76	43	34d	—	—	+2	10.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Six-race maiden; has not progressed, and looked a tricky ride on handicap debut last month
3 (9)	Bella Kopella Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	134	t	631937	64	80	-	19d	—	—	+4	11.3	2.25/1	10 10%
Winner this year both on this course and over today's trip; more persuasive than many
4 (3)	Lets Go Hugo Chestnut J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:Ollie Pears	J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:Ollie Pears	132	—	225036	62	76	62	35d	—	—	+2	7.5	3.25/1	14 7%
None too consistent, but in the mix judged on his third at Wolverhampton two outings ago
5 (2)	Another Angel Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	132	v	122125	62	78	68	134d	—	—	+11	15.2	4.75/1	20 5%
In fine form earlier this year, wide-margin C&D winner; returns from five months off
10 (6)	Henery Hawk Bay J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:Linda Perratt	116	—	700708	46	70	59	25d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.00/1	25 4%
15-race maiden, nearer last than first all runs since joining current yard
11 (5)	Koropick Bay J:James Sullivan T:Colin Teague	J:James Sullivan T:Colin Teague	116	—	487680	46	64	48	20d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.25/1	66 2%
Hasn't shown much in recent starts and easy to look elsewhere

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Elzaal	7/2	4	7/2	4	4
Lady Celia	9/2	4	9/2	9/2	4
Motawaazy	9/2	4	4	4	4
King Of The Jungle	8	8	15/2	8	8
Hes An Angel	7	15/2	8	8	17/2
Flying Kiss	8	15/2	8	8	15/2
Bella Kopella	10	10	10	10	10
Lets Go Hugo	14	14	14	14	14
Another Angel	16	20	16/1	20	16
Henery Hawk	25	20	20	20	18
Koropick	66	66	50/1	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Another Angel

15.2

OR: 3 Form: 11 Odds: 1.2

2nd

Lady Celia

12.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Bella Kopella

11.3

OR: 3.5 Form: 5.7 Odds: 2.1

Flying Kiss

10.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 4.6 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Elzaal

9.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5

7/2

Motawaazy

9.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Lets Go Hugo

7.5

OR: 3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.4

King Of The Jungle

6.7

OR: 1 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Hes An Angel

3.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Henery Hawk

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Koropick

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Motawaazy	65	78	—
Flying Kiss	65	76	43
Bella Kopella	64	80	—
Lets Go Hugo	62	76	62
Another Angel	62	78	68
Lady Celia	60	79	59
Elzaal	59	78	38
King Of The Jungle	54	74	—
Hes An Angel	53	73	—
Henery Hawk	46	70	59
Koropick	46	64	48

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Motawaazy	16d ago	Fit
Elzaal	17d ago	Fit
Hes An Angel	17d ago	Fit
Bella Kopella	19d ago	Fit
Koropick	20d ago	Fit
Lady Celia	25d ago	Fit
Henery Hawk	25d ago	Fit
Flying Kiss	34d ago	Fit
Lets Go Hugo	35d ago	Fit
King Of The Jungle	90d ago	Fresh
Another Angel	134d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.