J Murdoch Contracts Handicap Hurdle – Downpatrick

Downpatrick

16:10

J Murdoch Contracts Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-10-06

Distance 2m5f110y

Class

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7	Mr Social Bay J:Mark McDonagh(5) T:Eoin Griffin	J:Mark McDonagh(5) T:Eoin Griffin	160	—	-84123	87	100	84	14d	—	—	0	30.1	0.47/1	15/8 35%
3m just beyond him at Listowel; back in trip and one to consider
NR	Morricone Bay J:TBC T:Ms Margaret Mullins	J: T:Ms Margaret Mullins	163	—	S/0215	90	103	84	2d	—	—	-18	23.3	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Runway winner here last month over 2m2f; never landed a blow at Bangor Wednesday
6	Kiss My Lucky Egg Brown J:Mr H E Sexton(7) T:Adrian Sexton	J:Mr H E Sexton(7) T:Adrian Sexton	162	—	-630P4	89	95	78	7d	—	—	+2	12.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Last week's Gowran run a step in the right direction but others preferred
5	Across The Ocean Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	162	—	000FU4	91	89	72	21d	—	—	+4	12.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Fourth to Morricone here over 2m2f; longer trip could see improvement
3	Moneynabane Brown J:Philip Byrnes(5) T:Neill Mccluskey	J:Philip Byrnes(5) T:Neill Mccluskey	163	—	975357	90	100	90	11d	—	—	+2	15.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Seasonal-best when C&D third in August; bit to find
NR	Sallys Cave Bay J:TBC T:Francis Casey	J: T:Francis Casey	158	—	907	85	91	72	21d	—	—	-6	15.1	2.50/1	11 9%
Nothing in three maidens and jumping remains an issue; can only be watched on handicap bow
2	Signora Di Milano Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	166	p	5-0249	93	98	64	19d	—	—	+4	13.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Mares' maiden second here in August her standout run; potential improver on handicap debut
1	Resilient Front Chestnut J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Noel Meade	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Noel Meade	166	t	00800-	93	63	73	249d	—	—	+4	13.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Hard to justify this opening mark on what we've seen and seemingly wants better ground
14	Wee Jerry Bay J:Benjamin P Kennedy(7) T:Neill Mccluskey	J:Benjamin P Kennedy(7) T:Neill Mccluskey	153	t	50P805	80	98	66	21d	—	—	+3	9.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Now 0-16 hurdling and needs to jump much better than he did here last month
9	Ciankyle Bay J:Donagh Meyler T:P Cluskey	J:Donagh Meyler T:P Cluskey	158	—	-6267P	85	101	68	49d	—	—	+3	11.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Veteran a winner here back in the day but hasn't won in nearly two years; opposable
12	Military Hill Bay J:A P Heskin T:R K Watson	J:A P Heskin T:R K Watson	153	p	BP-905	80	102	39	11d	—	—	+3	9.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Beaten long way on last month's return; nothing in back catalogue to suggest he'll feature
8	Castle Arms Casa Bay J:Richard Condon(5) T:W J Lanigan	J:Richard Condon(5) T:W J Lanigan	159	—	00-0P0	86	92	60	28d	—	—	+6	10.1	8.00/1	33 3%
Yet to see any green shoots in maidens, can only be watched here on handicap debut
NR	Queen Kulina Bay J:TBC T:Peter Croke	J: T:Peter Croke	155	—	497/5-	82	80	57	304d	—	—	-3	12.2	16.25/1	66 2%
Some promise in maidens but needs to improve loads from handicap debut back in December
NR	Ofaolains Glory Bay J:TBC T:N Dooly	J: T:N Dooly	153	—	-67068	80	95	70	14d	—	—	—	7.5	—	—
Down to basement mark after three handicap runs and remains opposable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Mr Social	15/8	15/8	13/8	7/4	7/4
Morricone	10/3	5/2	11/4	3	3
Kiss My Lucky Egg	7	13/2	7	7	7
Across The Ocean	8	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Moneynabane	6	11/2	5	6	6
Sallys Cave	8	11	10	11	11
Signora Di Milano	9	9	17/2	9	9
Resilient Front	8	8	7	15/2	15/2
Wee Jerry	12	12	11	12	12
Ciankyle	10	17/2	8	9	9
Military Hill	25	22	12	20	20/1
Castle Arms Casa	33	25	18	22	22
Queen Kulina	66	66	50	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mr Social

30.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Morricone

23.3

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 13.3

10/3

3rd

Moneynabane

15.1

OR: 10 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Sallys Cave

15.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.3

Resilient Front

13.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Signora Di Milano

13.3

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Kiss My Lucky Egg

12.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Across The Ocean

12.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Queen Kulina

12.2

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.2

Ciankyle

11.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Castle Arms Casa

10.1

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Wee Jerry

9.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Military Hill

9.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Ofaolains Glory

7.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Signora Di Milano	93	98	64
Resilient Front	93	63	73
Across The Ocean	91	89	72
Morricone	90	103	84
Moneynabane	90	100	90
Kiss My Lucky Egg	89	95	78
Mr Social	87	100	84
Castle Arms Casa	86	92	60
Sallys Cave	85	91	72
Ciankyle	85	101	68
Queen Kulina	82	80	57
Wee Jerry	80	98	66
Military Hill	80	102	39
Ofaolains Glory	80	95	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Morricone	2d ago	Quick return
Kiss My Lucky Egg	7d ago	Quick return
Moneynabane	11d ago	Quick return
Military Hill	11d ago	Quick return
Mr Social	14d ago	Fit
Ofaolains Glory	14d ago	Fit
Signora Di Milano	19d ago	Fit
Across The Ocean	21d ago	Fit
Sallys Cave	21d ago	Fit
Wee Jerry	21d ago	Fit
Castle Arms Casa	28d ago	Fit
Ciankyle	49d ago	Fresh
Resilient Front	249d ago	Long break
Queen Kulina	304d ago	Long break