Racing TV EBF Stallions Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Redcar

15:20

Date 2023-10-07

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,320

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (9)	Zain Blue Bay J:Oisin Orr T:John Butler	J:Oisin Orr T:John Butler	130	—	22	-	97	81	43d	—	—	-12	17.9	0.47/1	15/8 35%
The form of both his seconds has worked out well and he has held Group entries
9 (8)	Volterra Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	130	—	43	-	95	79	16d	—	—	-13	9.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Close up behind Zain Blue at York; beaten fav since but in a messy race
1 (2)	Gressington Grey J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	133	—	1	-	84	-	31d	—	—	-3	15.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Debut winner at Southwell; he'll do well to concede a penalty to some of these
7 (4)	Speeding Bullet Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Richard Hannon	J:Hollie Doyle T:Richard Hannon	130	—	025	79	89	76	25d	—	—	0	15.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Close up in both starts since stepped up to 7f; looks to have more on his plate here
5 (5)	King Of Luck Chestnut J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	130	—	79	-	80	40	29d	—	—	-5	1.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Could be one who comes into his own next season when handicapping
10 (11)	Wait And Hope Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Already gelded but useful pedigree and from a strong 2yo operation
3 (10)	Desert Rhapsody Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	130	—	06	-	80	-	15d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.75/1	20 5%
Showed more second time out at Kempton (7f AW) but was only midfield
2 (7)	Beale Street Bay J:Graham Lee T:Bryan Smart	J:Graham Lee T:Bryan Smart	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Second foal; half-brother to 5f winner Zoom Star (RPR 62); already gelded
8 (3)	Stanley Street Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:John Quinn	J:James Sullivan T:John Quinn	130	—	5	-	62	45	28d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.00/1	33 3%
12-1 when midfield at Thirsk (7f, good) and this looks a stronger race than that
4 (6)	Emmemmcee Bay J:Alex Jary(7) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(7) T:Nigel Tinkler	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Dam 7f-1m2f winner (including 2yo) and half-sister to the stable's useful Isla Kai
6 (12)	Papagrey Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	130	—	09	-	64	37	16d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Beaten 10l+ in races at Carlisle (6f) and Ayr (7f); no appeal in a race of this nature
12 (1)	Tigla Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Andrew Mullen T:Nigel Tinkler	125	—	00	-	43	-	22d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
Down the field in maidens over similar distances at Beverley (good) and Doncaster (soft)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Zain Blue	15/8	15/8	7/4	15/8	15/8
Volterra	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Gressington	9/2	4	10/3	4	4
Speeding Bullet	11/2	11/2	4/1	11/2	11/2
King Of Luck	12	12	12	12	12
Wait And Hope	20	18	20/1	20	20
Desert Rhapsody	20	16/1	16/1	16	16
Beale Street	40	50	50	50	50
Stanley Street	33	33	33	33	33
Emmemmcee	66	80	80	80	80
Papagrey	150	125	125	125	125
Tigla	250	250	250	250	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Zain Blue

17.9

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Gressington

15.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

9/2

3rd

Speeding Bullet

15.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Volterra

9.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 6.7

11/4

King Of Luck

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Desert Rhapsody

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Wait And Hope

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Stanley Street

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Beale Street

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Emmemmcee

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Papagrey

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Tigla

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Speeding Bullet	79	89	76
Zain Blue	—	97	81
Volterra	—	95	79
Gressington	—	84	—
King Of Luck	—	80	40
Wait And Hope	—	—	—
Desert Rhapsody	—	80	—
Beale Street	—	—	—
Stanley Street	—	62	45
Emmemmcee	—	—	—
Papagrey	—	64	37
Tigla	—	43	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Desert Rhapsody	15d ago	Fit
Volterra	16d ago	Fit
Papagrey	16d ago	Fit
Tigla	22d ago	Fit
Speeding Bullet	25d ago	Fit
Stanley Street	28d ago	Fit
King Of Luck	29d ago	Fit
Gressington	31d ago	Fit
Zain Blue	43d ago	Fit
Wait And Hope	—	—
Beale Street	—	—
Emmemmcee	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Volterra	Prominent
Speeding Bullet	Prominent
Desert Rhapsody	Mid-Pack
Stanley Street	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 4 of 12 runners classified.