At The Races App Market Movers Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Bands C-D 3 Runs Or Fewer) (GBB)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:00

Date 2023-10-09

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,564

Winning Time 1m 14.49s (slow by 2.59s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Tiger Tulip (GB) Cieren Fallon · Heather Main	4/1	Won
2nd	Imola (IRE) J F Egan · Darryll Holland	3/1	1.75
3rd	Cervaro Della Sala (GB) William Buick · Paul & Oliver Cole	5/4F	.5
4th	Emu War (FR) Sam James · K R Burke	7/1	2.75
5th	Keep My Secret (GB) Stefano Cherchi · Marco Botti	25/1	0.2
6th	Nasneen (GB) Hector Crouch · Paul & Oliver Cole	20/1	.5
7th	After Time (IRE) Franny Norton · Kevin Ryan	50/1	.75
8th	Cremone (GB) Robert Havlin · Robert Eddery	22/1	0.3
9th	Bella Grazia (GB) Darragh Keenan · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	150/1	.5
10th	Bespoke (GB) Harry Davies · Charlie Fellowes	40/1	6
11th	Hagaawy (IRE) Taylor Fisher · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	80/1	3.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (1)	Cervaro Della Sala Grey J:William Buick T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:William Buick T:Paul & Oliver Cole	128	—	2	-	84	75	12d	—	—	-20	16.8	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Pleasing debut despite pulling hard in front; holds obvious claims under William Buick
12 (4)	Imola Bay J:J F Egan T:Darryll Holland	J:J F Egan T:Darryll Holland	126	—	3	-	81	44	26d	—	—	-13	9.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Solid Kempton debut, especially having played up at the start and pulled hard; can improve
9 (2)	Tiger Tulip Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Heather Main	J:Cieren Fallon T:Heather Main	128	—	093	66	75	61	12d	—	—	-5	12	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Some way off the front pair latest; needs to settle better and improve again to win this
5 (11)	Emu War Black J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	128	—	833	64	76	-	14d	—	—	0	11.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Drawn wide tonight; it wouldn't say much for the others were she up to taking this
7 (5)	Nasneen Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Hector Crouch T:Paul & Oliver Cole	128	—	29	-	76	-	20d	—	—	0	4.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Went backwards on Tapeta after a fair debut; Cervaro Della Sala her yard's best chance
6 (10)	Keep My Secret Bay J:Stefano Cherchi T:Marco Botti	J:Stefano Cherchi T:Marco Botti	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	8.00/1	33 3%
May want further in due course; drawn wide on debut and the market will be the best guide
4 (7)	Cremone Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Robert Eddery	J:Robert Havlin T:Robert Eddery	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Half-sister to a fair 6f Kempton AW winner; yard going well but isn't noted for 2yos
NR (12)	Showmethewayhome Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:David Omeara	J:Mark Winn(3) T:David Omeara	128	—	65	-	58	13	13d	—	—	-46	20	9.75/1	40 3%
Below market expectations in two runs; landed the outside stall; may be one for handicaps
2 (6)	Bespoke Bay J:Harry Davies T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Harry Davies T:Charlie Fellowes	128	—	—	-	49	-	89d	—	—	-2	0.9	9.75/1	40 3%
Better drawn than for 5f Catterick debut, when in need of the experience; can fare better
1 (8)	After Time Bay J:Franny Norton T:Kevin Ryan	J:Franny Norton T:Kevin Ryan	128	—	56	-	75	37	13d	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Easy to back and comfortably held in two runs (7f); needs to brush things up at the stalls
11 (9)	Hagaawy Chestnut J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Yard had none placed from 13 juvenile runners this season; hard to fancy
10 (3)	Bella Grazia Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Darragh Keenan T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	126	—	885	-	53	19	16d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Dam stayed middle distances and she's likely one for handicaps over further next year

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Cervaro Della Sala	6/5	11/8	5/4	5/4	6/5
Imola	3	3	11/4	3	11/4
Tiger Tulip	9/2	4	4	9/2	9/2
Emu War	8	7/1	7/1	15/2	15/2
Nasneen	16	14/1	14	16	16
Keep My Secret	33	22/1	25	25	25/1
Cremone	40	33	33	33	33
Showmethewayhome	40	40	40	40	40
Bespoke	40	28	28	28	28/1
After Time	40	40	40	40	40
Hagaawy	80	80	80	80	66
Bella Grazia	150	125	125	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Showmethewayhome

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

2nd

Cervaro Della Sala

16.8

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 11.8

11/8

3rd

Tiger Tulip

OR: 4 Form: 3 Odds: 5

9/2

Emu War

11.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Imola

9.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Nasneen

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

Keep My Secret

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Bespoke

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Cremone

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

After Time

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Hagaawy

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Bella Grazia

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tiger Tulip	66	75	61
Emu War	64	76	—
Cervaro Della Sala	—	84	75
Imola	—	81	44
Nasneen	—	76	—
Keep My Secret	—	—	—
Cremone	—	—	—
Showmethewayhome	—	58	13
Bespoke	—	49	—
After Time	—	75	37
Hagaawy	—	—	—
Bella Grazia	—	53	19

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cervaro Della Sala	12d ago	Quick return
Tiger Tulip	12d ago	Quick return
Showmethewayhome	13d ago	Quick return
After Time	13d ago	Quick return
Emu War	14d ago	Fit
Bella Grazia	16d ago	Fit
Nasneen	20d ago	Fit
Imola	26d ago	Fit
Bespoke	89d ago	Fresh
Keep My Secret	—	—
Cremone	—	—
Hagaawy	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.