Virgin Bet Apprentice Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

14:10

Virgin Bet Apprentice Handicap

Date 2023-10-12

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Winning Time 2m 18.93s (slow by 13.93s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Bashful (GB) William Pyle · Iain Jardine	9/2	Won
2nd	Ayr Poet (GB) Amie Waugh · Jim Goldie	17/2	.5
3rd	Stockbridge Tap (GB) Ryan Sexton · Lucinda Russell	20/1	1
4th	Kentucky Bluegrass (GB) Mark Winn · David O'Meara	11/1	.75
5th	Bushfire (GB) Pierre-Louis Jamin · Gemma Tutty	10/1	1.75
6th	Tilsitt (FR) Owen Lewis · R Mike Smith	15/2	3.5
7th	Mac Ailey (GB) Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	8/1	2
8th	Nobody Told Me (GB) Jonny Peate · Jedd O'Keeffe	18/1	1
9th	Sophiesticate (IRE) Alex Jary · Jim Goldie	33/1	1.75
10th	Lunacy (GB) Zak Wheatley · Iain Jardine	25/1	3.25
11th	Maraakiz (IRE) Andrew Breslin · Ewan Whillans	200/1	.5
12th	Kristal Klear (IRE) Brandon Wilkie · Hugo Palmer	20/1	35

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Frankendael Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Edward Bethell	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Edward Bethell	143	—	7-6461	76	82	55	22d	—	—	-16	16.5	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Won with something to spare on heavy ground on stable debut at Beverley three weeks ago
1 (6)	Bashful Bay J:William Pyle(3) T:Iain Jardine	J:William Pyle(3) T:Iain Jardine	144	tp	113046	77	78	66	9d	—	—	+1	13	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Didn't run badly in higher grade over C&D last week but needs to raise his game
3 (9)	Tilsitt Bay J:Owen Lewis(5) T:R Mike Smith	J:Owen Lewis(5) T:R Mike Smith	141	tv	024454	74	78	63	9d	—	—	-1	10.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Three-time course winner who was fair fourth in higher grade over C&D last week
7 (13)	Ayr Poet Bay J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	135	p	132133	68	79	71	9d	—	—	+8	20	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Consistent five-time course winner who ran well over C&D recently and can be thereabouts
4 (10)	Bushfire Chestnut J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Gemma Tutty	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Gemma Tutty	139	—	441318	72	76	51	13d	—	—	+12	18.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Disappointing last time but in good form previously & can make a bold bid if bouncing back
5 (12)	Kentucky Bluegrass Bay J:Mark Winn T:David Omeara	J:Mark Winn T:David Omeara	138	—	115564	75	80	71	28d	—	—	+4	10	2.75/1	12 8%
The dam's side of this 3yo's pedigree suggests the step up to 1m2f is worth a go
12 (7)	Mac Ailey Chestnut J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	124	b	235314	57	76	66	10d	—	—	+6	12.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Beaten at Hamilton latest and new 6lb higher mark has kicked in, but won easily previously
10 (3)	Kristal Klear Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Hugo Palmer	128	v	-34667	65	76	62	27d	—	—	+1	5.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Form has gone the wrong way and the first-time visor needs to prompt a dramatic turnaround
9 (1)	Lunacy Bay J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Iain Jardine	J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Iain Jardine	131	t	175618	68	76	54	10d	—	—	+8	12.7	4.75/1	20 5%
Inconsistent and well beaten last time, but easy win two starts ago and not written off
6 (4)	Sophiesticate Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Jim Goldie	135	h	594265	68	81	72	10d	—	—	+4	8	6.75/1	28 4%
Runs off her last winning mark but she's finished down the field the last twice
8 (11)	Nobody Told Me Bay J:Jonny Peate T:Jedd Okeeffe	J:Jonny Peate T:Jedd Okeeffe	133	—	737500	70	79	48	19d	—	—	+3	6.5	6.00/1	25 4%
Drops back in trip but nevertheless has plenty to prove based on that recent evidence
13 (2)	Stockbridge Tap Chestnut J:Ryan Sexton T:Lucinda Russell	J:Ryan Sexton T:Lucinda Russell	123	t	/48/93	56	75	51	68d	—	—	-1	2.4	8.00/1	33 3%
Encouraging run in August on second start back from long absence; one to consider
11 (8)	Maraakiz Bay J:Andrew Breslin T:Ewan Whillans	J:Andrew Breslin T:Ewan Whillans	127	—	30/788	60	-	-	17d	—	—	+2	2.8	49.75/1	200 1%
Tailed off on both runs this summer after long absence and same story on recent yard debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Frankendael	13/8	13/8	6/4	13/8	13/8
Bashful	11/2	6	6	6	13/2
Tilsitt	15/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	15/2
Ayr Poet	8	15/2	7	15/2	11/2
Bushfire	12	11	12	12	12
Kentucky Bluegrass	12	12	12	12	12
Mac Ailey	12	11	11	11	12
Kristal Klear	18	16	16	16	16
Lunacy	20	18	16/1	18	18
Sophiesticate	28	25	25	25	25
Nobody Told Me	25	22	22	22	25
Stockbridge Tap	33	28	28	28	28
Maraakiz	200	150	150	150	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ayr Poet

OR: 4.5 Form: 12.2 Odds: 3.3

15/2

2nd

Bushfire

18.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.7

3rd

Frankendael

16.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 10

13/8

Bashful

OR: 6.8 Form: 2.9 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Lunacy

12.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

Mac Ailey

12.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 9.1 Odds: 1.7

Tilsitt

10.1

OR: 6 Form: 1 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Kentucky Bluegrass

OR: 6.3 Form: 2 Odds: 1.7

Sophiesticate

OR: 4.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1

Nobody Told Me

6.5

OR: 5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.9

Kristal Klear

5.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.2

Maraakiz

2.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Stockbridge Tap

2.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bashful	77	78	66
Frankendael	76	82	55
Kentucky Bluegrass	75	80	71
Tilsitt	74	78	63
Bushfire	72	76	51
Nobody Told Me	70	79	48
Ayr Poet	68	79	71
Lunacy	68	76	54
Sophiesticate	68	81	72
Kristal Klear	65	76	62
Maraakiz	60	—	—
Mac Ailey	57	76	66
Stockbridge Tap	56	75	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bashful	9d ago	Quick return
Tilsitt	9d ago	Quick return
Ayr Poet	9d ago	Quick return
Mac Ailey	10d ago	Quick return
Lunacy	10d ago	Quick return
Sophiesticate	10d ago	Quick return
Bushfire	13d ago	Quick return
Maraakiz	17d ago	Fit
Nobody Told Me	19d ago	Fit
Frankendael	22d ago	Fit
Kristal Klear	27d ago	Fit
Kentucky Bluegrass	28d ago	Fit
Stockbridge Tap	68d ago	Fresh