Happy Birthday Sue Novices' Chase (Listed Race) (For The Robert Mottram Memorial Trophy) (GBB Race)

Chepstow

15:10

Date 2023-10-14

Distance 2m3f98y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £22,780

Winning Time 5m 2.69s (slow by 19.69s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Unexpected Party (FR) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	2/1	Won
2nd	Knappers Hill (IRE) Harry Cobden · Paul Nicholls	11/10F	2.75
3rd	Bella Bliss (IRE) Sean Bowen · John C McConnell	22/1	21
4th	Collectors Item (IRE) Jonjo O'Neill Jr · Jonjo O'Neill	7/2	20

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Knappers Hill Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	159	—	14231-	153	-	-	168d	—	—	+9	59.4	0.21/1	5/6 55%
Dual Grade 2 hurdle winner; will be hard to beat if he jumps adequately on chasing debut
4	Unexpected Party Grey J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	159	t	32353-	142	160	134	175d	—	—	+11	38	0.47/1	15/8 35%
0-6 over fences last season but showed some very useful form in defeat; likely contender
2	Collectors Item Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo Oneill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo Oneill	159	—	15123-	132	-	-	210d	—	—	+25	37.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Developed into a useful novice hurdler last season and looks a good chasing prospect
NR	Bourbali Bay J:TBC T:Joe Tizzard	J: T:Joe Tizzard	159	—	24242-	127	-	-	168d	—	—	+14	33.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Useful handicap hurdler; set a fairly tough task on chasing debut
5	Bella Bliss Bay J:Sean Bowen T:John C Mcconnell	J:Sean Bowen T:John C Mcconnell	152	t	600112	120	143	71	16d	—	—	+30	36.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Dual chase winner; not favoured by the weights but Irish yard does well in Britain

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Knappers Hill	4/5	4/5	5/6	4/5	4/5
Unexpected Party	15/8	2	15/8	2	2
Collectors Item	7	6	13/2	13/2	6
Bourbali	18	18	14	18	18
Bella Bliss	20/1	16	16	16	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Knappers Hill

59.4

OR: 25.8 Form: 16.6 Odds: 17.1

5/6

2nd

Unexpected Party

OR: 23 Form: 6.6 Odds: 8.4

15/8

3rd

Collectors Item

37.6

OR: 20.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Bella Bliss

36.1

OR: 17.5 Form: 17 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Bourbali

33.4

OR: 19.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Knappers Hill	153	—	—
Unexpected Party	142	160	134
Collectors Item	132	—	—
Bourbali	127	—	—
Bella Bliss	120	143	71

Last Run